Serie A Gameweek 19 Wed, Jan 7 2026 · 19:45 Stadio Olimpico, Roma
2–2 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.74 – 1.64
  • D. Cataldi 52’
  • Pedro 90+5’ (P)
  • 56’ R. Gosens
  • 89’ (P) A. Guðmundsson
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Lazio snatch a late draw

Lazio entered as favourites, yet Fiorentina led 2–1 after 89 minutes through goals from Gosens and Guðmundsson. But Pedro scored to rescue a draw for Lazio. Lazio finished with the higher xG (2.74 vs 1.64). On the chances created, Lazio deserved more: 2.0 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Lazio51%
Draw ✓26%
Fiorentina23%

Model vs reality

Lazio goals
2
Model 1.60 · xG 2.74
Fiorentina goals
2
Model 0.98 · xG 1.64
Total goals
4
Model 2.58 · xG 4.38
Score 2–2
5%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 48%
Both scored
Yes
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. FagioliFiorentina · 1 assist
8.7
  • RefereeSimone Sozza
  • VenueStadio Olimpico
  • Table before kick-offLazio 9th · Fiorentina 19th

Timeline

  1. M. PongračićYellow card · Roughing
    20’
  2. R. GosensYellow card · Foul
    21’
  3. M. CancellieriYellow card · Roughing
    26’
  4. ⇄ M. VecinoFor T. Bašić
    29’
  5. Half time · 0–0
  6. D. Cataldi 1–0Assist M. Vecino
    52’
  7. F. ParisiYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    55’
  8. R. Gosens 1–1Assist N. Fagioli
    56’
  9. ⇄ M. KeanFor R. Piccoli
    60’
  10. ⇄ L. RanieriFor R. Gosens
    68’
  11. ⇄ M. SolomonFor C. Ndour
    69’
  12. N. FagioliYellow card · Foul
    71’
  13. ⇄ PedroFor G. Isaksen
    72’
  14. ⇄ E. HysajFor M. Lazzari
    80’
  15. M. ZaccagniYellow card
    83’
  16. A. Guðmundsson (pen) 1–2
    89’
  17. L. PellegriniYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90’
  18. ⇄ Pablo MaríFor A. Guðmundsson
    90+2’
  19. ⇄ H. NicolussiFor F. Parisi
    90+2’
  20. Pedro (pen) 2–2
    90+5’
  21. H. NicolussiYellow card · Delay of game
    90+8’
  22. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Lazio17 shots · 12 in box, 5 outside
Fiorentina8 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
LazioFiorentina
48% Possession 52%
2.74 Expected goals (xG) 1.64
2.00 Expected points (xPts) 0.82
17 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 5
2 Shots off target 1
6 Blocked shots 2
12 Shots inside the box 6
5 Shots outside the box 2
422 Passes 468
86% Pass accuracy 90%
8 Corners 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
6.93 Team rating 7.10

Line-ups

Lazio 4-3-3

947.7 I. Provedel(G)
36.3 L. Pellegrini 137.0 A. Romagnoli 345.9 Mario Gila 296.2 M. Lazzari ↓80’
266.5 T. Bašić ↓29’ 327.9 D. Cataldi 87.3 M. Guendouzi
107.6 M. Zaccagni 227.0 M. Cancellieri 186.7 G. Isaksen ↓72’
  • 94I. Provedel (G)7.7
  • 3L. Pellegrini6.3
  • 13A. Romagnoli7.0
  • 34Mario Gila5.9
  • 29M. Lazzari↓80’6.2
  • 26T. Bašić↓29’6.5
  • 32D. Cataldi7.9
  • 8M. Guendouzi7.3
  • 10M. Zaccagni7.6
  • 22M. Cancellieri7.0
  • 18G. Isaksen↓72’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 5M. VecinoA↑29’6.7
  • 9Pedro↑72’6.9
  • 23E. Hysaj↑80’6.2

Unused: C. Mandas, A. Furlanetto, Oliver Provstgaard, Nuno Tavares, R. Belahyane, N. Rovella, Federico Serra

Fiorentina 4-3-3

437.9 David de Gea(G)
217.3 R. Gosens ↓68’ 56.9 M. Pongračić 156.7 P. Comuzzo 26.0 Dodô
277.0 C. Ndour ↓69’ 448.7★ N. Fagioli A 86.6 R. Mandragora
107.9 A. Guðmundsson ↓90’ 916.5 R. Piccoli ↓60’ 657.0 F. Parisi ↓90’
  • 43David de Gea (G)7.9
  • 21R. Gosens↓68’7.3
  • 5M. Pongračić6.9
  • 15P. Comuzzo6.7
  • 2Dodô6.0
  • 27C. Ndour↓69’7.0
  • 44N. Fagioli ★A8.7
  • 8R. Mandragora6.6
  • 10A. Guðmundsson↓90’7.9
  • 91R. Piccoli↓60’6.5
  • 65F. Parisi↓90’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 20M. Kean↑60’6.6
  • 6L. Ranieri↑68’6.3
  • 19M. Solomon↑69’6.3
  • 18Pablo Marí↑90’
  • 14H. Nicolussi↑90’

Unused: L. Lezzerini, O. Christensen, E. Košpo, E. Kouadio, N. Fortini, S. Sohm, C. Kouamé

Player stats

Top rated
N. FagioliFiorentina8.7
2nd
D. CataldiLazio7.9
3rd
David de GeaFiorentina7.9

Lazio

Fiorentina

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.