Ligue 1 Gameweek 6 Sat, Oct 10 2026 · 16:15 Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.27 – 1.36
  • D. Bakwa 5’
  • 61’ A. Seko
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Bakwa goal decides it for Lille

Lille entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Bakwa goal. LE Havre played with ten men from the 61st minute after Seko was sent off. The chances were even, with xG of 1.27 and 1.36. On the chances created, LE Havre deserved more: 1.4 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Lille ✓68%
Draw19%
LE Havre14%

Model vs reality

Lille goals
1
Model 2.23 · xG 1.27
LE Havre goals
0
Model 0.90 · xG 1.36
Total goals
1
Model 3.13 · xG 2.63
Score 1–0
9%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 61%
Both scored
No
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. BakwaLille · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeBastein Dechepy
  • Coaches— · D. Digard
  • VenueStade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Table before kick-offLille 4th · LE Havre 18th
  • Weather at kick-off15°C · Overcast · wind 15 km/h

Timeline

  1. D. Bakwa 1–0Assist T. Nianzou
    5’
  2. ⇄ Maxima GoffiFor Tiago Santos
    22’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ H. HaraldssonFor G. Perrin
    57’
  5. ⇄ A. UedaFor O. Giroud
    57’
  6. A. SekoRed card
    61’
  7. R. NdiayeYellow card · Dissent
    63’
  8. ⇄ R. FofanaFor S. Nakamura
    69’
  9. ⇄ J. MwangaFor J. Maja
    69’
  10. ⇄ C. VerdonkFor R. Perraud
    73’
  11. ⇄ O. SahraouiFor N. Mukau
    73’
  12. D. OuziadYellow card · Foul
    76’
  13. ⇄ K. MizutaFor M. Richardson
    82’
  14. M. KjærgaardYellow card · Foul
    85’
  15. Maxima GoffiYellow card · Time Wasting
    90+2’
  16. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Lille5 shots · 3 in box, 2 outside
LE Havre17 shots · 9 in box, 8 outside
LilleLE Havre
47% Possession 53%
1.27 Expected goals (xG) 1.36
1.31 Expected points (xPts) 1.43
5 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 2
4 Shots off target 10
0 Blocked shots 5
3 Shots inside the box 9
2 Shots outside the box 8
409 Passes 448
84% Pass accuracy 85%
4 Corners 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
17 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
7.01 Team rating 6.43

Line-ups

Lille 4-2-3-1

16.7 B. Özer(G)
156.9 R. Perraud ↓73’ 47.6 Alexsandro Ribeiro 237.6 T. Nianzou A 226.9 Tiago Santos ↓22’
146.3 M. Kjærgaard 66.4 N. Bentaleb
286.8 G. Perrin ↓57’ 176.8 N. Mukau ↓73’ 78.2★ D. Bakwa
96.5 O. Giroud ↓57’
  • 1B. Özer (G)6.7
  • 15R. Perraud↓73’6.9
  • 4Alexsandro Ribeiro7.6
  • 23T. NianzouA7.6
  • 22Tiago Santos↓22’6.9
  • 14M. Kjærgaard6.3
  • 6N. Bentaleb6.4
  • 28G. Perrin↓57’6.8
  • 17N. Mukau↓73’6.8
  • 7D. Bakwa ★8.2
  • 9O. Giroud↓57’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 38Maxima Goffi↑22’7.1
  • 10H. Haraldsson↑57’7.2
  • 11O. Sahraoui↑73’6.7
  • 18A. Ueda↑57’6.6
  • 24C. Verdonk↑73’7.1

Unused: I. Cossier, O. Gill, Soriba Diaoune, B. André

LE Havre 4-2-3-1

936.0 G. Gallon(G)
56.7 A. Touba 155.8 A. Seko 206.1 D. Ouziad
76.4 M. Richardson ↓82’ 266.8 S. Ebonog
256.5 M. Samatta 147.2 R. Ndiaye 306.4 S. Nakamura ↓69’
96.3 J. Maja ↓69’
  • 93G. Gallon (G)6.0
  • 5A. Touba6.7
  • 15A. Seko5.8
  • 20D. Ouziad6.1
  • 7M. Richardson↓82’6.4
  • 26S. Ebonog6.8
  • 25M. Samatta6.5
  • 14R. Ndiaye7.2
  • 30S. Nakamura↓69’6.4
  • 9J. Maja↓69’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 6J. Mwanga↑69’6.3
  • 17K. Mizuta↑82’6.3
  • 38R. Fofana↑69’6.6

Unused: V. Sasso, D. Mosengo, I. Bouneb, A. Bodart, E. K. Vinette, G. Zohouri

Coach: D. Digard

Player stats

Top rated
D. BakwaLille8.2
2nd
T. NianzouLille7.6
3rd
Alexsandro RibeiroLille7.6

Lille

LE Havre

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.