Ligue 1 Gameweek 24 Sun, Mar 1 2026 · 16:15 Decathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Villeneuve d'Ascq
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 0.52 – 0.21
  • N. Ngoy 90+4’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Ngoy’s late goal settles it for Lille

Lille entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Ngoy goal. Lille finished with the higher xG (0.52 vs 0.21). On the chances created, Nantes deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Lille ✓63%
Draw23%
Nantes14%

Model vs reality

Lille goals
1
Model 1.86 · xG 0.52
Nantes goals
0
Model 0.75 · xG 0.21
Total goals
1
Model 2.61 · xG 0.73
Score 1–0
13%
Most likely 1–0 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 48%
Both scored
No
Model 45%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. NgoyLille · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeThomas Leonard
  • Coaches— · Ahmed Kantari
  • VenueDecathlon Arena – Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Table before kick-offLille 6th · Nantes 17th

Timeline

  1. M. KabaYellow card · Holding
    17’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ F. CoquelinFor L. Leroux
    62’
  4. ⇄ M. AblineFor Y. El-Arabi
    63’
  5. ⇄ D. AssoumaniFor D. Machado
    63’
  6. ⇄ N. EdjoumaFor Félix Correia
    63’
  7. ⇄ T. MeunierFor Tiago Santos
    63’
  8. ⇄ Soriba DiaouneFor H. Haraldsson
    74’
  9. ⇄ O. GiroudFor G. Perrin
    74’
  10. ⇄ R. CabellaFor I. Ganago
    74’
  11. B. AndréYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    76’
  12. O. GiroudYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    76’
  13. ⇄ I. SissokoFor M. Kaba
    81’
  14. ⇄ N. BentalebFor N. Mukau
    81’
  15. N. Ngoy 1–0Assist T. Meunier
    90+4’
  16. N. NgoyYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+5’
  17. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Lille9 shots · 7 in box, 2 outside
Nantes3 shots · 3 outside
LilleNantes
73% Possession 27%
0.52 Expected goals (xG) 0.21
1.57 Expected points (xPts) 0.89
9 Shots 3
3 Shots on target 1
2 Shots off target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
7 Shots inside the box 0
2 Shots outside the box 3
588 Passes 220
85% Pass accuracy 63%
4 Corners 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
11 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 2
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.99 Team rating 6.68

Line-ups

Lille 4-2-3-1

17.0 B. Özer(G)
247.0 C. Verdonk 38.2★ N. Ngoy 187.3 C. Mbemba 226.6 Tiago Santos ↓63’
217.3 B. André 176.5 N. Mukau ↓81’
286.7 G. Perrin ↓74’ 106.7 H. Haraldsson ↓74’ 276.6 Félix Correia ↓63’
76.9 M. Fernandez-Pardo
  • 1B. Özer (G)7.0
  • 24C. Verdonk7.0
  • 3N. Ngoy ★8.2
  • 18C. Mbemba7.3
  • 22Tiago Santos↓63’6.6
  • 21B. André7.3
  • 17N. Mukau↓81’6.5
  • 28G. Perrin↓74’6.7
  • 10H. Haraldsson↓74’6.7
  • 27Félix Correia↓63’6.6
  • 7M. Fernandez-Pardo6.9

Substitutes used

  • 12T. MeunierA↑63’6.9
  • 20N. Edjouma↑63’6.9
  • 6N. Bentaleb↑81’6.9
  • 35Soriba Diaoune↑74’6.3
  • 9O. Giroud↑74’6.3

Unused: A. Bodart, R. Perraud, A. Mandi, A. Bouaddi

Nantes 5-3-2

17.3 A. Lopes(G)
276.3 D. Machado ↓63’ 36.6 N. Cozza 26.5 Ali Yusuf 66.9 C. Awaziem 187.0 F. Centonze
666.3 L. Leroux ↓62’ 217.3 M. Kaba ↓81’ 86.2 J. Lepenant
196.3 Y. El-Arabi ↓63’ 376.7 I. Ganago ↓74’
  • 1A. Lopes (G)7.3
  • 27D. Machado↓63’6.3
  • 3N. Cozza6.6
  • 2Ali Yusuf6.5
  • 6C. Awaziem6.9
  • 18F. Centonze7.0
  • 66L. Leroux↓62’6.3
  • 21M. Kaba↓81’7.3
  • 8J. Lepenant6.2
  • 19Y. El-Arabi↓63’6.3
  • 37I. Ganago↓74’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 13F. Coquelin↑62’6.6
  • 17D. Assoumani↑63’6.3
  • 10M. Abline↑63’6.5
  • 28I. Sissoko↑81’6.5
  • 20R. Cabella↑74’6.5

Unused: P. Carlgren, F. Guilbert, Tylel Tati, M. Abdalla

Coach: Ahmed Kantari

Player stats

Top rated
N. NgoyLille8.2
2nd
C. MbembaLille7.3
3rd
B. AndréLille7.3

Lille

Nantes

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.