Ligue 1 Gameweek 12 Sun, Nov 9 2025 · 14:00 Stade du Moustoir – Yves Allainmat, Lorient
1–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.31 – 1.41
  • P. Pagis 44’ (P)
  • 65’ (P) D. Sidibé
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Lorient and Toulouse share the points

Toulouse entered as narrow favourites, yet Lorient led 1–0 at half-time through a Pagis goal. But Sidibé scored to rescue a draw for Toulouse. The chances were even, with xG of 1.31 and 1.41.

Lorient33%
Draw ✓28%
Toulouse40%

Model vs reality

Lorient goals
1
Model 1.22 · xG 1.31
Toulouse goals
1
Model 1.38 · xG 1.41
Total goals
2
Model 2.61 · xG 2.72
Score 1–1
13%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 48%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchArsène KouassiLorient
7.7
  • RefereeHakim Ben el Salem Hadj
  • VenueStade du Moustoir – Yves Allainmat
  • Table before kick-offLorient 16th · Toulouse 10th

Timeline

  1. C. CresswellYellow card · Delay of game
    32’
  2. C. CásseresYellow card · Holding
    39’
  3. P. Pagis (pen) 1–0
    44’
  4. Half time · 1–0
  5. ⇄ Noah CadiouFor L. Abergel
    60’
  6. D. Sidibé (pen) 1–1
    65’
  7. ⇄ A. VossahFor A. Francis
    66’
  8. ⇄ J. MakengoFor P. Pagis
    69’
  9. ⇄ S. SoumanoFor A. Tosin
    69’
  10. A. VossahYellow card · Holding
    79’
  11. ⇄ T. Le BrisFor J. Mvuka
    80’
  12. ⇄ M. BambaFor D. Karim
    80’
  13. ⇄ S. HidalgoFor Emersonn
    80’
  14. ⇄ R. MessaliFor M. McKenzie
    80’
  15. R. MessaliYellow card · Tripping
    86’
  16. ⇄ M. SauerFor G. Gboho
    90’
  17. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Lorient8 shots · 5 in box, 3 outside
Toulouse6 shots · 5 in box, 1 outside
LorientToulouse
48% Possession 52%
1.31 Expected goals (xG) 1.41
1.30 Expected points (xPts) 1.44
8 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 2
5 Shots off target 1
1 Blocked shots 3
5 Shots inside the box 5
3 Shots outside the box 1
366 Passes 405
81% Pass accuracy 85%
5 Corners 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 2
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
6.81 Team rating 6.67

Line-ups

Lorient 3-4-2-1

386.3 Y. Mvogo(G)
446.5 D. Yongwa 37.2 M. Talbi 26.9 Igor Silva
437.7★ Arsène Kouassi 66.6 L. Abergel ↓60’ 626.9 A. Avom 936.3 J. Mvuka ↓80’
107.5 P. Pagis ↓69’ 296.7 D. Karim ↓80’
156.6 A. Tosin ↓69’
  • 38Y. Mvogo (G)6.3
  • 44D. Yongwa6.5
  • 3M. Talbi7.2
  • 2Igor Silva6.9
  • 43Arsène Kouassi ★7.7
  • 6L. Abergel↓60’6.6
  • 62A. Avom6.9
  • 93J. Mvuka↓80’6.3
  • 10P. Pagis↓69’7.5
  • 29D. Karim↓80’6.7
  • 15A. Tosin↓69’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 17J. Makengo↑69’6.7
  • 8Noah Cadiou↑60’6.5
  • 11T. Le Bris↑80’6.3
  • 28S. Soumano↑69’6.7
  • 9M. Bamba↑80’6.3

Unused: B. Kamara, N. Adjei, B. Meïté

Toulouse 3-4-2-1

16.9 G. Restes(G)
26.9 R. Nicolaisen 46.5 C. Cresswell 37.2 M. McKenzie ↓80’
247.3 D. Methalie 176.6 A. Francis ↓66’ 236.6 C. Cásseres 196.3 D. Sidibé
96.0 F. Magri 106.9 G. Gboho ↓90’
206.2 Emersonn ↓80’
  • 1G. Restes (G)6.9
  • 2R. Nicolaisen6.9
  • 4C. Cresswell6.5
  • 3M. McKenzie↓80’7.2
  • 24D. Methalie7.3
  • 17A. Francis↓66’6.6
  • 23C. Cásseres6.6
  • 19D. Sidibé6.3
  • 9F. Magri6.0
  • 10G. Gboho↓90’6.9
  • 20Emersonn↓80’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 45A. Vossah↑66’6.5
  • 22R. Messali↑80’6.7
  • 77M. Sauer↑90’
  • 11S. Hidalgo↑80’6.3

Unused: C. Haug, S. Koumbassa, W. Kamanzi, N. Edjouma, Julián Vignolo

Player stats

Top rated
Arsène KouassiLorient7.7
2nd
P. PagisLorient7.5
3rd
D. MethalieToulouse7.3

Lorient

Toulouse

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.