Belgian Pro League Knockout phase Sun, Oct 11 2026 · 12:30 Stade Maurice Dufrasne, Luik
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.05 – 1.58
  • Gustav Mortensen 90+6’
  • 58’ C. Keita
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Keita goal decides it for Charleroi

Charleroi won 1–0 through a Keita goal. Standard Liege played with ten men from the 90th minute after Mortensen was sent off. Charleroi finished with the higher xG (1.58 vs 1.05). On the chances created, Standard Liege deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Standard Liege39%
Draw24%
Charleroi ✓37%

Model vs reality

Standard Liege goals
0
Model 1.56 · xG 1.05
Charleroi goals
1
Model 1.53 · xG 1.58
Total goals
1
Model 3.10 · xG 2.63
Score 0–1
6%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 60%
Both scored
No
Model 62%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. EpoloStandard Liege
8.2
  • RefereeSimon Bourdeaud'hui
  • VenueStade Maurice Dufrasne
  • Table before kick-offStandard Liege 7th · Charleroi 4th

Timeline

  1. I. HautekietYellow card · Foul
    36’
  2. A. BoukamirYellow card · Foul
    45’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. C. Keita 0–1Assist P. Pflücke
    58’
  5. ⇄ S. DrammehFor Bernard Nguene
    65’
  6. ⇄ A. ZeqiriFor C. Nielsen
    65’
  7. ⇄ T. RoweFor P. Pflücke
    71’
  8. ⇄ I. CisseFor A. Boukamir
    77’
  9. ⇄ Gaku NawataFor F. Mbemba
    77’
  10. ⇄ B. NsimbaFor D. Eckert Ayensa
    77’
  11. ⇄ R. FossoFor R. Touzghar
    84’
  12. ⇄ M. IlaimaharitraFor A. Trouillet
    84’
  13. ⇄ M. SowFor J. Romsaas
    86’
  14. Gustav MortensenRed card · Handling
    90+6’
  15. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Standard Liege10 shots · 4 in box, 6 outside
Charleroi10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
Standard LiegeCharleroi
42% Possession 58%
1.05 Expected goals (xG) 1.58
1.01 Expected points (xPts) 1.74
10 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 4
6 Shots off target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Shots inside the box 7
6 Shots outside the box 3
342 Passes 463
81% Pass accuracy 84%
5 Corners 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
15 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
6.75 Team rating 7.23

Line-ups

Standard Liege 4-3-3

18.2★ M. Epolo(G)
36.3 Gustav Mortensen 256.2 I. Hautekiet 207.3 I. Karamoko 136.6 M. Fossey
846.3 R. Touzghar ↓84’ 227.0 A. Trouillet ↓84’ 946.3 C. Nielsen ↓65’
116.9 A. Abid 106.7 D. Eckert Ayensa ↓77’ 176.2 Bernard Nguene ↓65’
  • 1M. Epolo (G) ★8.2
  • 3Gustav Mortensen6.3
  • 25I. Hautekiet6.2
  • 20I. Karamoko7.3
  • 13M. Fossey6.6
  • 84R. Touzghar↓84’6.3
  • 22A. Trouillet↓84’7.0
  • 94C. Nielsen↓65’6.3
  • 11A. Abid6.9
  • 10D. Eckert Ayensa↓77’6.7
  • 17Bernard Nguene↓65’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 80R. Fosso↑84’
  • 23M. Ilaimaharitra↑84’
  • 15S. Drammeh↑65’6.6
  • 77B. Nsimba↑77’
  • 9A. Zeqiri↑65’6.7

Unused: L. Pirard, D. Dierckx, H. Lawrence, T. Mohr

Charleroi 4-2-3-1

307.5 M. Koné(G)
246.9 M. Nzita 957.9 C. Keita 47.2 A. Ousou 36.6 K. Van Den Kerkhof
186.9 Y. Khalifi 67.3 A. Boukamir ↓77’
207.0 F. Mbemba ↓77’ 87.5 J. Romsaas ↓86’ 148.2 P. Pflücke A↓71’
216.9 A. Scheidler
  • 30M. Koné (G)7.5
  • 24M. Nzita6.9
  • 95C. Keita7.9
  • 4A. Ousou7.2
  • 3K. Van Den Kerkhof6.6
  • 18Y. Khalifi6.9
  • 6A. Boukamir↓77’7.3
  • 20F. Mbemba↓77’7.0
  • 8J. Romsaas↓86’7.5
  • 14P. PflückeA↓71’8.2
  • 21A. Scheidler6.9

Substitutes used

  • 44M. Sow↑86’
  • 13Gaku Nawata↑77’
  • 19I. Cisse↑77’
  • 2T. Rowe↑71’6.3

Unused: M. Delavallée, N. Solheid, Mory Kera, A. Bojang, A. Colassin

Player stats

Top rated
M. EpoloStandard Liege8.2
2nd
P. PflückeCharleroi8.2
3rd
C. KeitaCharleroi7.9

Standard Liege

Charleroi

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.