KVC Westerlo
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
Antwerp were slight favourites.
Antwerp were the stronger side on L90 Strength (46 vs 20). KVC Westerlo had 13 days of rest, Antwerp 6.2 and had to travel 35 km.
Away travel35 kmRest days13 · 6.2Matches / 14d1 · 2
KVC Westerlo27%
Draw27%
Antwerp46%
KVC Westerlo27%
Draw26%
Antwerp47%
KVC Westerlo27%
Draw27%
Antwerp46%
KVC Westerlo21%
Draw25%
Antwerp54%
KVC Westerlo27%
Draw26%
Antwerp47%
Over 2.5 49%
Both score 53%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Westerlo)
No weather data yet
RefereeJan Boterberg
- Cards per match 2.9
- Penalties per match 0.22
- Matches 18
Team strength
KVC Westerlo
Antwerp
20
L90 StrengthIn forecast
46
33
Current StrengthIn forecast
26
42
AttackIn forecast
24
32
DefenceIn forecast
19
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisAntwerp
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
KVC WesterloAntwerp
1.50
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.60
2.75
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.00
1.28
xGVia Att/Def
0.88
1.26
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.37
+0.22
Goals minus xGContext
+0.72
75%
Scored inContext
100%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
0%
16.50
ShotsContext
8.80
4.50
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.00
27%
On target shareContext
46%
10.50
Shots in the boxContext
4.80
68%
Box shareContext
57%
9%
ConversionContext
18%
—
OffsidesContext
3.00
13.50
Shots allowedContext
15.00
6.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.80
4.33
BlocksContext
4.00
3.25
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.50
54%
Save rateContext
78%
50%
PossessionIn forecast
44%
387
PassesContext
337
306
Accurate passesContext
272
79%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.68
Team ratingContext
7.02
11.25
FoulsContext
11.20
10.25
Fouls sufferedContext
14.60
1.25
Yellow cardsContext
2.20
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.20
1.20
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.50
2.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.90
1.28
xGVia Att/Def
0.88
1.26
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.37
-0.08
Goals minus xGContext
+0.62
70%
Scored inContext
90%
0%
Clean sheetsContext
20%
14.70
ShotsContext
11.00
4.00
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.60
27%
On target shareContext
42%
9.40
Shots in the boxContext
6.20
66%
Box shareContext
58%
8%
ConversionContext
14%
1.60
OffsidesContext
2.71
12.40
Shots allowedContext
11.40
3.90
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.11
4.11
BlocksContext
2.89
2.11
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.38
50%
Save rateContext
75%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
53%
409
PassesContext
459
326
Accurate passesContext
381
80%
Pass accuracyContext
83%
6.80
Team ratingContext
7.10
10.70
FoulsContext
10.80
10.60
Fouls sufferedContext
13.40
1.40
Yellow cardsContext
1.90
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.10
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
KVC Westerlo
Rest13 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d1all competitions
Travel0 km237 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Antwerp
Rest6.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel35 km180 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| KVC Westerlo |
Antwerp |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 13Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 17 Aug | 6.2Belgian Pro League 2025-2026, 24 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 35 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 237 km | 180 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 1 / 2 | 1 / 2 / 4 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 15 | 14.8 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
KVC Westerlo
Confirmed XI
99A. Jungdal(G)
25T. Rommens
5Seiji Kimura
40E. Bayram
22B. Reynolds
46A. Piedfort
34D. Haspolat
77J. Alcócer
13I. Sakamoto
39T. Van den Keybus
90Nacho Ferri
Antwerp
Confirmed XI
15Y. Thoelen(G)
21A. Verstraeten
26R. Bozhinov
33Z. Van Den Bosch
9M. Al Sahafi
20M. Doumbia
16M. Benítez
23G. Bijl
24T. Somers
22F. Adekami
18V. Janssen
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences KVC Westerlo
Absences are shown before kick-off
Antwerp
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- KVC Westerlo+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Antwerp+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
KVC Westerlo · Home
1.50points per game · 2 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-1
- Scored
- 1.50
- Conceded
- 1.00
Antwerp · Away
1.00points per game · 2 away games
- W-D-L
- 0-2-0
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 1.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 1 this season
| Opponent | KVC Westerlo | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| KV Mechelen | L 0–1 H | W 2–1 H |
| Points | 0 of 3 · 0.00 per game | 3 of 3 · 3.00 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings
0 KVC Westerlo wins1 draws1 Antwerp wins
Goals per game1.00 – 2.50
Over 2.5100%
Both scored50%
Clean sheets0% · 50%
- 23 Dec 2023Antwerp2–2KVC Westerlo
- 15 Sep 2023KVC Westerlo0–3Antwerp
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| KVC Westerlo | Antwerp | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.50 | 1.60 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.75 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 4.25 | 2.60 | 2.65 |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 40% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 75% | 20% | |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 100% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 25% | 0% | |
| Games | 4 | 5 |
| KVC Westerlo | Antwerp | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.50 | 1.60 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.75 | 1.00 | |
| Match goals | 4.25 | 2.60 | 2.65 |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 100% | |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 40% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 75% | 20% | |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 100% | 53% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | |
| Failed to score | 25% | 0% | |
| Games | 4 | 5 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| KVC Westerlo | Antwerp | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 6.00 | 3.20 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.75 | 5.80 | |
| Match total | 10.75 | 9.00 | 9.64 |
| Over 8.5 | 75% 3/4 | 20% 1/5 | |
| Over 9.5 | 75% 3/4 | 20% 1/5 | |
| Over 10.5 | 75% 3/4 | 20% 1/5 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.25 | 2.40 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.50 | 2.80 | |
| Match total | 2.75 | 5.20 | 3.79 |
| Over 3.5 | 25% 1/4 | 80% 4/5 | |
| Over 4.5 | 25% 1/4 | 60% 3/5 | |
| KVC Westerlo | Antwerp | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.60 | 5.10 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.60 | 4.70 | |
| Match total | 9.20 | 9.80 | 9.64 |
| Over 8.5 | 50% 5/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 5/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 40% 4/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.40 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.80 | 2.20 | |
| Match total | 3.20 | 4.20 | 3.79 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% 4/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 40% 4/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Jan Boterberg 18 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards2.72league 3.59
Red cards0.17league 0.21
Cards 5+11%league 31%
Fouls18.8league 22.6
Penalties0.22league 0.31
Home wins44%league 44%
KVC Westerlo2 with this referee
Record0-0-2
Cards · opp.0.5 · 1.0
Pens for · against0 · 0
- L3 Feb 24H · OH Leuven0–30
- L6 Aug 23H · Club Brugge KV0–11
Antwerp3 with this referee
Record1-2-0
Cards · opp.1.0 · 1.0
Pens for · against0 · 2
- D30 Sep 23A · KV Mechelen0–01
- D3 Sep 23A · Union St. Gilloise2–22
- W11 Aug 23H · Kortrijk6–00
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
KVC Westerlo4 games · scored 6 · conceded 11
2
0-15
2
16-30
4
31-45
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
3
76-90
Antwerp5 games · scored 8 · conceded 5
1
1
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
3
1
76-90
KVC Westerlo10 games · scored 12 · conceded 20
3
2
0-15
2
16-30
1
7
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
4
61-75
4
4
76-90
Antwerp10 games · scored 15 · conceded 9
1
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
3
1
31-45
1
46-60
2
1
61-75
6
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
