Premier League Gameweek 22 Sat, Jan 17 2026 · 15:00 Anfield, Liverpool
1–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 3.18 – 0.40
  • F. Wirtz 42’
  • 65’ M. Edwards
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Liverpool and Burnley share the points

Liverpool entered as clear favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Wirtz goal. But Edwards scored to rescue a draw for Burnley. Liverpool finished with the higher xG (3.18 vs 0.40). On the chances created, Liverpool deserved more: 2.8 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Liverpool74%
Draw ✓17%
Burnley10%

Model vs reality

Liverpool goals
1
Model 2.51 · xG 3.18
Burnley goals
1
Model 0.83 · xG 0.40
Total goals
2
Model 3.34 · xG 3.58
Score 1–1
8%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 65%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchF. WirtzLiverpool · 1 goal
8.3
  • RefereeAndy Madley
  • VenueAnfield
  • Table before kick-offLiverpool 5th · Burnley 19th

Timeline

  1. A. BarnesYellow card · Time wasting
    -5’
  2. M. KerkezYellow card · Foul
    40’
  3. F. Wirtz 1–0Assist C. Jones
    42’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. M. Edwards 1–1Assist Florentino
    65’
  6. ⇄ H. EkdalFor M. Estève
    74’
  7. ⇄ L. FosterFor A. Broja
    74’
  8. ⇄ A. Mac AllisterFor R. Gravenberch
    78’
  9. ⇄ A. RobertsonFor M. Kerkez
    78’
  10. ⇄ R. NgumohaFor C. Gakpo
    78’
  11. ⇄ J. LaurentFor L. Ugochukwu
    85’
  12. ⇄ F. ChiesaFor C. Jones
    87’
  13. ⇄ H. MejbriFor M. Edwards
    90’
  14. ⇄ L. TchaounaFor Florentino
    90’
  15. B. HumphreysYellow card · Foul
    90+2’
  16. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Liverpool32 shots · 20 in box, 12 outside
Burnley7 shots · 5 in box, 2 outside
LiverpoolBurnley
73% Possession 27%
3.18 Expected goals (xG) 0.40
2.77 Expected points (xPts) 0.15
32 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 1
8 Shots off target 4
13 Blocked shots 2
20 Shots inside the box 5
12 Shots outside the box 2
728 Passes 275
87% Pass accuracy 69%
9 Corners 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
8 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.14 Team rating 7.19

Line-ups

Liverpool 4-2-3-1

16.2 A. Becker(G)
66.9 M. Kerkez ↓78’ 47.2 V. van Dijk 57.3 I. Konaté 307.5 J. Frimpong
87.2 D. Szoboszlai 388.2 R. Gravenberch ↓78’
187.0 C. Gakpo ↓78’ 176.3 C. Jones A↓87’ 78.3★ F. Wirtz
226.7 H. Ekitiké
  • 1A. Becker (G)6.2
  • 6M. Kerkez↓78’6.9
  • 4V. van Dijk7.2
  • 5I. Konaté7.3
  • 30J. Frimpong7.5
  • 8D. Szoboszlai7.2
  • 38R. Gravenberch↓78’8.2
  • 18C. Gakpo↓78’7.0
  • 17C. JonesA↓87’6.3
  • 7F. Wirtz ★8.3
  • 22H. Ekitiké6.7

Substitutes used

  • 14F. Chiesa↑87’6.2
  • 10A. Mac Allister↑78’6.7
  • 26A. Robertson↑78’6.9
  • 73R. Ngumoha↑78’6.9

Unused: G. Mamardashvili, W. Endō, J. Gomez, C. Ramsay, T. Nyoni

Burnley 3-4-2-1

18.0 M. Dúbravka(G)
128.3 B. Humphreys 56.9 M. Estève ↓74’ 66.7 A. Tuanzebe
237.2 Lucas Pires 167.2 Florentino A↓90’ 86.9 L. Ugochukwu ↓85’ 27.2 K. Walker
117.5 J. Anthony 107.2 M. Edwards ↓90’
275.9 A. Broja ↓74’
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G)8.0
  • 12B. Humphreys8.3
  • 5M. Estève↓74’6.9
  • 6A. Tuanzebe6.7
  • 23Lucas Pires7.2
  • 16FlorentinoA↓90’7.2
  • 8L. Ugochukwu↓85’6.9
  • 2K. Walker7.2
  • 11J. Anthony7.5
  • 10M. Edwards↓90’7.2
  • 27A. Broja↓74’5.9

Substitutes used

  • 28H. Mejbri↑90’6.7
  • 17L. Tchaouna↑90’6.5
  • 29J. Laurent↑85’6.6
  • 18H. Ekdal↑74’6.9
  • 9L. Foster↑74’6.3

Unused: Max Weiss, Q. Hartman, A. Barnes, J. Bruun Larsen

Player stats

Top rated
F. WirtzLiverpool8.3
2nd
B. HumphreysBurnley8.3
3rd
R. GravenberchLiverpool8.2

Liverpool

Burnley

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.