Levante
Attack—
Defense risk—
Our take
It was too close to call.
Real Betis were the stronger side on L90 Strength (69 vs 47). Recent goals, xG and shots on target narrow the gap for Levante. Levante had 4.9 days of rest, Real Betis 3.8 and had to travel 540 km. Weather to note: warm.
Away travel540 kmRest days4.9 · 3.8Matches / 14d2 · 2
Levante34%
Draw26%
Real Betis40%
Levante31%
Draw26%
Real Betis43%
Levante33%
Draw26%
Real Betis41%
Levante27%
Draw25%
Real Betis48%
Levante34%
Draw26%
Real Betis40%
Over 2.5 50%
Both score 54%
Likeliest score 1–1
Rebuilt after the match from pre-match Elo. Real context is the full LOAD90 forecast; Strength only is Elo and home edge alone. How it works.
Weather (Valencia)
Warm
30°COvercast
- Precipitation 0.0 mm
- Wind 12 km/h
- Humidity 35%
Referee · SpainRicardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
- Cards per match 3.9
- Penalties per match 0.35
- Matches 54
Team strength
Levante
Real Betis
47
L90 StrengthIn forecast
69
48
Current StrengthIn forecast
72
55
AttackIn forecast
79
41
DefenceIn forecast
59
—
Form indexContext
—
In forecastContext
L90 Strength, Attack and Defence come from the same Elo rating and attack and defence ratings the forecast uses. Form index is explained in Recent performance.
Match Opportunity
Full analysisReal Betis
Attack—
Defense risk—
Opportunity unavailable for one or both teams.
Playing style
LevanteReal Betis
0.00
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.00
1.50
Goals concededVia Att/Def
0.00
0.78
xGVia Att/Def
0.98
1.13
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.24
-0.78
Goals minus xGContext
+0.02
0%
Scored inContext
100%
50%
Clean sheetsContext
100%
7.50
ShotsContext
16.50
—
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
5.00
7%
On target shareContext
30%
3.50
Shots in the boxContext
7.50
48%
Box shareContext
45%
0%
ConversionContext
6%
2.00
OffsidesContext
1.00
14.00
Shots allowedContext
12.50
6.50
On target allowedVia Att/Def
3.00
2.50
BlocksContext
5.50
5.00
Goalkeeper savesContext
3.00
77%
Save rateContext
100%
50%
PossessionIn forecast
53%
400
PassesContext
511
335
Accurate passesContext
444
84%
Pass accuracyContext
87%
6.61
Team ratingContext
7.16
9.50
FoulsContext
10.00
13.00
Fouls sufferedContext
11.00
0.50
Yellow cardsContext
2.00
0.00
Red cardsContext
0.00
1.30
Goals scoredVia Att/Def
1.80
1.40
Goals concededVia Att/Def
1.40
1.59
xGVia Att/Def
1.27
1.02
xG allowedVia Att/Def
1.37
-0.29
Goals minus xGContext
+0.53
70%
Scored inContext
100%
50%
Clean sheetsContext
30%
13.80
ShotsContext
13.20
4.56
Shots on targetVia Att/Def
4.90
30%
On target shareContext
37%
8.00
Shots in the boxContext
6.70
58%
Box shareContext
51%
9%
ConversionContext
14%
1.22
OffsidesContext
2.13
11.20
Shots allowedContext
11.60
5.00
On target allowedVia Att/Def
4.80
2.50
BlocksContext
3.10
3.56
Goalkeeper savesContext
4.25
71%
Save rateContext
83%
48%
PossessionIn forecast
49%
375
PassesContext
478
309
Accurate passesContext
413
82%
Pass accuracyContext
86%
6.81
Team ratingContext
6.89
10.50
FoulsContext
11.20
13.40
Fouls sufferedContext
10.00
1.80
Yellow cardsContext
1.80
0.10
Red cardsContext
0.00
In forecastVia Att/DefContext
In forecast: possession adjusts the LOAD90 forecast directly. Via Att/Def: goals, xG and shots on target feed the attack and defence ratings. Context: describes the style, no correction of its own.
Recent performance last 5 · schedule
Levante
LD
Rest4.9 dayssince last match
Matches / 14d2all competitions
Travel0 km1,363 km in 14d
Schedule load0%Low
Form 38 · 1 pts vs 2.4 for an average club · -1.4 vs expected
Expected points come from each pre-match EloLambda forecast (3 × win chance + draw chance). Explains recent results; in our tests recent form did not add predictive value on top of the model. Rest, travel and schedule load are context; only High Congestion (4+ matches in 14 days) changes the forecast. Full schedule below.
Full schedule & recovery
| Levante |
Real Betis |
|
|---|---|---|
| Schedule loaddescriptive index, context | Low · 0 | Low · 6 |
| High congestion4+ matches in 14 days, in the forecast | No | No |
| Rest dayssince last match | 4.9La Liga 2026-2027, 24 Aug | 3.8La Liga 2026-2027, 25 Aug |
| Travel to venuefrom home stadium | 0 km | 540 km |
| Travel, last 14 daysaway trips, both ways | 1,363 km | 1,079 km |
| Matcheslast 7 / 14 / 28 days | 1 / 2 / 2 | 1 / 2 / 2 |
| Next matchdays after this one | 8.1 | 6.2 |
All competitions synced from eScored, including cups and Europe. Distances are straight-line between stadium cities. Only High Congestion changes the forecast; the other rows are context.
Squad & lineups
Levante
Confirmed XI
13M. Ryan(G)
23Manu Sánchez
2A. Mandi
4Adrián de la Fuente
29Nacho Pérez
20Oriol Rey
24T. Fernandez
8Jon Ander Olasagasti
18E. Bardeli
7Roger Brugué
9Iván Romero
Real Betis
Confirmed XI
1Álvaro Vallés(G)
11Fran García
4Natan
5Marc Bartra
2Héctor Bellerín
21Marc Roca
6F. Bernal
17Rodrigo Riquelme
22Isco
7Antony
19T. Parrott
Last XI is the club's most recent recorded starting lineup, Confirmed XI is the official lineup for this match. We do not publish a predicted lineup. Players in red are reported missing for this match.
Key absences Levante
Absences are shown before kick-off
Real Betis
Absences are shown before kick-off
Total impact vs full squads
- Levante+1.0 pp
- Draw+0.0 pp
- Real Betis-1.0 pp
Home / Away this season
Levante · Home
No home games yet this season.
Real Betis · Away
3.00points per game · 1 away games
- W-D-L
- 1-0-0
- Scored
- 1.00
- Conceded
- 0.00
Actual results only, not forecast λ. Samples this early in the season are small, so these numbers are not used as a forecast correction.
Head to head last 6 of 6 meetings
1 Levante wins1 draws4 Real Betis wins
Goals per game1.67 – 2.67
Over 2.583%
Both scored83%
Clean sheets0% · 17%
- 23 May 2026Real Betis2–1Levante
- 14 Sep 2025Levante2–2Real Betis
- 13 Feb 2022Levante2–4Real Betis
- 28 Nov 2021Real Betis3–1Levante
- 19 Mar 2021Real Betis2–0Levante
- 29 Dec 2020Levante4–3Real Betis
All competitions, finished games before this kick-off. Shown as history: in our tests head-to-head added almost nothing on top of the model.
Goals & match trends
| Levante | Real Betis | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 0.00 | 1.00 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.50 | 0.00 | |
| Match goals | 1.50 | 1.00 | 2.67 |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 0% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 0% | |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 100% | |
| Failed to score | 100% | 0% | |
| Games | 2 | 2 |
| Levante | Real Betis | Forecast | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scored per game | 1.30 | 1.80 | |
| Conceded per game | 1.40 | 1.40 | |
| Match goals | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.67 |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 80% | |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 70% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 40% | |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 70% | 54% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 30% | |
| Failed to score | 30% | 0% | |
| Games | 10 | 10 |
Actual results: Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. The Forecast column is the LOAD90 model for this match, so you can compare what the teams have done with what the model expects.
Corners & cards
| Levante | Real Betis | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 4.00 | 3.00 | |
| Corners conceded | 9.00 | 6.50 | |
| Match total | 13.00 | 9.50 | 10.40 |
| Over 8.5 | 100% 1/1 | 100% 2/2 | |
| Over 9.5 | 100% 1/1 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 10.5 | 100% 1/1 | 0% 0/2 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 0.50 | 2.00 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.50 | 2.50 | |
| Match total | 3.00 | 4.50 | 4.70 |
| Over 3.5 | 0% 0/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Over 4.5 | 0% 0/2 | 50% 1/2 | |
| Levante | Real Betis | League | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | |||
| Corners won | 5.67 | 4.20 | |
| Corners conceded | 4.56 | 4.50 | |
| Match total | 10.23 | 8.70 | 10.40 |
| Over 8.5 | 78% 7/9 | 60% 6/10 | |
| Over 9.5 | 44% 4/9 | 30% 3/10 | |
| Over 10.5 | 33% 3/9 | 20% 2/10 | |
| Cards | |||
| Cards | 1.90 | 1.90 | |
| Opponent cards | 2.30 | 2.00 | |
| Match total | 4.20 | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| Over 3.5 | 40% 4/10 | 50% 5/10 | |
| Over 4.5 | 30% 3/10 | 40% 4/10 | |
Actual per-match figures; Season is this league season, Last 10 is all competitions. LOAD90 does not forecast corners or cards. Corner and card markets on eScored.
Referee · Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea Spain · 54 matches before this one
Per match, all competitions
Yellow cards3.69league 4.45
Red cards0.24league 0.23
Cards 5+31%league 50%
Fouls22.2league 26.1
Penalties0.35league 0.41
Home wins52%league 45%
LevanteNo previous matches with this referee.
Real Betis6 with this referee
Record2-4-0
Cards · opp.1.8 · 2.2
Pens for · against0 · 1
- D1 Mar 26H · Sevilla2–23
- D15 Dec 25A · Rayo Vallecano0–01
- W9 Feb 24A · Cadiz2–01
- D21 Dec 23H · Girona1–12
- W1 Oct 23H · Valencia3–02
From eScored match records before this kick-off. "league" is this league season's average; red is notably above it, green below. Cards · opp. is cards shown to the club and to its opponents per match with this referee. Context only: referees are not part of the forecast.
Goal timing
Levante2 games · scored 0 · conceded 3
1
0-15
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
Real Betis2 games · scored 2 · conceded 0
0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
Levante10 games · scored 13 · conceded 14
5
0-15
16-30
6
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
1
3
61-75
4
3
76-90
Real Betis10 games · scored 18 · conceded 14
3
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
2
46-60
5
4
61-75
3
2
76-90
scored conceded, by 15-minute band (stoppage time counts to the band before it). Only games with a complete goal log.
Scenario lab Beta
Numbers are home · draw · away chances. Pick a scenario to update the forecast at the top of the page.
