Premier League Gameweek 8 Sun, Oct 19 2025 · 16:30 Anfield, Liverpool
Liverpool
1–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 2.75 – 1.34
Manchester United
  • C. Gakpo 78’
  • 2’ B. Mbeumo
  • 84’ J. Maguire
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Manchester United beat Liverpool

Liverpool entered as clear favourites, but Manchester United won 2–1 through goals from Mbeumo and Maguire. Liverpool replied through a Gakpo goal. Manchester United won despite the lower xG; Liverpool created the better chances (2.75 vs 1.34). On the chances created, Liverpool deserved more: 2.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Liverpool68%
Draw18%
Manchester United ✓13%

Model vs reality

Liverpool goals
1
Model 2.39 · xG 2.75
Manchester United goals
2
Model 0.98 · xG 1.34
Total goals
3
Model 3.37 · xG 4.09
Score 1–2
4%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 65%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. JonesLiverpool
7.9
  • RefereeMichael Oliver
  • VenueAnfield
  • Table before kick-offLiverpool 3rd · Manchester United 12th

Timeline

  1. B. Mbeumo 0–1Assist A. Diallo
    2’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. A. DialloYellow card · Foul
    52’
  4. CasemiroYellow card · Foul
    57’
  5. ⇄ M. UgarteFor Casemiro
    58’
  6. ⇄ P. DorguFor A. Diallo
    59’
  7. ⇄ B. ŠeškoFor Mason Mount
    61’
  8. ⇄ C. JonesFor R. Gravenberch
    62’
  9. ⇄ H. EkitikéFor A. Mac Allister
    62’
  10. ⇄ F. WirtzFor C. Bradley
    62’
  11. ⇄ F. ChiesaFor A. Isak
    72’
  12. C. Gakpo 1–1Assist F. Chiesa
    78’
  13. J. Maguire 1–2Assist Bruno Fernandes
    84’
  14. ⇄ J. FrimpongFor Mohamed Salah
    85’
  15. ⇄ K. MainooFor Bruno Fernandes
    85’
  16. ⇄ L. YoroFor L. Shaw
    85’
  17. Full time · 1–2

Team stats

Liverpool19 shots · 16 in box, 3 outside
Manchester United12 shots · 10 in box, 2 outside
LiverpoolManchester United
64% Possession 36%
2.75 Expected goals (xG) 1.34
2.18 Expected points (xPts) 0.66
19 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 4
11 Shots off target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
16 Shots inside the box 10
3 Shots outside the box 2
480 Passes 294
85% Pass accuracy 68%
9 Corners 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.71 Team rating 6.91

Line-ups

Liverpool 4-2-3-1

256.5 G. Mamardashvili(G)
66.3 M. Kerkez 47.2 V. van Dijk 57.0 I. Konaté 126.3 C. Bradley ↓62’
106.5 A. Mac Allister ↓62’ 386.6 R. Gravenberch ↓62’
186.3 C. Gakpo 87.7 D. Szoboszlai 116.5 Mohamed Salah ↓85’
96.3 A. Isak ↓72’
  • 25G. Mamardashvili (G)6.5
  • 6M. Kerkez6.3
  • 4V. van Dijk7.2
  • 5I. Konaté7.0
  • 12C. Bradley↓62’6.3
  • 10A. Mac Allister↓62’6.5
  • 38R. Gravenberch↓62’6.6
  • 18C. Gakpo6.3
  • 8D. Szoboszlai7.7
  • 11Mohamed Salah↓85’6.5
  • 9A. Isak↓72’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 14F. ChiesaA↑72’6.6
  • 30J. Frimpong↑85’6.9
  • 17C. Jones ★↑62’7.9
  • 22H. Ekitiké↑62’6.2
  • 7F. Wirtz↑62’6.9

Unused: F. Woodman, A. Robertson, J. Gomez, R. Ngumoha

Manchester United 3-4-2-1

316.9 S. Lammens(G)
236.7 L. Shaw ↓85’ 57.3 J. Maguire 46.5 M. de Ligt
26.9 Diogo Dalot 87.2 Bruno Fernandes A↓85’ 187.0 Casemiro ↓58’ 167.0 A. Diallo A↓59’
76.2 Mason Mount ↓61’ 197.7 B. Mbeumo
106.6 Matheus Cunha
  • 31S. Lammens (G)6.9
  • 23L. Shaw↓85’6.7
  • 5J. Maguire7.3
  • 4M. de Ligt6.5
  • 2Diogo Dalot6.9
  • 8Bruno FernandesA↓85’7.2
  • 18Casemiro↓58’7.0
  • 16A. DialloA↓59’7.0
  • 7Mason Mount↓61’6.2
  • 19B. Mbeumo7.7
  • 10Matheus Cunha6.6

Substitutes used

  • 37K. Mainoo↑85’6.3
  • 13P. Dorgu↑59’6.7
  • 25M. Ugarte↑58’6.7
  • 30B. Šeško↑61’7.0
  • 15L. Yoro↑85’6.9

Unused: A. Bayındır, N. Mazraoui, J. Zirkzee, A. Heaven

Player stats

Top rated
C. JonesLiverpool7.9
2nd
D. SzoboszlaiLiverpool7.7
3rd
B. MbeumoManchester United7.7

Liverpool

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Mamardashvili G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 87% 31 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
M. Kerkez D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 87% 39 1 1 0/1 0/2 6.3
V. van Dijk D 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 91% 68 1 2 0/0 0/0 7.2
I. Konaté D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 82% 68 2 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
C. Bradley D 62 0 0 0 (0) 1 96% 26 1 0 0/1 0/2 6.3
A. Mac Allister M 62 0 0 2 (1) 0 76% 17 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
R. Gravenberch M 62 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 47 3 1 0/0 0/1 6.6
C. Gakpo F 90 1 0 4 (1) 3 77% 22 0 0 1/2 5/2 6.3
D. Szoboszlai M 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 88% 66 2 0 1/1 1/2 7.7
Mohamed Salah F 85 0 0 3 (1) 4 74% 19 0 0 0/2 0/2 6.5
A. Isak F 72 0 0 2 (1) 0 64% 11 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
F. Chiesa F 18 0 1 1 (0) 1 86% 7 2 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
J. Frimpong D 5 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 3 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.9
C. Jones M 28 0 0 1 (1) 0 83% 24 0 1 0/0 0/1 7.9
H. Ekitiké F 28 0 0 2 (0) 0 100% 7 0 0 1/2 1/0 6.2
F. Wirtz M 28 0 0 0 (0) 4 84% 25 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.9

Manchester United

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. Lammens G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 20% 46 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
L. Shaw D 85 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 21 1 1 0/1 0/1 6.7
J. Maguire D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 64% 22 0 1 0/0 1/0 7.3
M. de Ligt D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 78% 18 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.5
Diogo Dalot D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 73% 22 4 0 0/0 2/0 6.9
Bruno Fernandes M 85 0 1 1 (0) 3 81% 32 1 0 0/0 0/2 7.2
Casemiro M 58 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 19 3 0 0/0 2/2 7.0
A. Diallo F 59 0 1 0 (0) 2 96% 23 1 1 1/2 3/0 7.0
Mason Mount M 61 0 0 2 (1) 0 58% 12 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
B. Mbeumo M 90 1 0 2 (2) 1 80% 15 0 0 0/1 2/0 7.7
Matheus Cunha F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 29 0 1 2/2 1/2 6.6
K. Mainoo M 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
P. Dorgu D 31 0 0 0 (0) 1 58% 12 3 1 0/1 1/0 6.7
M. Ugarte M 32 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 7 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.7
B. Šeško F 29 0 0 1 (0) 1 62% 13 0 0 1/1 0/0 7.0
L. Yoro D 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.