UEFA Europa League Matchday 8 Thu, Jan 29 2026 · 20:00 Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.66 – 0.87
  • P. Stanić 42’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Stanić goal decides it for Ludogorets

Ludogorets entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Stanić goal. Ludogorets finished with the higher xG (1.66 vs 0.87). On the chances created, Nice deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Ludogorets ✓42%
Draw26%
Nice32%

Model vs reality

Ludogorets goals
1
Model 1.53 · xG 1.66
Nice goals
0
Model 1.30 · xG 0.87
Total goals
1
Model 2.83 · xG 2.53
Score 1–0
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchP. StanićLudogorets · 1 goal
8.0
  • RefereeOndrej Berka
  • VenueHuvepharma Arena
  • Table before kick-offLudogorets 25th · Nice 33rd

Timeline

  1. Dinis AlmeidaYellow card · Holding
    24’
  2. P. Stanić 1–0Assist Caio Vidal
    42’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ K. BoudacheFor Tiago Gouveia
    46’
  5. ⇄ S. Abdul SamedFor D. Coulibaly
    46’
  6. ⇄ I. ChochevFor E. Bille
    66’
  7. ⇄ Millan BrignoneFor I. Jansson
    66’
  8. ⇄ Mousslim YoussoufFor A. Mendy
    79’
  9. ⇄ B. TekpeteyFor Erick Marcus
    80’
  10. ⇄ E. AnderssonFor Caio Vidal
    80’
  11. Brad-Hamilton MantsoungaYellow card · Tripping
    87’
  12. ⇄ F. KaločFor P. Stanić
    90+1’
  13. K. BoudacheYellow card · Diving
    90+4’
  14. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Ludogorets19 shots · 9 in box, 10 outside
Nice19 shots · 10 in box, 9 outside
LudogoretsNice
49% Possession 51%
1.66 Expected goals (xG) 0.87
1.93 Expected points (xPts) 0.83
19 Shots 19
8 Shots on target 4
6 Shots off target 9
5 Blocked shots 6
9 Shots inside the box 10
10 Shots outside the box 9
451 Passes 450
86% Pass accuracy 83%
5 Corners 8
5 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 0
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.18 Team rating 6.78

Line-ups

Ludogorets 4-2-3-1

397.3 H. Bonmann(G)
36.9 A. Nedyalkov 47.3 Dinis Almeida 247.2 O. Verdon 177.0 Son
236.7 Deroy Duarte 307.3 Pedro Naressi
777.2 Erick Marcus ↓80’ 148.0★ P. Stanić ↓90’ 117.2 Caio Vidal A↓80’
297.3 E. Bille ↓66’
  • 39H. Bonmann (G)7.3
  • 3A. Nedyalkov6.9
  • 4Dinis Almeida7.3
  • 24O. Verdon7.2
  • 17Son7.0
  • 23Deroy Duarte6.7
  • 30Pedro Naressi7.3
  • 77Erick Marcus↓80’7.2
  • 14P. Stanić ★↓90’8.0
  • 11Caio VidalA↓80’7.2
  • 29E. Bille↓66’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 18I. Chochev↑66’6.3
  • 2E. Andersson↑80’6.9
  • 26F. Kaloč↑90’
  • 37B. Tekpetey↑80’6.5

Unused: S. Padt, D. Hristov, S. Shishkov, I. Nachmias, S. Ivanov, Matheus Machado Ferreira

Nice 4-2-3-1

807.7 Y. Diouf(G)
366.6 Brad-Hamilton Mantsounga 287.3 A. Bah 336.3 A. Mendy ↓79’ 207.2 T. Louchet
396.9 D. Coulibaly ↓46’ 416.3 E. Pereira da Silva
216.5 I. Jansson ↓66’ 226.5 T. Ndombélé 476.5 Tiago Gouveia ↓46’
906.6 Kevin Carlos
  • 80Y. Diouf (G)7.7
  • 36Brad-Hamilton Mantsounga6.6
  • 28A. Bah7.3
  • 33A. Mendy↓79’6.3
  • 20T. Louchet7.2
  • 39D. Coulibaly↓46’6.9
  • 41E. Pereira da Silva6.3
  • 21I. Jansson↓66’6.5
  • 22T. Ndombélé6.5
  • 47Tiago Gouveia↓46’6.5
  • 90Kevin Carlos6.6

Substitutes used

  • 99S. Abdul Samed↑46’6.7
  • 32K. Boudache↑46’7.0
  • 45Millan Brignone↑66’6.6
  • 43Mousslim Youssouf↑79’6.2

Unused: B. Żelazowski, T. Bruyère, L. Monteiro, Yanis Sofikitis

Player stats

Top rated
P. StanićLudogorets8.0
2nd
Y. DioufNice7.7
3rd
H. BonmannLudogorets7.3

Ludogorets

Nice

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.