Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sat, Aug 30 2025 · 19:45 Stade du Pays de Charleroi, Charleroi
3–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.67 – 0.60
  • P. Guiagon 5’ (P), 88’
  • A. Bernier 50’
  • 67’ J. Attah Kadiri
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Charleroi beat Dender

Charleroi entered as narrow favourites and won 3–1 through goals from Guiagon and Bernier. Dender replied through a Kadiri goal. Charleroi finished with the higher xG (1.67 vs 0.60).

Charleroi ✓41%
Draw27%
Dender32%

Model vs reality

Charleroi goals
3
Model 1.46 · xG 1.67
Dender goals
1
Model 1.25 · xG 0.60
Total goals
4
Model 2.70 · xG 2.27
Score 3–1
4%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 51%
Both scored
Yes
Model 55%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchP. GuiagonCharleroi · 2 goals · 1 assist
9.6
  • RefereeWesli De Cremer
  • VenueStade du Pays de Charleroi
  • Table before kick-offCharleroi 15th · Dender 16th

Timeline

  1. P. Guiagon (pen) 1–0
    5’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. ⇄ M. SowFor A. Ousou
    46’
  4. A. Bernier 2–0Assist P. Guiagon
    50’
  5. ⇄ J. Attah KadiriFor B. Nsimba
    58’
  6. ⇄ R. OratmangoenFor M. Viltard
    58’
  7. A. BernierYellow card
    65’
  8. J. Attah Kadiri 2–1Assist L. De Fougerolles
    67’
  9. ⇄ A. ColassinFor J. Romsaas
    68’
  10. ⇄ Jules GaudinFor M. Nzita
    68’
  11. ⇄ D. AcquahFor N. Mbamba
    72’
  12. ⇄ K. Van Den KerkhofFor A. Bernier
    75’
  13. ⇄ K. KotońFor B. Fredrick
    83’
  14. ⇄ N. Moutha-SebtaouiFor L. De Fougerolles
    83’
  15. ⇄ Y. KhalifiFor A. Scheidler
    86’
  16. P. Guiagon 3–1Assist É. Camara
    88’
  17. Full time · 3–1

Team stats

Charleroi10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
Dender9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
CharleroiDender
49% Possession 51%
1.67 Expected goals (xG) 0.60
2.14 Expected points (xPts) 0.63
10 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 4
2 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 3
7 Shots inside the box 6
3 Shots outside the box 3
434 Passes 450
83% Pass accuracy 78%
5 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
12 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
7.32 Team rating 6.38

Line-ups

Charleroi 4-3-3

556.7 M. Delavallée(G)
246.9 M. Nzita ↓68’ 957.0 C. Keita 47.3 A. Ousou ↓46’ 987.2 J. Pétris
86.6 J. Romsaas ↓68’ 57.9 É. Camara A 227.9 Y. Titraoui
109.6★ P. Guiagon A 216.9 A. Scheidler ↓86’ 177.2 A. Bernier ↓75’
  • 55M. Delavallée (G)6.7
  • 24M. Nzita↓68’6.9
  • 95C. Keita7.0
  • 4A. Ousou↓46’7.3
  • 98J. Pétris7.2
  • 8J. Romsaas↓68’6.6
  • 5É. CamaraA7.9
  • 22Y. Titraoui7.9
  • 10P. Guiagon ★A9.6
  • 21A. Scheidler↓86’6.9
  • 17A. Bernier↓75’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 44M. Sow↑46’6.5
  • 23Jules Gaudin↑68’6.7
  • 25A. Colassin↑68’6.2
  • 3K. Van Den Kerkhof↑75’6.6
  • 40Y. Khalifi↑86’6.5

Unused: M. Koné, A. Boukamir, I. Mbenza, Alexandre Stanic

Dender 5-3-2

346.2 M. Verrips(G)
886.7 F. Ferraro 446.3 L. De Fougerolles A↓83’ 216.9 K. Cools 56.2 L. Marijnissen 225.6 B. Fredrick ↓83’
176.3 N. Mbamba ↓72’ 186.2 N. Rôdes 245.9 M. Viltard ↓58’
166.5 R. Květ 776.7 B. Nsimba ↓58’
  • 34M. Verrips (G)6.2
  • 88F. Ferraro6.7
  • 44L. De FougerollesA↓83’6.3
  • 21K. Cools6.9
  • 5L. Marijnissen6.2
  • 22B. Fredrick↓83’5.6
  • 17N. Mbamba↓72’6.3
  • 18N. Rôdes6.2
  • 24M. Viltard↓58’5.9
  • 16R. Květ6.5
  • 77B. Nsimba↓58’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 11R. Oratmangoen↑58’7.0
  • 19J. Attah Kadiri↑58’7.5
  • 23D. Acquah↑72’6.2
  • 67N. Moutha-Sebtaoui↑83’6.3
  • 15K. Kotoń↑83’6.3

Unused: G. Dietsch, B. Goncalves, Kéres Masangu

Player stats

Top rated
P. GuiagonCharleroi9.6
2nd
É. CamaraCharleroi7.9
3rd
Y. TitraouiCharleroi7.9

Charleroi

Dender

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.