Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Nov 9 2025 · 18:15 AFAS Stadion, Malines
1–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.06 – 1.42
  • M. van Brederode 90+3’ (P)
  • 85’ R. Florucz
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

KV Mechelen snatch a late draw

Union St. Gilloise entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 after 85 minutes through a Florucz goal. But van Brederode scored to rescue a draw for KV Mechelen. Union St. Gilloise finished with the higher xG (1.42 vs 1.06).

KV Mechelen28%
Draw ✓27%
Union St. Gilloise45%

Model vs reality

KV Mechelen goals
1
Model 1.15 · xG 1.06
Union St. Gilloise goals
1
Model 1.51 · xG 1.42
Total goals
2
Model 2.66 · xG 2.48
Score 1–1
13%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 50%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchIan StruyfKV Mechelen
7.5
  • RefereeLawrence Visser
  • VenueAFAS Stadion
  • Table before kick-offKV Mechelen 6th · Union St. Gilloise 1st

Timeline

  1. T. KoudouYellow card
    6’
  2. O. NiangYellow card · misses next match
    45+3’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. José MarsàYellow card
    55’
  5. ⇄ P. DavidFor A. Ait El Hadj
    59’
  6. A. KhalailiYellow card
    68’
  7. ⇄ R. FloruczFor K. Rodríguez
    75’
  8. ⇄ L. PatrisFor A. Khalaili
    75’
  9. ⇄ Gora DioufFor Ian Struyf
    75’
  10. ⇄ B. BandéFor B. Raman
    83’
  11. R. Florucz 0–1Assist R. Schoofs
    85’
  12. ⇄ S. BoufalFor A. Zorgane
    86’
  13. ⇄ M. RasmussenFor R. Schoofs
    86’
  14. ⇄ B. AntonioFor José Marsà
    88’
  15. M. van Brederode (pen) 1–1
    90+3’
  16. M. van BrederodeYellow card
    90+6’
  17. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

KV Mechelen8 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
Union St. Gilloise19 shots · 15 in box, 4 outside
KV MechelenUnion St. Gilloise
45% Possession 55%
1.06 Expected goals (xG) 1.42
1.11 Expected points (xPts) 1.62
8 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 4
4 Shots off target 9
3 Blocked shots 6
6 Shots inside the box 15
2 Shots outside the box 4
382 Passes 461
82% Pass accuracy 85%
4 Corners 10
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 0
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.85 Team rating 6.87

Line-ups

KV Mechelen 3-4-1-2

137.3 Nacho Mirás(G)
187.5★ Ian Struyf ↓75’ 27.2 R. Halhal 336.6 T. St. Jago
36.5 José Marsà ↓88’ 177.0 Mathis Servais 66.9 F. Hammar 76.2 T. Koudou
97.2 M. van Brederode
146.5 B. Raman ↓83’ 206.6 L. Lauberbach
  • 13Nacho Mirás (G)7.3
  • 18Ian Struyf ★↓75’7.5
  • 2R. Halhal7.2
  • 33T. St. Jago6.6
  • 3José Marsà↓88’6.5
  • 17Mathis Servais7.0
  • 6F. Hammar6.9
  • 7T. Koudou6.2
  • 9M. van Brederode7.2
  • 14B. Raman↓83’6.5
  • 20L. Lauberbach6.6

Substitutes used

  • 4Gora Diouf↑75’6.3
  • 12B. Bandé↑83’6.9
  • 38B. Antonio↑88’

Unused: Axel Willockx, Tijn Van Ingelgom, L. Golič, M. Decoene, D. Salifou, B. Bafdili

Union St. Gilloise 3-5-2

376.7 K. Scherpen(G)
486.3 F. Leysen 167.2 C. Burgess 57.0 K. Mac Allister
226.7 O. Niang 177.3 R. Schoofs A↓86’ 67.5 K. Van de Perre 87.3 A. Zorgane ↓86’ 257.0 A. Khalaili ↓75’
136.2 K. Rodríguez ↓75’ 106.3 A. Ait El Hadj ↓59’
  • 37K. Scherpen (G)6.7
  • 48F. Leysen6.3
  • 16C. Burgess7.2
  • 5K. Mac Allister7.0
  • 22O. Niang6.7
  • 17R. SchoofsA↓86’7.3
  • 6K. Van de Perre7.5
  • 8A. Zorgane↓86’7.3
  • 25A. Khalaili↓75’7.0
  • 13K. Rodríguez↓75’6.2
  • 10A. Ait El Hadj↓59’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 12P. David↑59’6.3
  • 4M. Rasmussen↑86’6.5
  • 27L. Patris↑75’6.5
  • 23S. Boufal↑86’6.3
  • 30R. Florucz↑75’7.6

Unused: V. Chambaere, M. Barry, R. Sykes, M. Giger, G. da Silva Carvalho

Player stats

Top rated
Ian StruyfKV Mechelen7.5
2nd
K. Van de PerreUnion St. Gilloise7.5
3rd
Nacho MirásKV Mechelen7.3

KV Mechelen

Union St. Gilloise

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.