Ligue 1 Gameweek 30 Sat, Apr 18 2026 · 16:00 Stade du Moustoir – Yves Allainmat, Lorient
2–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.10 – 1.69
  • P. Katseris 28’
  • B. Dieng 58’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Lorient beat Marseille

Marseille entered as narrow favourites, but Lorient won 2–0 through goals from Katseris and Dieng. Lorient won despite the lower xG; Marseille created the better chances (1.69 vs 1.10). On the chances created, Marseille deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Lorient ✓27%
Draw26%
Marseille47%

Model vs reality

Lorient goals
2
Model 1.19 · xG 1.10
Marseille goals
0
Model 1.63 · xG 1.69
Total goals
2
Model 2.82 · xG 2.79
Score 2–0
4%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchB. DiengLorient · 1 goal
7.7
  • RefereeEric Wattellier
  • VenueStade du Moustoir – Yves Allainmat
  • Table before kick-offLorient 9th · Marseille 4th

Timeline

  1. P. Katseris 1–0
    28’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. ⇄ T. WeahFor Igor Paixão
    46’
  4. B. PavardYellow card · Tripping
    57’
  5. B. Dieng 2–0Assist P. Pagis
    58’
  6. ⇄ B. NadirFor H. Abdelli
    59’
  7. ⇄ E. NwaneriFor A. Gouiri
    59’
  8. ⇄ L. AbergelFor J. Makengo
    69’
  9. B. NadirYellow card · Foul
    74’
  10. ⇄ A. TosinFor B. Dieng
    75’
  11. ⇄ A. VermeerenFor P. Højbjerg
    76’
  12. ⇄ U. Lamare El KadmiriFor P. Aubameyang
    76’
  13. ⇄ Igor SilvaFor P. Katseris
    82’
  14. ⇄ S. SoumanoFor P. Pagis
    82’
  15. T. WeahYellow card · Tripping
    90’
  16. Full time · 2–0

Team stats

Lorient11 shots · 5 in box, 6 outside
Marseille16 shots · 11 in box, 5 outside
LorientMarseille
43% Possession 57%
1.10 Expected goals (xG) 1.69
0.98 Expected points (xPts) 1.78
11 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 2
6 Shots off target 13
1 Blocked shots 1
5 Shots inside the box 11
6 Shots outside the box 5
374 Passes 485
83% Pass accuracy 87%
1 Corners 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 0
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.12 Team rating 6.61

Line-ups

Lorient 3-4-3

387.5 Y. Mvogo(G)
257.0 A. Faye 326.6 N. Adjei 56.9 B. Meïté
447.2 D. Yongwa 86.9 Noah Cadiou 627.3 A. Avom 777.6 P. Katseris ↓82’
107.2 P. Pagis A↓82’ 127.7★ B. Dieng ↓75’ 176.9 J. Makengo ↓69’
  • 38Y. Mvogo (G)7.5
  • 25A. Faye7.0
  • 32N. Adjei6.6
  • 5B. Meïté6.9
  • 44D. Yongwa7.2
  • 8Noah Cadiou6.9
  • 62A. Avom7.3
  • 77P. Katseris↓82’7.6
  • 10P. PagisA↓82’7.2
  • 12B. Dieng ★↓75’7.7
  • 17J. Makengo↓69’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 2Igor Silva↑82’6.5
  • 6L. Abergel↑69’6.7
  • 28S. Soumano↑82’6.5
  • 15A. Tosin↑75’6.3

Unused: B. Kamara, Stevan Siba, B. Fadiga, Daniel Semedo, D. Karim

Marseille 3-4-2-1

16.3 G. Rulli(G)
337.2 Emerson 57.3 L. Balerdi 286.5 B. Pavard
146.7 Igor Paixão ↓46’ 86.3 H. Abdelli ↓59’ 236.6 P. Højbjerg ↓76’ 206.3 H. Traorè
96.7 A. Gouiri ↓59’ 106.6 M. Greenwood
176.2 P. Aubameyang ↓76’
  • 1G. Rulli (G)6.3
  • 33Emerson7.2
  • 5L. Balerdi7.3
  • 28B. Pavard6.5
  • 14Igor Paixão↓46’6.7
  • 8H. Abdelli↓59’6.3
  • 23P. Højbjerg↓76’6.6
  • 20H. Traorè6.3
  • 9A. Gouiri↓59’6.7
  • 10M. Greenwood6.6
  • 17P. Aubameyang↓76’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 11E. Nwaneri↑59’6.5
  • 26B. Nadir↑59’6.7
  • 18A. Vermeeren↑76’6.7
  • 22T. Weah↑46’6.5
  • 35U. Lamare El Kadmiri↑76’6.2

Unused: J. de Lange, Ange Lago

Player stats

Top rated
B. DiengLorient7.7
2nd
P. KatserisLorient7.6
3rd
Y. MvogoLorient7.5

Lorient

Marseille

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.