Levante vs Espanyol – 11 Jan 2026

La Liga Gameweek 19 Sun, Jan 11 · 15:15 Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia

Levante 19th · 13 pts · 17 played LLLDW

1–1Full time

Espanyol 5th · 33 pts · 18 played WWWWL

Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →

Our take

It was too close to call.

Espanyol were the stronger side on L90 Strength (57 vs 42). Levante had 7.1 days of rest, Espanyol 7.8 and had to travel 295 km.

Away travel295 kmRest days7.1 · 7.8Matches / 14d1 · 1

Levante34%

Draw29%

Espanyol36%

Expected goals 1.16 – 1.21

Levante35%

Draw27%

Espanyol38%

Expected goals 1.31 – 1.37

Levante34%

Draw29%

Espanyol36%

Expected goals 1.16 – 1.21

Levante28%

Draw29%

Espanyol43%

Expected goals 1.04 – 1.35

Levante35%

Draw27%

Espanyol38%

Expected goals 1.31 – 1.37

Over 2.5 42% Both score 49% Likeliest score 1–1

Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.

Weather (Valencia)

No weather data yet

Referee · SpainCesar Soto Grado

Cards per match 5.1
Penalties per match 0.24
Matches 34

Team strength

Levante

Espanyol

42 L90 StrengthIn forecast 57

48 Current StrengthIn forecast 44

55 AttackIn forecast 36

41 DefenceIn forecast 51

— Form indexContext —

In forecastContext

L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.

Match Opportunity

Full analysis

Levante

Attack—

Defense risk—

Espanyol

Attack—

Defense risk—

Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.

Playing style

Levante

Espanyol

1.18 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.22

1.71 Goals concededVia Att/Def 1.06

1.23 xGVia Att/Def 1.39

1.60 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.11

-0.05 Goals minus xGContext -0.17

71% Scored inContext 78%

18% Clean sheetsContext 39%

9.53 ShotsContext 12.33

3.41 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.50

36% On target shareContext 37%

6.44 Shots in the boxContext 8.06

67% Box shareContext 65%

12% ConversionContext 10%

2.46 OffsidesContext 2.17

16.65 Shots allowedContext 12.56

5.47 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.28

4.65 BlocksContext 3.83

3.88 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.47

71% Save rateContext 79%

41% PossessionIn forecast 40%

341 PassesContext 336

266 Accurate passesContext 264

78% Pass accuracyContext 79%

6.74 Team ratingContext 6.83

12.65 FoulsContext 13.50

11.82 Fouls sufferedContext 12.17

2.41 Yellow cardsContext 1.78

0.06 Red cardsContext 0.06

This league season, per match · 17 and 18 games

0.90 Goals scoredVia Att/Def 1.10

1.50 Goals concededVia Att/Def 0.80

1.14 xGVia Att/Def 1.26

1.67 xG allowedVia Att/Def 1.03

-0.24 Goals minus xGContext -0.16

60% Scored inContext 80%

20% Clean sheetsContext 50%

9.50 ShotsContext 12.10

3.70 Shots on targetVia Att/Def 4.70

39% On target shareContext 39%

6.40 Shots in the boxContext 8.40

68% Box shareContext 69%

10% ConversionContext 9%

2.43 OffsidesContext 2.29

15.80 Shots allowedContext 12.20

5.10 On target allowedVia Att/Def 4.00

4.50 BlocksContext 4.00

3.60 Goalkeeper savesContext 3.30

71% Save rateContext 83%

43% PossessionIn forecast 39%

355 PassesContext 317

277 Accurate passesContext 244

78% Pass accuracyContext 77%

6.78 Team ratingContext 6.84

11.10 FoulsContext 13.60

12.00 Fouls sufferedContext 13.10

2.40 Yellow cardsContext 1.90

0.10 Red cardsContext 0.00

Last 10 matches, all competitions, per match · 10 and 10 games

In forecastVia Att/DefContext

In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.

Recent performance last 5 · schedule

Levante

Rest7.1 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel0 km1,079 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Espanyol

Rest7.8 dayssince last match

Matches / 14d1all competitions

Travel295 km0 km in 14d

Schedule load0%Low

No finished matches with a forecast yet.

Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.

Full schedule & recovery

	Levante	Espanyol
Schedule loaddescriptive index, context	Low · 0	Low · 0
High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast	No	No
Rest dayssince last match	7.1La Liga 2025-2026, 4 Jan	7.8La Liga 2025-2026, 3 Jan
Travel to venuefrom home stadium	0 km	295 km
Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways	1,079 km	0 km
Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days	0 / 1 / 2	0 / 1 / 2
Next matchdays after this one	5.9	5.2

All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.

Squad & lineups

Levante Confirmed XI

4-2-3-1

13M. Ryan(G)

6Diego Pampín 2M. Moreno 4Adrián de la Fuente 22J. Toljan

16K. Arriaga 10Pablo Martínez

18Iker Losada 24Carlos Álvarez 26Kareem Tunde

9Iván Romero

Espanyol Confirmed XI

4-4-2

13M. Dmitrović(G)

22Carlos Romero 6L. Cabrera 5F. Calero Villa 23O. El Hilali

24T. Dolan 4Urko González 8Edu Expósito 17Jofre Carreras

11Pere Milla 19Kike García

Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.

Key absences

Levante Absences are shown before kick-off

Espanyol Absences are shown before kick-off

Total impact vs full squads

Levante+0.0 pp
Draw+0.0 pp
Espanyol+0.0 pp

Home / Away this season

Levante · Home 0.29points per game · 7 home games

W-D-L: 0-2-5
Scored: 1.00
Conceded: 2.43

Espanyol · Away 1.75points per game · 8 away games

W-D-L: 4-2-2
Scored: 1.13
Conceded: 0.88

Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.

Common opponents 17 this season

Opponent	Levante	Espanyol
Sevilla	W 3–0 A	W 2–1 H
Real Sociedad	D 1–1 H	D 2–2 A
Osasuna	L 0–2 A	W 1–0 H
Athletic Club	L 0–2 H	W 2–1 A
Valencia	L 0–1 A	D 2–2 H
Atletico Madrid	L 1–3 A	W 2–1 H
Celta Vigo	L 1–2 H	W 1–0 A
Mallorca	D 1–1 A	W 3–2 H
Rayo Vallecano	L 0–3 H	W 1–0 H
Oviedo	W 2–0 A	W 2–0 A
Getafe	D 1–1 A	W 1–0 A
Real Madrid	L 1–4 H	L 0–2 A
Girona	W 4–0 A	D 0–0 A
Real Betis	D 2–2 H	L 1–2 H
Elche	L 0–2 A	W 1–0 H
Barcelona	L 2–3 H	L 0–2 H
Alaves	L 1–2 A	L 1–2 A
Points	13 of 51 · 0.76 per game	33 of 51 · 1.94 per game

League games this season against teams both sides have played. A small, uneven sample: context only.

Head to head last 2 of 2 meetings

0 Levante wins1 draws1 Espanyol wins

Goals per game2.00 – 2.50 Over 2.550% Both scored100% Clean sheets0% · 0%

12 Mar 2022Levante1–1Espanyol
11 Dec 2021Espanyol4–3Levante

All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.

Goals & match trends

	Levante	Espanyol	Forecast
Scored per game	1.18	1.22
Conceded per game	1.71	1.06
Match goals	2.88	2.28	2.37
Over 1.5	94%	67%
Over 2.5	53%	44%	42%
Over 3.5	29%	17%
Both teams scored	53%	44%	49%
Clean sheets	18%	39%
Failed to score	29%	22%
Games	17	18

	Levante	Espanyol	Forecast
Scored per game	0.90	1.10
Conceded per game	1.50	0.80
Match goals	2.40	1.90	2.37
Over 1.5	90%	60%
Over 2.5	40%	30%	42%
Over 3.5	10%	0%
Both teams scored	40%	30%	49%
Clean sheets	20%	50%
Failed to score	40%	20%
Games	10	10

Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.

Corners & cards

	Levante	Espanyol	League
Corners
Corners won	3.47	4.28
Corners conceded	6.80	4.83
Match total	10.27	9.11	9.54
Over 8.5	53% 8/15	44% 8/18
Over 9.5	40% 6/15	44% 8/18
Over 10.5	33% 5/15	39% 7/18
Cards
Cards	2.47	1.89
Opponent cards	2.24	2.61
Match total	4.71	4.50	4.38
Over 3.5	76% 13/17	67% 12/18
Over 4.5	53% 9/17	56% 10/18

	Levante	Espanyol	League
Corners
Corners won	4.22	4.50
Corners conceded	6.67	4.70
Match total	10.89	9.20	9.54
Over 8.5	56% 5/9	40% 4/10
Over 9.5	44% 4/9	40% 4/10
Over 10.5	33% 3/9	30% 3/10
Cards
Cards	2.50	2.00
Opponent cards	2.40	2.80
Match total	4.90	4.80	4.38
Over 3.5	90% 9/10	60% 6/10
Over 4.5	60% 6/10	60% 6/10

Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.

Referee · Cesar Soto Grado Spain · 34 matches before this one

Per match, all competitions

Yellow cards4.88league 4.13

Red cards0.26league 0.27

Cards 5+62%league 46%

Fouls24.0league 24.6

Penalties0.24league 0.34

Home wins50%league 46%

Levante

No previous matches with this referee.

Espanyol1 with this referee

Record0-0-1 Cards · opp.3.0 · 2.0 Pens for · against0 · 0 Reds1

L15 May 25H · Barcelona0–23

From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.