Ligue 1 Gameweek 7 Sat, Oct 17 2026 · 19:45 Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille
1–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.91 – 0.82
  • O. Giroud 64’ (P)
  • 6’ M. Baldé
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Lille and Stade Brestois 29 share the points

Lille entered as favourites, yet Stade Brestois 29 led 1–0 at half-time through a Baldé goal. But Giroud scored to rescue a draw for Lille. Lille finished with the higher xG (1.91 vs 0.82). On the chances created, Lille deserved more: 2.1 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Lille51%
Draw ✓24%
Stade Brestois 2925%

Model vs reality

Lille goals
1
Model 1.84 · xG 1.91
Stade Brestois 29 goals
1
Model 1.22 · xG 0.82
Total goals
2
Model 3.06 · xG 2.73
Score 1–1
11%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 60%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchE. SelvikStade Brestois 29
7.6
  • RefereeClement Turpin
  • VenueStade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Table before kick-offLille 3rd · Stade Brestois 29 8th
  • Weather at kick-off10°C · Clear · wind 10 km/h

Timeline

  1. M. Baldé 0–1Assist G. Lloris
    6’
  2. K. DoumbiaYellow card · Foul
    13’
  3. ⇄ J. Nonge BoendeFor M. Baldé
    45’
  4. Half time · 0–1
  5. ⇄ C. VerdonkFor R. Perraud
    54’
  6. B. LockoYellow card · Foul
    58’
  7. O. Giroud (pen) 1–1
    64’
  8. ⇄ Soriba DiaouneFor D. Bakwa
    65’
  9. ⇄ N. BentalebFor B. André
    65’
  10. ⇄ Ibrahim Yayiya KanteFor P. Mboup
    77’
  11. ⇄ M. KjærgaardFor N. Mukau
    77’
  12. ⇄ M. DiambouFor K. Doumbia
    82’
  13. C. VerdonkYellow card · Foul
    90’
  14. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Lille16 shots · 10 in box, 6 outside
Stade Brestois 298 shots · 6 in box, 2 outside
LilleStade Brestois 29
67% Possession 33%
1.91 Expected goals (xG) 0.82
2.11 Expected points (xPts) 0.68
16 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 2
7 Shots off target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
10 Shots inside the box 6
6 Shots outside the box 2
648 Passes 320
91% Pass accuracy 78%
5 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Fouls 20
3 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.71 Team rating 6.57

Line-ups

Lille 4-2-3-1

126.8 O. Gill(G)
156.9 R. Perraud ↓54’ 236.6 T. Nianzou 36.8 N. Ngoy 387.2 Maxima Goffi
176.6 N. Mukau ↓77’ 216.5 B. André ↓65’
77.0 D. Bakwa ↓65’ 106.4 H. Haraldsson 86.2 E. Mbappé
97.1 O. Giroud
  • 12O. Gill (G)6.8
  • 15R. Perraud↓54’6.9
  • 23T. Nianzou6.6
  • 3N. Ngoy6.8
  • 38Maxima Goffi7.2
  • 17N. Mukau↓77’6.6
  • 21B. André↓65’6.5
  • 7D. Bakwa↓65’7.0
  • 10H. Haraldsson6.4
  • 8E. Mbappé6.2
  • 9O. Giroud7.1

Substitutes used

  • 35Soriba Diaoune↑65’6.7
  • 6N. Bentaleb↑65’7.0
  • 14M. Kjærgaard↑77’6.4
  • 24C. Verdonk↑54’6.2

Unused: I. Cossier, G. Perrin, B. Önal

Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1

17.6★ E. Selvik(G)
26.4 B. Locko 47.0 G. Lloris A 296.8 L. Tousart 706.4 K. Lala
86.1 H. Magnetti 136.3 J. Chotard
96.3 P. Mboup ↓77’ 236.4 K. Doumbia ↓82’ 177.5 M. Baldé ↓45’
196.0 L. Ajorque
  • 1E. Selvik (G) ★7.6
  • 2B. Locko6.4
  • 4G. LlorisA7.0
  • 29L. Tousart6.8
  • 70K. Lala6.4
  • 8H. Magnetti6.1
  • 13J. Chotard6.3
  • 9P. Mboup↓77’6.3
  • 23K. Doumbia↓82’6.4
  • 17M. Baldé↓45’7.5
  • 19L. Ajorque6.0

Substitutes used

  • 21Ibrahim Yayiya Kante↑77’6.7
  • 6M. Diambou↑82’6.2
  • 7J. Nonge Boende↑45’6.6

Unused: Justin Bourgault, T. Zogbé, M. Patouillet, D. N'Guessan

Player stats

Top rated
E. SelvikStade Brestois 297.6
2nd
M. BaldéStade Brestois 297.5
3rd
Maxima GoffiLille7.2

Lille

Stade Brestois 29

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.