Ligue 1 Gameweek 20 Sat, Jan 31 2026 · 18:00 Stade du Moustoir – Yves Allainmat, Lorient
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 0.55 – 1.07
  • B. Dieng 32’
  • Arsène Kouassi 89’
  • 74’ M. Abline
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Kouassi’s late goal settles it for Lorient

Lorient entered as favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Dieng and Kouassi. Nantes replied through a Abline goal. Lorient won despite the lower xG; Nantes created the better chances (1.07 vs 0.55). On the chances created, Nantes deserved more: 1.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Lorient ✓55%
Draw24%
Nantes21%

Model vs reality

Lorient goals
2
Model 1.80 · xG 0.55
Nantes goals
1
Model 1.02 · xG 1.07
Total goals
3
Model 2.82 · xG 1.62
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 54%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchArsène KouassiLorient · 1 goal
7.7
  • RefereeBastien Dechepy
  • Coaches— · Ahmed Kantari
  • VenueStade du Moustoir – Yves Allainmat
  • Table before kick-offLorient 9th · Nantes 16th

Timeline

  1. B. MeïtéYellow card · Tripping
    16’
  2. B. DiengYellow card · Roughing
    30’
  3. B. Dieng 1–0Assist T. Le Bris
    32’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. I. SissokoYellow card · Holding
    51’
  6. F. CentonzeYellow card · Handling
    54’
  7. ⇄ M. KabaFor I. Sissoko
    60’
  8. ⇄ D. AssoumaniFor L. Leroux
    61’
  9. ⇄ S. SoumanoFor B. Dieng
    66’
  10. ⇄ A. AvomFor J. Makengo
    66’
  11. M. Abline 1–1Assist M. Kaba
    74’
  12. ⇄ D. KarimFor P. Pagis
    75’
  13. ⇄ N. AdjeiFor B. Meïté
    76’
  14. ⇄ Y. El-ArabiFor M. Abdalla
    77’
  15. ⇄ F. CoquelinFor J. Lepenant
    78’
  16. ⇄ M. AcapandiéFor F. Centonze
    78’
  17. A. LopesYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    84’
  18. L. AbergelYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    85’
  19. ⇄ M. BambaFor L. Abergel
    86’
  20. Ali YoussefYellow card · Roughing
    88’
  21. Arsène Kouassi 2–1
    89’
  22. Arsène KouassiYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90’
  23. R. CabellaYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+1’
  24. VAR K. AmianGoal Disallowed - offside
    90+3’
  25. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Lorient5 shots · 3 in box, 2 outside
Nantes10 shots · 8 in box, 2 outside
LorientNantes
57% Possession 43%
0.55 Expected goals (xG) 1.07
0.90 Expected points (xPts) 1.77
5 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 2
1 Shots off target 6
0 Blocked shots 2
3 Shots inside the box 8
2 Shots outside the box 2
565 Passes 414
87% Pass accuracy 84%
1 Corners 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Fouls 17
2 Offsides 2
4 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
6.96 Team rating 6.55

Line-ups

Lorient 3-4-2-1

386.2 Y. Mvogo(G)
27.2 Igor Silva 36.7 M. Talbi 56.7 B. Meïté ↓76’
437.7★ Arsène Kouassi 67.3 L. Abergel ↓86’ 86.9 Noah Cadiou 117.6 T. Le Bris A
106.5 P. Pagis ↓75’ 177.0 J. Makengo ↓66’
127.0 B. Dieng ↓66’
  • 38Y. Mvogo (G)6.2
  • 2Igor Silva7.2
  • 3M. Talbi6.7
  • 5B. Meïté↓76’6.7
  • 43Arsène Kouassi ★7.7
  • 6L. Abergel↓86’7.3
  • 8Noah Cadiou6.9
  • 11T. Le BrisA7.6
  • 10P. Pagis↓75’6.5
  • 17J. Makengo↓66’7.0
  • 12B. Dieng↓66’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 32N. Adjei↑76’6.7
  • 29D. Karim↑75’6.2
  • 62A. Avom↑66’6.9
  • 9M. Bamba↑86’6.3
  • 28S. Soumano↑66’6.5

Unused: B. Kamara, Lucas Leaudais, J. Mvuka, T. Sanusi

Nantes 3-4-2-1

16.2 A. Lopes(G)
36.3 N. Cozza 26.9 Ali Yusuf 986.3 K. Amian
666.6 L. Leroux ↓61’ 86.9 J. Lepenant ↓78’ 286.0 I. Sissoko ↓60’ 186.2 F. Centonze ↓78’
107.3 M. Abline 206.3 R. Cabella
316.9 M. Abdalla ↓77’
  • 1A. Lopes (G)6.2
  • 3N. Cozza6.3
  • 2Ali Yusuf6.9
  • 98K. Amian6.3
  • 66L. Leroux↓61’6.6
  • 8J. Lepenant↓78’6.9
  • 28I. Sissoko↓60’6.0
  • 18F. Centonze↓78’6.2
  • 10M. Abline7.3
  • 20R. Cabella6.3
  • 31M. Abdalla↓77’6.9

Substitutes used

  • 21M. KabaA↑60’6.3
  • 17D. Assoumani↑61’6.9
  • 22M. Acapandié↑78’6.3
  • 13F. Coquelin↑78’6.7
  • 19Y. El-Arabi↑77’6.6

Unused: P. Carlgren, C. Awaziem, U. Radaković, B. Guirassy

Coach: Ahmed Kantari

Player stats

Top rated
Arsène KouassiLorient7.7
2nd
T. Le BrisLorient7.6
3rd
L. AbergelLorient7.3

Lorient

Nantes

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.