Ligue 1 Gameweek 24 Sat, Feb 28 2026 · 20:05 Stade Océane, Le Havre
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.58 – 3.88
  • 37’ B. Barcola
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Barcola goal decides it for Paris Saint Germain

Paris Saint Germain entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Barcola goal. Paris Saint Germain finished with the higher xG (3.88 vs 0.58).

LE Havre9%
Draw16%
Paris Saint Germain ✓75%

Model vs reality

LE Havre goals
0
Model 0.81 · xG 0.58
Paris Saint Germain goals
1
Model 2.61 · xG 3.88
Total goals
1
Model 3.42 · xG 4.46
Score 0–1
8%
Most likely 0–2 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 66%
Both scored
No
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. DiawLE Havre
9.0
  • RefereeMarc Bollengier
  • VenueStade Océane
  • Table before kick-offLE Havre 13th · Paris Saint Germain 1st

Timeline

  1. T. PembéléYellow card · Holding
    31’
  2. B. Barcola 0–1Assist K. Lee
    37’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ Nuno MendesFor Dro Fernández
    61’
  5. ⇄ D. DouéFor K. Lee
    61’
  6. ⇄ E. K. VinetteFor Y. Zouaoui
    61’
  7. ⇄ F. DoucouréFor T. Pembélé
    61’
  8. ⇄ K. QuetantFor S. Boufal
    71’
  9. ⇄ I. MbayeFor K. Kvaratskhelia
    71’
  10. ✕ D. DouéMissed penalty
    79’
  11. ⇄ M. SamattaFor L. Gourna-Douath
    84’
  12. F. DoucouréYellow card · Foul
    84’
  13. ⇄ Y. KechtaFor Stephan Zagadou
    84’
  14. S. EbonogYellow card · Holding
    87’
  15. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

LE Havre7 shots · 2 in box, 5 outside
Paris Saint Germain22 shots · 15 in box, 7 outside
LE HavreParis Saint Germain
32% Possession 68%
0.58 Expected goals (xG) 3.88
0.12 Expected points (xPts) 2.81
7 Shots 22
1 Shots on target 9
3 Shots off target 8
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Shots inside the box 15
5 Shots outside the box 7
320 Passes 701
76% Pass accuracy 91%
2 Corners 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
12 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 3
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.88 Team rating 7.03

Line-ups

LE Havre 3-4-1-2

999.0★ M. Diaw(G)
46.6 G. Lloris 157.0 A. Seko 296.9 Stephan Zagadou ↓84’
187.2 Y. Zouaoui ↓61’ 196.5 L. Gourna-Douath ↓84’ 266.3 S. Ebonog 326.3 T. Pembélé ↓61’
147.0 R. Ndiaye
176.3 S. Boufal ↓71’ 456.6 I. Soumaré
  • 99M. Diaw (G) ★9.0
  • 4G. Lloris6.6
  • 15A. Seko7.0
  • 29Stephan Zagadou↓84’6.9
  • 18Y. Zouaoui↓61’7.2
  • 19L. Gourna-Douath↓84’6.5
  • 26S. Ebonog6.3
  • 32T. Pembélé↓61’6.3
  • 14R. Ndiaye7.0
  • 17S. Boufal↓71’6.3
  • 45I. Soumaré6.6

Substitutes used

  • 8Y. Kechta↑84’6.7
  • 13F. Doucouré↑61’6.2
  • 27E. K. Vinette↑61’7.2
  • 33K. Quetant↑71’6.5
  • 25M. Samatta↑84’6.3

Unused: Lionel M'Pasi, É. Youté, D. Mosengo, F. Mambimbi

Paris Saint Germain 4-3-3

397.2 M. Safonov(G)
217.3 L. Hernández 517.3 W. Pacho 67.5 I. Zabarnyi 26.7 A. Hakimi
276.3 Dro Fernández ↓61’ 177.3 Vitinha 336.3 W. Zaïre-Emery
76.9 K. Kvaratskhelia ↓71’ 297.6 B. Barcola 197.2 K. Lee A↓61’
  • 39M. Safonov (G)7.2
  • 21L. Hernández7.3
  • 51W. Pacho7.3
  • 6I. Zabarnyi7.5
  • 2A. Hakimi6.7
  • 27Dro Fernández↓61’6.3
  • 17Vitinha7.3
  • 33W. Zaïre-Emery6.3
  • 7K. Kvaratskhelia↓71’6.9
  • 29B. Barcola7.6
  • 19K. LeeA↓61’7.2

Substitutes used

  • 25Nuno Mendes↑61’6.5
  • 49I. Mbaye↑71’6.6
  • 14D. Doué↑61’6.5

Unused: L. Chevalier, R. Bellucci, Beraldo, Marquinhos, Gonçalo Ramos

Player stats

Top rated
M. DiawLE Havre9.0
2nd
B. BarcolaParis Saint Germain7.6
3rd
I. ZabarnyiParis Saint Germain7.5

LE Havre

Paris Saint Germain

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.