Serie A Gameweek 31 Sat, Apr 4 2026 · 19:45 Stadio Olimpico, Roma
1–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.34 – 0.44
  • T. Noslin 77’
  • 15’ E. Delprato
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Lazio and Parma share the points

Lazio entered as favourites, yet Parma led 1–0 at half-time through a Delprato goal. But Noslin scored to rescue a draw for Lazio. The chances were even, with xG of 0.34 and 0.44.

Lazio59%
Draw ✓26%
Parma16%

Model vs reality

Lazio goals
1
Model 1.64 · xG 0.34
Parma goals
1
Model 0.73 · xG 0.44
Total goals
2
Model 2.38 · xG 0.78
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–0 (15%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 42%
Both scored
Yes
Model 42%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchT. NoslinLazio · 1 goal
7.7
  • RefereeMatteo Marcenaro
  • VenueStadio Olimpico
  • Table before kick-offLazio 8th · Parma 12th

Timeline

  1. E. Delprato 0–1
    15’
  2. Gabriel StrefezzaYellow card · Roughing
    27’
  3. Mateo PellegrinoYellow card
    32’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. ⇄ M. LazzariFor A. Marušić
    58’
  6. ⇄ T. NoslinFor Pedro
    58’
  7. ⇄ M. CancellieriFor G. Isaksen
    58’
  8. ⇄ B. DiaFor D. Maldini
    65’
  9. ⇄ N. EstévezFor H. Nicolussi
    71’
  10. T. Noslin 1–1Assist K. Taylor
    77’
  11. ⇄ C. OrdoñezFor Adrián Bernabé
    81’
  12. ⇄ G. OristanioFor Gabriel Strefezza
    81’
  13. T. NoslinYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    87’
  14. ⇄ O. SørensenFor L. Keita
    90+2’
  15. ⇄ F. CarboniFor Sascha Britschgi
    90+2’
  16. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Lazio6 shots · 5 in box, 1 outside
Parma7 shots · 4 in box, 3 outside
LazioParma
60% Possession 40%
0.34 Expected goals (xG) 0.44
1.13 Expected points (xPts) 1.34
6 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 4
2 Shots off target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
5 Shots inside the box 4
1 Shots outside the box 3
557 Passes 378
93% Pass accuracy 85%
7 Corners 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.81 Team rating 6.88

Line-ups

Lazio 4-3-3

407.0 E. Motta(G)
176.9 Nuno Tavares 257.3 Oliver Provstgaard 137.2 A. Romagnoli 776.5 A. Marušić ↓58’
247.0 K. Taylor A 326.7 D. Cataldi 76.2 O. Dele-Bashiru
96.9 Pedro ↓58’ 276.3 D. Maldini ↓65’ 186.3 G. Isaksen ↓58’
  • 40E. Motta (G)7.0
  • 17Nuno Tavares6.9
  • 25Oliver Provstgaard7.3
  • 13A. Romagnoli7.2
  • 77A. Marušić↓58’6.5
  • 24K. TaylorA7.0
  • 32D. Cataldi6.7
  • 7O. Dele-Bashiru6.2
  • 9Pedro↓58’6.9
  • 27D. Maldini↓65’6.3
  • 18G. Isaksen↓58’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 29M. Lazzari↑58’6.6
  • 22M. Cancellieri↑58’6.9
  • 19B. Dia↑65’6.5
  • 14T. Noslin ★↑58’7.7

Unused: T. Bašić, Giacomo Giacomone, Valerio Farcomeni, R. Belahyane, E. Hysaj, P. Ratkov, A. Przyborek, A. Furlanetto

Parma 3-5-2

316.9 Z. Suzuki(G)
56.9 L. Valenti 397.3 A. Circati 157.2 E. Delprato
146.9 E. Valeri 166.6 L. Keita ↓90’ 416.9 H. Nicolussi ↓71’ 106.6 Adrián Bernabé ↓81’ 276.5 Sascha Britschgi ↓90’
77.2 Gabriel Strefezza ↓81’ 96.9 Mateo Pellegrino
  • 31Z. Suzuki (G)6.9
  • 5L. Valenti6.9
  • 39A. Circati7.3
  • 15E. Delprato7.2
  • 14E. Valeri6.9
  • 16L. Keita↓90’6.6
  • 41H. Nicolussi↓71’6.9
  • 10Adrián Bernabé↓81’6.6
  • 27Sascha Britschgi↓90’6.5
  • 7Gabriel Strefezza↓81’7.2
  • 9Mateo Pellegrino6.9

Substitutes used

  • 8N. Estévez↑71’6.5
  • 21G. Oristanio↑81’6.3
  • 24C. Ordoñez↑81’6.3
  • 29F. Carboni↑90’
  • 22O. Sørensen↑90’

Unused: N. Elphege, F. Rinaldi, Marlon Mena, E. Corvi, A. Ndiaye, J. Ondrejka

Player stats

Top rated
T. NoslinLazio7.7
2nd
Oliver ProvstgaardLazio7.3
3rd
A. CircatiParma7.3

Lazio

Parma

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.