Serie A Gameweek 4 Sun, Sep 21 2025 · 11:30 Stadio Olimpico, Roma
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.04 – 1.40
  • R. Belahyane 86’
  • 38’ L. Pellegrini
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Pellegrini goal decides it for AS Roma

AS Roma won 1–0 through a Pellegrini goal. Lazio played with ten men from the 86th minute after Belahyane was sent off. AS Roma finished with the higher xG (1.40 vs 1.04). On the chances created, Lazio deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Lazio37%
Draw28%
AS Roma ✓35%

Model vs reality

Lazio goals
0
Model 1.29 · xG 1.04
AS Roma goals
1
Model 1.25 · xG 1.40
Total goals
1
Model 2.55 · xG 2.44
Score 0–1
9%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 47%
Both scored
No
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. SouléAS Roma · 1 assist
7.7
  • RefereeSimone Sozza
  • VenueStadio Olimpico
  • Table before kick-offLazio 13th · AS Roma 7th

Timeline

  1. ⇄ R. BelahyaneFor O. Dele-Bashiru
    14’
  2. L. Pellegrini 0–1Assist M. Soulé
    38’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ D. CataldiFor N. Rovella
    46’
  5. ⇄ L. PellegriniFor Nuno Tavares
    46’
  6. ⇄ V. CastellanosFor B. Dia
    62’
  7. ⇄ A. DovbykFor E. Ferguson
    66’
  8. ⇄ N. PisilliFor L. Pellegrini
    73’
  9. ⇄ T. BaldanziFor M. Soulé
    73’
  10. ⇄ T. NoslinFor Pedro
    79’
  11. ⇄ N. El AynaouiFor B. Cristante
    81’
  12. ⇄ K. TsimikasFor Angeliño
    81’
  13. O. NdickaYellow card · Roughing
    83’
  14. R. BelahyaneRed card · Serious foul
    86’
  15. Mario GilaYellow card · Tripping
    88’
  16. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Lazio10 shots · 6 in box, 4 outside
AS Roma13 shots · 12 in box, 1 outside
LazioAS Roma
49% Possession 51%
1.04 Expected goals (xG) 1.40
1.11 Expected points (xPts) 1.62
10 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 6
8 Shots off target 6
0 Blocked shots 1
6 Shots inside the box 12
4 Shots outside the box 1
388 Passes 406
81% Pass accuracy 83%
3 Corners 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
14 Fouls 22
0 Offsides 4
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
6.79 Team rating 6.90

Line-ups

Lazio 4-3-3

947.2 I. Provedel(G)
176.0 Nuno Tavares ↓46’ 136.9 A. Romagnoli 347.0 Mario Gila 776.3 A. Marušić
76.3 O. Dele-Bashiru ↓14’ 66.9 N. Rovella ↓46’ 87.3 M. Guendouzi
106.9 M. Zaccagni 196.7 B. Dia ↓62’ 96.9 Pedro ↓79’
  • 94I. Provedel (G)7.2
  • 17Nuno Tavares↓46’6.0
  • 13A. Romagnoli6.9
  • 34Mario Gila7.0
  • 77A. Marušić6.3
  • 7O. Dele-Bashiru↓14’6.3
  • 6N. Rovella↓46’6.9
  • 8M. Guendouzi7.3
  • 10M. Zaccagni6.9
  • 19B. Dia↓62’6.7
  • 9Pedro↓79’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 21R. Belahyane↑14’6.5
  • 3L. Pellegrini↑46’6.7
  • 32D. Cataldi↑46’6.5
  • 11V. Castellanos↑62’6.7
  • 14T. Noslin↑79’6.7

Unused: A. Furlanetto, C. Mandas, Patric, E. Hysaj, Oliver Provstgaard, G. Isaksen, Pietro Pinelli, Valerio Farcomeni, M. Cancellieri

AS Roma 3-4-1-2

997.5 M. Svilar(G)
56.2 O. Ndicka 236.9 G. Mancini 196.7 M. Çelik
36.9 Angeliño ↓81’ 46.3 B. Cristante ↓81’ 177.5 K. Koné 27.2 D. Rensch
77.2 L. Pellegrini ↓73’
116.2 E. Ferguson ↓66’ 187.7★ M. Soulé A↓73’
  • 99M. Svilar (G)7.5
  • 5O. Ndicka6.2
  • 23G. Mancini6.9
  • 19M. Çelik6.7
  • 3Angeliño↓81’6.9
  • 4B. Cristante↓81’6.3
  • 17K. Koné7.5
  • 2D. Rensch7.2
  • 7L. Pellegrini↓73’7.2
  • 11E. Ferguson↓66’6.2
  • 18M. Soulé ★A↓73’7.7

Substitutes used

  • 9A. Dovbyk↑66’6.2
  • 61N. Pisilli↑73’6.7
  • 12K. Tsimikas↑81’6.7
  • 8N. El Aynaoui↑81’6.2
  • 35T. Baldanzi↑73’6.5

Unused: P. Gollini, D. Vásquez, D. Ghilardi, J. Ziółkowski, Buba Sangaré, S. El Shaarawy

Player stats

Top rated
M. SouléAS Roma7.7
2nd
M. SvilarAS Roma7.5
3rd
K. KonéAS Roma7.5

Lazio

AS Roma

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.