Serie A Gameweek 8 Sun, Oct 26 2025 · 19:45 Stadio Olimpico, Roma
Lazio
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.77 – 1.29
Juventus
  • T. Bašić 9’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bašić goal decides it for Lazio

Lazio won 1–0 through a Bašić goal. Lazio won despite the lower xG; Juventus created the better chances (1.29 vs 0.77). On the chances created, Juventus deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Lazio ✓37%
Draw28%
Juventus35%

Model vs reality

Lazio goals
1
Model 1.29 · xG 0.77
Juventus goals
0
Model 1.24 · xG 1.29
Total goals
1
Model 2.53 · xG 2.06
Score 1–0
10%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 46%
Both scored
No
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchG. IsaksenLazio
7.7
  • RefereeAndrea Colombo
  • VenueStadio Olimpico
  • Table before kick-offLazio 14th · Juventus 8th

Timeline

  1. T. Bašić 1–0Assist D. Cataldi
    9’
  2. T. KoopmeinersYellow card · Roughing
    30’
  3. M. LazzariYellow card · Tripping
    33’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ K. YıldızFor A. Cambiaso
    46’
  6. M. LocatelliYellow card · Roughing
    52’
  7. W. McKennieYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    54’
  8. ⇄ L. PellegriniFor M. Lazzari
    55’
  9. L. KellyYellow card · Roughing
    64’
  10. ⇄ F. KostićFor J. David
    66’
  11. ⇄ K. ThuramFor T. Koopmeiners
    66’
  12. ⇄ M. VecinoFor T. Bašić
    68’
  13. ⇄ I. OpendaFor W. McKennie
    78’
  14. ⇄ T. NoslinFor B. Dia
    82’
  15. ⇄ PedroFor G. Isaksen
    83’
  16. ⇄ João MárioFor F. Gatti
    86’
  17. M. GuendouziYellow card · Foul
    90+1’
  18. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Lazio13 shots · 9 in box, 4 outside
Juventus12 shots · 10 in box, 2 outside
LazioJuventus
40% Possession 60%
0.77 Expected goals (xG) 1.29
0.96 Expected points (xPts) 1.75
13 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
6 Shots off target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
9 Shots inside the box 10
4 Shots outside the box 2
335 Passes 487
79% Pass accuracy 88%
2 Corners 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Fouls 17
0 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.99 Team rating 6.57

Line-ups

Lazio 4-3-3

947.3 I. Provedel(G)
777.0 A. Marušić 137.2 A. Romagnoli 347.2 Mario Gila 296.6 M. Lazzari ↓55’
267.6 T. Bašić ↓68’ 326.9 D. Cataldi A 86.6 M. Guendouzi
106.6 M. Zaccagni 196.7 B. Dia ↓82’ 187.7★ G. Isaksen ↓83’
  • 94I. Provedel (G)7.3
  • 77A. Marušić7.0
  • 13A. Romagnoli7.2
  • 34Mario Gila7.2
  • 29M. Lazzari↓55’6.6
  • 26T. Bašić↓68’7.6
  • 32D. CataldiA6.9
  • 8M. Guendouzi6.6
  • 10M. Zaccagni6.6
  • 19B. Dia↓82’6.7
  • 18G. Isaksen ★↓83’7.7

Substitutes used

  • 3L. Pellegrini↑55’6.3
  • 5M. Vecino↑68’6.7
  • 14T. Noslin↑82’6.3
  • 9Pedro↑83’6.5

Unused: A. Furlanetto, C. Mandas, E. Hysaj, Oliver Provstgaard, Patric, R. Belahyane

Juventus 3-5-2

16.3 M. Perin(G)
66.3 L. Kelly 46.9 F. Gatti ↓86’ 156.9 P. Kalulu
276.9 A. Cambiaso ↓46’ 226.3 W. McKennie ↓78’ 57.2 M. Locatelli 86.3 T. Koopmeiners ↓66’ 76.6 Francisco Conceição
306.2 J. David ↓66’ 96.3 D. Vlahović
  • 1M. Perin (G)6.3
  • 6L. Kelly6.3
  • 4F. Gatti↓86’6.9
  • 15P. Kalulu6.9
  • 27A. Cambiaso↓46’6.9
  • 22W. McKennie↓78’6.3
  • 5M. Locatelli7.2
  • 8T. Koopmeiners↓66’6.3
  • 7Francisco Conceição6.6
  • 30J. David↓66’6.2
  • 9D. Vlahović6.3

Substitutes used

  • 10K. Yıldız↑46’6.5
  • 18F. Kostić↑66’6.7
  • 19K. Thuram↑66’6.7
  • 25João Mário↑86’
  • 20I. Openda↑78’6.7

Unused: M. Di Gregorio, Matteo Fuscaldo, Pedro Felipe, D. Rugani, E. Zhegrova, F. Miretti, V. Adžić

Player stats

Top rated
G. IsaksenLazio7.7
2nd
T. BašićLazio7.6
3rd
I. ProvedelLazio7.3

Lazio

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
I. Provedel G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 64% 36 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
A. Marušić D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 34 2 1 1/1 2/1 7.0
A. Romagnoli D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 38 1 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
Mario Gila D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 39 2 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
M. Lazzari M 55 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 24 0 0 1/1 1/2 6.6
T. Bašić M 68 1 0 2 (2) 0 88% 16 0 1 0/0 1/2 7.6
D. Cataldi M 90 0 1 1 (0) 1 88% 34 0 0 0/1 2/1 6.9
M. Guendouzi M 90 0 0 1 (0) 3 81% 26 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.6
M. Zaccagni M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 64% 22 2 3 0/1 1/2 6.6
B. Dia F 82 0 0 1 (1) 0 67% 15 1 0 1/1 1/0 6.7
G. Isaksen F 83 0 0 2 (0) 2 72% 29 0 1 3/5 1/8 7.7
L. Pellegrini D 35 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 10 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
M. Vecino M 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.7
T. Noslin F 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
Pedro F 7 0 0 1 (0) 0 0% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5

Juventus

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Perin G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 100% 14 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
L. Kelly D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 68 1 0 0/0 4/0 6.3
F. Gatti D 86 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 76 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
P. Kalulu D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 84% 58 2 0 0/0 1/1 6.9
A. Cambiaso D 46 0 0 1 (0) 3 84% 25 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
W. McKennie M 78 0 0 1 (0) 1 82% 44 1 2 0/0 2/0 6.3
M. Locatelli M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 87% 82 2 1 1/1 3/3 7.2
T. Koopmeiners M 66 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 24 1 1 0/0 3/0 6.3
Francisco Conceição F 90 0 0 1 (0) 3 100% 23 2 1 3/6 2/1 6.6
J. David F 66 0 0 1 (1) 0 69% 16 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.2
D. Vlahović F 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 75% 16 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
K. Yıldız F 44 0 0 1 (1) 1 89% 9 0 0 0/1 0/2 6.5
F. Kostić M 24 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 16 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
K. Thuram M 24 0 0 1 (1) 0 86% 14 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
João Mário D 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
I. Openda F 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.