Ligue 1 Gameweek 15 Sun, Dec 7 2025 · 19:45 Stade du Moustoir – Yves Allainmat, Lorient
Lorient
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.52 – 0.41
Lyon
  • P. Pagis 39’
  • 42’ A. Maitland-Niles
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Pagis goal decides it for Lorient

Lyon entered as favourites, but Lorient won 1–0 through a Pagis goal. Lyon played with ten men from the 42nd minute after Maitland-Niles was sent off. Lorient finished with the higher xG (2.52 vs 0.41).

Lorient ✓22%
Draw25%
Lyon53%

Model vs reality

Lorient goals
1
Model 1.05 · xG 2.52
Lyon goals
0
Model 1.76 · xG 0.41
Total goals
1
Model 2.81 · xG 2.93
Score 1–0
6%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 53%
Both scored
No
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchP. PagisLorient · 1 goal
8.3
  • RefereeMathieu Vernice
  • VenueStade du Moustoir – Yves Allainmat
  • Table before kick-offLorient 15th · Lyon 5th

Timeline

  1. A. Maitland-NilesYellow card · Roughing
    37’
  2. P. Pagis 1–0
    39’
  3. A. Maitland-NilesSecond yellow · Tripping
    42’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ H. HateboerFor Mathys de Carvalho
    46’
  6. S. SoumanoYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    57’
  7. L. AbergelYellow card · Holding
    66’
  8. ⇄ Afonso MoreiraFor N. Tagliafico
    70’
  9. ⇄ B. DiengFor S. Soumano
    71’
  10. ⇄ D. KarimFor P. Pagis
    71’
  11. ⇄ Noah CadiouFor J. Makengo
    78’
  12. ⇄ J. MvukaFor T. Le Bris
    90+1’
  13. ⇄ A. TosinFor L. Abergel
    90+1’
  14. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Lorient14 shots · 8 in box, 6 outside
Lyon8 shots · 7 in box, 1 outside
LorientLyon
40% Possession 60%
2.52 Expected goals (xG) 0.41
2.62 Expected points (xPts) 0.25
14 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 5
6 Shots off target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
8 Shots inside the box 7
6 Shots outside the box 1
293 Passes 436
80% Pass accuracy 85%
1 Corners 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Fouls 19
2 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
7.05 Team rating 6.50

Line-ups

Lorient 3-4-2-1

388.2 Y. Mvogo(G)
446.7 D. Yongwa 36.6 M. Talbi 56.9 B. Meïté
436.3 Arsène Kouassi 66.6 L. Abergel ↓90’ 627.6 A. Avom 117.5 T. Le Bris ↓90’
108.3★ P. Pagis ↓71’ 177.0 J. Makengo ↓78’
286.2 S. Soumano ↓71’
  • 38Y. Mvogo (G)8.2
  • 44D. Yongwa6.7
  • 3M. Talbi6.6
  • 5B. Meïté6.9
  • 43Arsène Kouassi6.3
  • 6L. Abergel↓90’6.6
  • 62A. Avom7.6
  • 11T. Le Bris↓90’7.5
  • 10P. Pagis ★↓71’8.3
  • 17J. Makengo↓78’7.0
  • 28S. Soumano↓71’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 29D. Karim↑71’6.6
  • 93J. Mvuka↑90’
  • 8Noah Cadiou↑78’6.9
  • 15A. Tosin↑90’
  • 12B. Dieng↑71’6.5

Unused: B. Kamara, Igor Silva, N. Adjei, M. Bamba

Lyon 3-4-2-1

17.0 D. Greif(G)
35.7 N. Tagliafico ↓70’ 196.9 M. Niakhaté 226.5 Clinton Mata
166.2 Abner 396.3 Mathys de Carvalho ↓46’ 236.6 T. Morton 985.2 A. Maitland-Niles
86.6 C. Tolisso 107.0 P. Šulc
206.3 M. Satriano
  • 1D. Greif (G)7.0
  • 3N. Tagliafico↓70’5.7
  • 19M. Niakhaté6.9
  • 22Clinton Mata6.5
  • 16Abner6.2
  • 39Mathys de Carvalho↓46’6.3
  • 23T. Morton6.6
  • 98A. Maitland-Niles5.2
  • 8C. Tolisso6.6
  • 10P. Šulc7.0
  • 20M. Satriano6.3

Substitutes used

  • 33H. Hateboer↑46’6.7
  • 17Afonso Moreira↑70’6.9

Unused: R. Descamps, T. Barišić, Khalis Merah, R. Ghezzal, A. Karabec, Alejandro Gomes Rodriguez

Player stats

Top rated
P. PagisLorient8.3
2nd
Y. MvogoLorient8.2
3rd
A. AvomLorient7.6

Lorient

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Y. Mvogo G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 72% 39 0 0 0/0 0/1 8.2
D. Yongwa D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 81% 27 0 1 0/0 1/2 6.7
M. Talbi D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 82% 17 0 1 0/0 3/1 6.6
B. Meïté M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 69% 29 2 2 0/0 1/1 6.9
Arsène Kouassi D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 86% 21 1 1 0/1 1/3 6.3
L. Abergel M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 81% 32 0 2 1/2 2/1 6.6
A. Avom M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 93% 44 2 0 1/1 0/3 7.6
T. Le Bris M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 23 4 2 0/0 0/0 7.5
P. Pagis F 71 1 0 2 (1) 1 59% 17 1 0 0/1 2/2 8.3
J. Makengo M 78 0 0 3 (2) 1 88% 17 2 0 2/3 0/2 7.0
S. Soumano F 71 0 0 2 (1) 0 71% 7 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.2
D. Karim M 19 0 0 1 (1) 1 100% 8 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.6
J. Mvuka F 1 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Noah Cadiou M 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 0 1 1/1 0/0 6.9
A. Tosin F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
B. Dieng F 19 0 0 0 (0) 1 50% 2 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.5

Lyon

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Greif G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 75% 28 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
N. Tagliafico D 70 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 40 1 0 0/0 4/0 5.7
M. Niakhaté D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 62 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.9
Clinton Mata D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 93% 67 0 0 0/0 3/1 6.5
Abner D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 33 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.2
Mathys de Carvalho M 46 0 0 1 (1) 0 88% 25 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
T. Morton M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 42 2 0 1/1 3/0 6.6
A. Maitland-Niles M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 20 0 0 0/0 3/1 5.2
C. Tolisso M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 90% 40 2 2 0/0 1/0 6.6
P. Šulc M 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 65% 23 0 0 3/3 2/3 7.0
M. Satriano F 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 74% 23 0 0 0/3 2/5 6.3
H. Hateboer M 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 25 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Afonso Moreira F 20 0 0 1 (1) 1 100% 8 0 0 1/2 0/1 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.