Ligue 1 Gameweek 20 Fri, Jan 30 2026 · 19:45 Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.14 – 0.47
  • R. Aguilar 45+1’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Aguilar goal decides it for Lens

Lens entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Aguilar goal. Lens finished with the higher xG (2.14 vs 0.47).

Lens ✓66%
Draw21%
LE Havre13%

Model vs reality

Lens goals
1
Model 2.09 · xG 2.14
LE Havre goals
0
Model 0.82 · xG 0.47
Total goals
1
Model 2.91 · xG 2.61
Score 1–0
11%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 56%
Both scored
No
Model 50%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchR. RisserLens
7.9
  • RefereeJeremy Stinat
  • VenueStade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Table before kick-offLens 2nd · LE Havre 15th

Timeline

  1. R. Aguilar 1–0Assist M. Udol
    45+1’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. S. BoufalYellow card · Roughing
    49’
  4. ⇄ D. MosengoFor A. Sangante
    59’
  5. VAR A. ThomassonGoal Disallowed - handball
    66’
  6. ⇄ N. ObougouFor S. Boufal
    69’
  7. ⇄ T. PembéléFor Y. Zouaoui
    70’
  8. ⇄ R. FofanaFor O. Édouard
    75’
  9. L. Gourna-DouathYellow card · Roughing
    78’
  10. ⇄ F. DoucouréFor L. Nego
    78’
  11. ⇄ K. QuetantFor S. Ebonog
    90+2’
  12. ⇄ F. MambimbiFor Stephan Zagadou
    90+3’
  13. ⇄ A. SimaFor W. Saïd
    90+5’
  14. ⇄ F. SotocaFor F. Thauvin
    90+5’
  15. Kyllian AntonioYellow card · Roughing
    90+7’
  16. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Lens15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
LE Havre8 shots · 4 in box, 4 outside
LensLE Havre
54% Possession 46%
2.14 Expected goals (xG) 0.47
2.46 Expected points (xPts) 0.37
15 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
9 Shots off target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
10 Shots inside the box 4
5 Shots outside the box 4
467 Passes 401
85% Pass accuracy 78%
4 Corners 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
19 Fouls 10
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.28 Team rating 6.78

Line-ups

Lens 3-4-2-1

407.9★ R. Risser(G)
207.3 M. Sarr 256.7 P. Ganiou 327.3 Kyllian Antonio
147.6 M. Udol A 287.0 A. Thomasson 87.2 M. Sangaré 27.9 R. Aguilar
226.9 W. Saïd ↓90’ 107.6 F. Thauvin ↓90’
116.7 O. Édouard ↓75’
  • 40R. Risser (G) ★7.9
  • 20M. Sarr7.3
  • 25P. Ganiou6.7
  • 32Kyllian Antonio7.3
  • 14M. UdolA7.6
  • 28A. Thomasson7.0
  • 8M. Sangaré7.2
  • 2R. Aguilar7.9
  • 22W. Saïd↓90’6.9
  • 10F. Thauvin↓90’7.6
  • 11O. Édouard↓75’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 38R. Fofana↑75’6.9
  • 19A. Sima↑90’
  • 7F. Sotoca↑90’

Unused: M. Gorgelin, N. Čelik, S. Abdulhamid, A. Bermont, A. Bulatović, A. Haidara

LE Havre 3-4-1-2

777.5 Lionel M'Pasi(G)
936.9 A. Sangante ↓59’ 156.9 A. Seko 296.3 Stephan Zagadou ↓90’
186.5 Y. Zouaoui ↓70’ 267.0 S. Ebonog ↓90’ 196.9 L. Gourna-Douath 76.5 L. Nego ↓78’
146.9 R. Ndiaye
176.2 S. Boufal ↓69’ 456.9 I. Soumaré
  • 77Lionel M'Pasi (G)7.5
  • 93A. Sangante↓59’6.9
  • 15A. Seko6.9
  • 29Stephan Zagadou↓90’6.3
  • 18Y. Zouaoui↓70’6.5
  • 26S. Ebonog↓90’7.0
  • 19L. Gourna-Douath6.9
  • 7L. Nego↓78’6.5
  • 14R. Ndiaye6.9
  • 17S. Boufal↓69’6.2
  • 45I. Soumaré6.9

Substitutes used

  • 78D. Mosengo↑59’6.6
  • 32T. Pembélé↑70’6.9
  • 13F. Doucouré↑78’6.3
  • 20N. Obougou↑69’6.7
  • 33K. Quetant↑90’6.3
  • 10F. Mambimbi↑90’

Unused: M. Diaw, Godson Kyeremeh, Y. Kechta

Player stats

Top rated
R. RisserLens7.9
2nd
R. AguilarLens7.9
3rd
M. UdolLens7.6

Lens

LE Havre

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.