KVC Westerlo
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
KVC Westerlo were slight favourites.
The two sides are close in strength. Recent goals, xG and shots on target tip the balance towards KVC Westerlo. KVC Westerlo had 21.1 days of rest, Antwerp 21.2 and had to travel 35 km.
Away travel35 kmRest days21.1 · 21.2Matches / 14d0 · 0
KVC Westerlo52%
Draw22%
Antwerp26%
KVC Westerlo47%
Draw25%
Antwerp28%
KVC Westerlo52%
Draw22%
Antwerp26%
KVC Westerlo44%
Draw23%
Antwerp33%
KVC Westerlo52%
Draw22%
Antwerp26%
Over 2.5 64%
Both score 63%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Westerlo)
No weather data yet
RefereeBram Van Driessche
- Cards per match 4.3
- Penalties per match 0.23
- Matches 52
Team strength
KVC Westerlo
Antwerp
31
L90 StrengthIn forecast
27
33
Current StrengthIn forecast
26
42
AttackIn forecast
24
32
DefenceIn forecast
19
67
Form indexContext
11
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisAntwerp
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
KVC WesterloAntwerp
2.14
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.57
2.29
Goals concededVia Att/Def
2.14
1.10
xGVia Att/Def
1.47
2.19
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.41
+1.04
Goals minus xGContext
+0.10
86%
Scored inContext
71%
29%
Clean sheetsContext
14%
15.00
ShotsContext
14.86
5.29
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.29
35%
On target shareContext
36%
10.57
Shots in the boxContext
9.71
71%
Box shareContext
64%
14%
ConversionContext
11%
1.20
OffsidesContext
1.33
14.71
Shots allowedContext
16.57
5.43
On target allowedVia Att/Def
6.71
2.57
BlocksContext
4.43
3.14
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.29
58%
Save rateContext
64%
50%
PossessionIn forecast
49%
445
PassesContext
393
369
Accurate passesContext
314
83%
Pass accuracyContext
80%
6.78
Team ratingContext
6.69
12.86
FoulsContext
14.43
10.43
Fouls sufferedContext
8.43
1.14
Yellow cardsContext
1.71
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.70
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.30
2.00
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.80
1.00
xGVia Att/Def
1.27
1.94
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.43
+0.70
Goals minus xGContext
+0.03
80%
Scored inContext
60%
30%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
14.80
ShotsContext
14.60
4.70
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.90
32%
On target shareContext
34%
9.80
Shots in the boxContext
9.50
66%
Box shareContext
64%
12%
ConversionContext
9%
1.29
OffsidesContext
2.11
14.20
Shots allowedContext
16.80
5.30
On target allowedVia Att/Def
6.60
3.00
BlocksContext
4.80
3.30
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.50
62%
Save rateContext
68%
51%
PossessionIn forecast
49%
447
PassesContext
402
375
Accurate passesContext
326
84%
Pass accuracyContext
81%
6.76
Team ratingContext
6.78
12.30
FoulsContext
12.60
10.60
Fouls sufferedContext
9.20
1.40
Yellow cardsContext
1.80
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
KVC Westerlo
LDWWW
Rest21.1 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel0 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 67 · 10 pts vs 8.0 for an average club · +4.8 vs expected
Antwerp
DLLLL
Rest21.2 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d0all competitions
Travel35 km0 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 11 · 1 pts vs 6.8 for an average club · -4.2 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| KVC Westerlo |
Antwerp |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 0 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 21.1Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 20 Sep | 21.2Belgian Pro League 2026-2027, 20 Sep |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 35 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 0 km | 0 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 0 / 0 / 1 | 0 / 0 / 1 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 13.1 | 12.9 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
KVC Westerlo
Confirmed XI
99A. Jungdal(G)
28Dylan Ourega
4A. Lapage
5Seiji Kimura
2L. Flø
14C. Sandra
45I. Fofana
7Shunsuke Saito
13I. Sakamoto
39T. Van den Keybus
9N. Bassette
Antwerp
Confirmed XI
41Taishi Brandon Nozawa(G)
5D. Foulon
3Álvaro Cortés
20R. Van Helden
17S. Renders
48A. Vermeeren
8M. Benítez
7I. Salah
24T. Somers
14Xander Dierickx
9M. Frey
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences KVC Westerlo
Absences are shown before kick-off
Antwerp
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- KVC Westerlo+0.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Antwerp+0.0 pp
Home / Away this season
KVC Westerlo · Home
1.33points per game · 3 home games
- W-D-L
- 1-1-1
- Scored
- 2.33
- Conceded
- 3.00
Antwerp · Away
1.00points per game · 3 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-2
- Scored
- 1.33
- Conceded
- 1.33
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Common opponents 4 this season
| Opponent | KVC Westerlo | Antwerp |
|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden | W 2–0 A | L 1–4 H |
| Standard Liege | W 4–2 H | L 0–1 A |
| Genk | L 2–3 A | D 4–4 H |
| Union St. Gilloise | L 1–5 H | L 0–2 H |
| Points | 6 of 12 · 1.50 per game | 1 of 12 · 0.25 per game |
League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.
Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings
2 KVC Westerlo wins1 draws3 Antwerp wins
Goals per game1.33 – 1.83
Over 2.550%
Both scored33%
Clean sheets33% · 33%
- 23 May 2026Antwerp2–0KVC Westerlo
- 25 Apr 2026KVC Westerlo2–4Antwerp
- 15 Feb 2026Antwerp0–2KVC Westerlo
- 30 Aug 2025KVC Westerlo2–0Antwerp
- 23 Dec 2023Antwerp2–2KVC Westerlo
- 15 Sep 2023KVC Westerlo0–3Antwerp
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| KVC Westerlo | Antwerp | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 2.14 | 1.57 | |
| Conceded per game | 2.29 | 2.14 | |
| Match goals | 4.43 | 3.71 | 3.30 |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 86% | |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | 71% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 86% | 43% | |
| Both teams scored | 57% | 57% | 63% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 14% | |
| Failed to score | 14% | 29% | |
| Games | 7 | 7 |
| KVC Westerlo | Antwerp | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.70 | 1.20 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.80 | 1.70 | |
| Match goals | 3.50 | 2.90 | 3.30 |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 70% | |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 50% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 30% | |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% | 63% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% | |
| Failed to score | 20% | 40% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| KVC Westerlo | Antwerp | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 3.57 | 4.86 | |
| Corners conceded | 6.14 | 5.86 | |
| Match total | 9.71 | 10.72 | 10.07 |
| Over 8.5 | 86% 6/7 | 57% 4/7 | |
| Over 9.5 | 43% 3/7 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Over 10.5 | 29% 2/7 | 43% 3/7 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.14 | 1.86 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.29 | 2.29 | |
| Match total | 2.43 | 4.15 | 3.28 |
| Over 3.5 | 29% 2/7 | 57% 4/7 | |
| Over 4.5 | 29% 2/7 | 43% 3/7 | |
| KVC Westerlo | Antwerp | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.10 | 5.40 | |
| Corners conceded | 5.80 | 5.90 | |
| Match total | 9.90 | 11.30 | 10.07 |
| Over 8.5 | 80% 8/10 | 70% 7/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 50% 5/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 40% 4/10 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.40 | 1.90 | |
| Opponent cards | 1.60 | 1.90 | |
| Match total | 3.00 | 3.80 | 3.28 |
| Over 3.5 | 50% 5/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Bram Van Driessche 52 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards4.04league 3.07
Red cards0.21league 0.19
Cards 5+37%league 26%
Fouls21.3league 21.9
Penalties0.23league 0.24
Home wins48%league 47%
KVC Westerlo6 with this referee
Record2-1-3
Cards · opp.1.5 · 2.2
Pens for · against1 · 0
- L14 Mar 26H · Club Brugge KV1–21
- W31 Jan 26A · Zulte Waregem1–02
- W14 Sep 25A · St. Truiden3–02
- L1 Mar 24H · Charleroi0–11
- D23 Dec 23A · Antwerp2–21
Antwerp10 with this referee
Record4-3-3
Cards · opp.1.8 · 2.5
Pens for · against1 · 0
Reds2
- L30 Aug 26H · St. Truiden1–41
- D19 May 26A · Genk0–02
- L21 Feb 26A · Union St. Gilloise1–21
- W8 Nov 25H · RAAL La Louvière3–14
- W24 Aug 25H · KV Mechelen2–11
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
KVC Westerlo7 games · scored 15 · conceded 16
6
0-15
1
3
16-30
1
3
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
4
61-75
3
4
76-90
Antwerp7 games · scored 11 · conceded 15
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
4
46-60
2
2
61-75
5
5
76-90
KVC Westerlo10 games · scored 17 · conceded 20
7
0-15
1
4
16-30
1
5
31-45
3
2
46-60
1
5
61-75
4
4
76-90
Antwerp10 games · scored 13 · conceded 18
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
5
46-60
3
2
61-75
5
5
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
