Ligue 1 Gameweek 15 Fri, Dec 5 2025 · 20:00 Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.36 – 0.48
  • E. Mbappé 10’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Mbappé goal decides it for Lille

Lille entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Mbappé goal. The chances were even, with xG of 0.36 and 0.48. On the chances created, Marseille deserved more: 1.4 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Lille ✓43%
Draw26%
Marseille31%

Model vs reality

Lille goals
1
Model 1.57 · xG 0.36
Marseille goals
0
Model 1.29 · xG 0.48
Total goals
1
Model 2.86 · xG 0.84
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 55%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchB. ÖzerLille
8.0
  • RefereeJérôme Brisard
  • VenueDecathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Table before kick-offLille 4th · Marseille 3rd

Timeline

  1. E. Mbappé 1–0Assist N. Bentaleb
    10’
  2. ⇄ O. GiroudFor H. Igamane
    26’
  3. A. VermeerenYellow card · Roughing
    26’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ D. BakolaFor B. Pavard
    66’
  6. ⇄ Robinio VazFor P. Aubameyang
    66’
  7. ⇄ N. MukauFor E. Mbappé
    69’
  8. ⇄ Félix CorreiaFor O. Sahraoui
    70’
  9. ⇄ B. NadirFor G. Kondogbia
    80’
  10. ⇄ Tadjidine MmadiFor Igor Paixão
    80’
  11. ⇄ André GomesFor H. Haraldsson
    84’
  12. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Lille5 shots · 4 in box, 1 outside
Marseille6 shots · 3 in box, 3 outside
LilleMarseille
43% Possession 57%
0.36 Expected goals (xG) 0.48
1.12 Expected points (xPts) 1.37
5 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
0 Shots off target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Shots inside the box 3
1 Shots outside the box 3
421 Passes 557
84% Pass accuracy 87%
2 Corners 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 0
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.02 Team rating 6.74

Line-ups

Lille 4-2-3-1

18.0★ B. Özer(G)
156.7 R. Perraud 237.0 A. Mandi 36.9 N. Ngoy 127.0 T. Meunier
67.2 N. Bentaleb A 217.3 B. André
116.6 O. Sahraoui ↓70’ 106.2 H. Haraldsson ↓84’ 87.9 E. Mbappé ↓69’
296.7 H. Igamane ↓26’
  • 1B. Özer (G) ★8.0
  • 15R. Perraud6.7
  • 23A. Mandi7.0
  • 3N. Ngoy6.9
  • 12T. Meunier7.0
  • 6N. BentalebA7.2
  • 21B. André7.3
  • 11O. Sahraoui↓70’6.6
  • 10H. Haraldsson↓84’6.2
  • 8E. Mbappé↓69’7.9
  • 29H. Igamane↓26’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 9O. Giroud↑26’6.7
  • 17N. Mukau↑69’6.5
  • 27Félix Correia↑70’6.6
  • 26André Gomes↑84’7.0

Unused: A. Bodart, C. Mbemba, Maxima Goffi, M. Fernandez-Pardo, M. Broholm

Marseille 3-4-2-1

16.0 G. Rulli(G)
216.9 N. Aguerd 57.2 L. Balerdi 286.3 B. Pavard ↓66’
336.9 Emerson 186.7 A. Vermeeren 197.2 G. Kondogbia ↓80’ 226.3 T. Weah
146.5 Igor Paixão ↓80’ 107.9 M. Greenwood
976.2 P. Aubameyang ↓66’
  • 1G. Rulli (G)6.0
  • 21N. Aguerd6.9
  • 5L. Balerdi7.2
  • 28B. Pavard↓66’6.3
  • 33Emerson6.9
  • 18A. Vermeeren6.7
  • 19G. Kondogbia↓80’7.2
  • 22T. Weah6.3
  • 14Igor Paixão↓80’6.5
  • 10M. Greenwood7.9
  • 97P. Aubameyang↓66’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 50D. Bakola↑66’6.6
  • 34Robinio Vaz↑66’6.2
  • 76Tadjidine Mmadi↑80’6.5
  • 26B. Nadir↑80’6.6

Unused: J. de Lange, C. Egan-Riley, A. Murillo, A. Gomes, M. O'Riley

Player stats

Top rated
B. ÖzerLille8.0
2nd
E. MbappéLille7.9
3rd
M. GreenwoodMarseille7.9

Lille

Marseille

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.