Premier League Gameweek 12 Sat, Nov 22 2025 · 15:00 Anfield, Liverpool
Liverpool
0–3 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.93 – 1.58
Nottingham Forest
  • 33’ Murillo
  • 46’ N. Savona
  • 78’ M. Gibbs-White
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Nottingham Forest cruise past Liverpool

Liverpool entered as clear favourites, but Nottingham Forest won 3–0 through goals from Murillo, Savona and Gibbs-White. Nottingham Forest won despite the lower xG; Liverpool created the better chances (1.93 vs 1.58). On the chances created, Liverpool deserved more: 1.6 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Liverpool71%
Draw17%
Nottingham Forest ✓11%

Model vs reality

Liverpool goals
0
Model 2.46 · xG 1.93
Nottingham Forest goals
3
Model 0.89 · xG 1.58
Total goals
3
Model 3.35 · xG 3.51
Score 0–3
<1%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 65%
Both scored
No
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchMurilloNottingham Forest · 1 goal
9.2
  • RefereeAndy Madley
  • VenueAnfield
  • Table before kick-offLiverpool 8th · Nottingham Forest 19th

Timeline

  1. Murillo 0–1
    33’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. N. Savona 0–2Assist N. Williams
    46’
  4. ⇄ H. EkitikéFor I. Konaté
    55’
  5. ⇄ O. HutchinsonFor N. Domínguez
    61’
  6. R. GravenberchYellow card · Handball
    66’
  7. ⇄ F. ChiesaFor A. Isak
    68’
  8. ⇄ A. RobertsonFor M. Kerkez
    68’
  9. ⇄ R. NgumohaFor C. Jones
    78’
  10. M. Gibbs-White 0–3
    78’
  11. ⇄ R. YatesFor Igor Jesus
    86’
  12. ⇄ C. Hudson-OdoiFor D. Ndoye
    86’
  13. F. ChiesaYellow card · Argument
    87’
  14. Full time · 0–3

Team stats

Liverpool21 shots · 16 in box, 5 outside
Nottingham Forest15 shots · 9 in box, 6 outside
LiverpoolNottingham Forest
75% Possession 25%
1.93 Expected goals (xG) 1.58
1.60 Expected points (xPts) 1.18
21 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 7
8 Shots off target 3
9 Blocked shots 5
16 Shots inside the box 9
5 Shots outside the box 6
629 Passes 215
89% Pass accuracy 70%
8 Corners 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Fouls 8
0 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.65 Team rating 7.45

Line-ups

Liverpool 4-3-3

16.6 A. Becker(G)
66.2 M. Kerkez ↓68’ 47.2 V. van Dijk 56.7 I. Konaté ↓55’ 87.0 D. Szoboszlai
106.3 A. Mac Allister 386.5 R. Gravenberch 177.2 C. Jones ↓78’
186.6 C. Gakpo 96.0 A. Isak ↓68’ 116.7 Mohamed Salah
  • 1A. Becker (G)6.6
  • 6M. Kerkez↓68’6.2
  • 4V. van Dijk7.2
  • 5I. Konaté↓55’6.7
  • 8D. Szoboszlai7.0
  • 10A. Mac Allister6.3
  • 38R. Gravenberch6.5
  • 17C. Jones↓78’7.2
  • 18C. Gakpo6.6
  • 9A. Isak↓68’6.0
  • 11Mohamed Salah6.7

Substitutes used

  • 14F. Chiesa↑68’6.9
  • 22H. Ekitiké↑55’6.3
  • 26A. Robertson↑68’6.9
  • 73R. Ngumoha↑78’6.6

Unused: G. Mamardashvili, W. Endō, J. Gomez, C. Ramsay, T. Nyoni

Nottingham Forest 4-2-3-1

267.2 M. Sels(G)
38.2 N. Williams A 59.2★ Murillo 317.7 N. Milenković 377.9 N. Savona
87.6 E. Anderson 67.2 I. Sangaré
166.3 N. Domínguez ↓61’ 107.2 M. Gibbs-White 146.9 D. Ndoye ↓86’
196.3 Igor Jesus ↓86’
  • 26M. Sels (G)7.2
  • 3N. WilliamsA8.2
  • 5Murillo ★9.2
  • 31N. Milenković7.7
  • 37N. Savona7.9
  • 8E. Anderson7.6
  • 6I. Sangaré7.2
  • 16N. Domínguez↓61’6.3
  • 10M. Gibbs-White7.2
  • 14D. Ndoye↓86’6.9
  • 19Igor Jesus↓86’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 22R. Yates↑86’6.7
  • 7C. Hudson-Odoi↑86’6.7
  • 21O. Hutchinson↑61’7.2

Unused: John Victor, J. McAtee, Jair, W. Boly, A. Kalimuendo, Morato

Player stats

Top rated
MurilloNottingham Forest9.2
2nd
N. WilliamsNottingham Forest8.2
3rd
N. SavonaNottingham Forest7.9

Liverpool

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Becker G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 95% 19 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
M. Kerkez D 68 0 0 1 (0) 2 86% 37 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.2
V. van Dijk D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 92% 106 1 2 0/0 1/0 7.2
I. Konaté D 55 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 56 1 0 0/0 2/1 6.7
D. Szoboszlai M 90 0 0 1 (1) 5 94% 97 0 0 3/4 0/0 7.0
A. Mac Allister M 90 0 0 3 (2) 1 86% 50 1 0 1/1 2/0 6.3
R. Gravenberch M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 70 2 2 0/1 2/0 6.5
C. Jones M 78 0 0 1 (0) 0 95% 66 4 0 0/0 2/3 7.2
C. Gakpo F 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 75% 28 2 0 2/4 1/1 6.6
A. Isak F 68 0 0 1 (0) 1 71% 7 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.0
Mohamed Salah F 90 0 0 2 (1) 3 70% 50 0 0 4/14 0/0 6.7
F. Chiesa F 22 0 0 2 (0) 0 91% 11 2 0 0/1 0/0 6.9
H. Ekitiké F 35 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 9 0 0 1/3 0/1 6.3
A. Robertson D 22 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 16 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
R. Ngumoha F 12 0 0 0 (0) 1 71% 7 0 0 3/3 0/0 6.6

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Sels G 90 0 0 3 sv 1 30% 30 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
N. Williams D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 67% 15 11 3 2/4 0/1 8.2
Murillo D 90 1 0 2 (2) 1 88% 17 2 1 0/0 0/1 9.2
N. Milenković D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 23 0 1 0/0 1/2 7.7
N. Savona D 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 50% 14 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.9
E. Anderson M 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 89% 35 4 2 0/2 1/0 7.6
I. Sangaré M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 15 5 0 0/1 1/0 7.2
N. Domínguez M 61 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 12 0 0 1/2 2/0 6.3
M. Gibbs-White M 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 86% 22 0 0 2/2 0/1 7.2
D. Ndoye F 86 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 15 1 0 0/2 1/0 6.9
Igor Jesus F 86 0 0 2 (1) 0 64% 11 2 0 0/2 2/4 6.3
R. Yates M 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
C. Hudson-Odoi F 4 0 0 0 (0) 1 33% 3 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.7
O. Hutchinson F 29 0 0 2 (1) 0 100% 2 1 0 2/3 0/0 7.2

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.