Premier League Gameweek 21 Wed, Jan 7 2026 · 19:30 Etihad Stadium, Manchester
1–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.35 – 0.81
  • E. Haaland 41’ (P)
  • 60’ K. Mitoma
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Manchester City and Brighton share the points

Manchester City entered as clear favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Haaland goal. But Mitoma scored to rescue a draw for Brighton. Manchester City finished with the higher xG (2.35 vs 0.81). On the chances created, Manchester City deserved more: 2.3 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Manchester City63%
Draw ✓21%
Brighton16%

Model vs reality

Manchester City goals
1
Model 2.17 · xG 2.35
Brighton goals
1
Model 1.01 · xG 0.81
Total goals
2
Model 3.18 · xG 3.16
Score 1–1
10%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 62%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. DokuManchester City
7.9
  • RefereeThomas Bramall
  • VenueEtihad Stadium
  • Table before kick-offManchester City 2nd · Brighton 10th

Timeline

  1. L. DunkYellow card · Foul
    29’
  2. VAR J. DokuPenalty confirmed
    39’
  3. P. GroßYellow card · Argument
    41’
  4. E. Haaland (pen) 1–0
    41’
  5. Half time · 1–0
  6. J. van HeckeYellow card · Foul
    53’
  7. G. DonnarummaYellow card · Argument
    60’
  8. M. De CuyperYellow card · Argument
    60’
  9. K. Mitoma 1–1Assist Y. Ayari
    60’
  10. ⇄ RodriFor Nico González
    64’
  11. K. MitomaYellow card · Foul
    69’
  12. ⇄ R. LewisFor M. Nunes
    73’
  13. ⇄ N. O'ReillyFor N. Aké
    73’
  14. ⇄ M. CherkiFor P. Foden
    73’
  15. ⇄ D. WelbeckFor G. Rutter
    77’
  16. ⇄ B. GrudaFor D. Gómez
    77’
  17. ⇄ J. MilnerFor Y. Ayari
    83’
  18. ⇄ T. WatsonFor K. Mitoma
    83’
  19. T. WatsonYellow card · Foul
    89’
  20. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Manchester City22 shots · 17 in box, 5 outside
Brighton6 shots · 5 in box, 1 outside
Manchester CityBrighton
60% Possession 40%
2.35 Expected goals (xG) 0.81
2.32 Expected points (xPts) 0.51
22 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
10 Shots off target 3
6 Blocked shots 0
17 Shots inside the box 5
5 Shots outside the box 1
581 Passes 381
88% Pass accuracy 78%
6 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 3
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
7.03 Team rating 6.80

Line-ups

Manchester City 4-1-4-1

256.9 G. Donnarumma(G)
66.6 N. Aké ↓73’ 687.5 M. Alleyne 457.2 A. Khusanov 276.3 M. Nunes ↓73’
146.9 Nico González ↓64’
117.9★ J. Doku 477.2 P. Foden ↓73’ 46.3 T. Reijnders 207.3 Bernardo Silva
96.9 E. Haaland
  • 25G. Donnarumma (G)6.9
  • 6N. Aké↓73’6.6
  • 68M. Alleyne7.5
  • 45A. Khusanov7.2
  • 27M. Nunes↓73’6.3
  • 14Nico González↓64’6.9
  • 11J. Doku ★7.9
  • 47P. Foden↓73’7.2
  • 4T. Reijnders6.3
  • 20Bernardo Silva7.3
  • 9E. Haaland6.9

Substitutes used

  • 16Rodri↑64’7.0
  • 82R. Lewis↑73’7.0
  • 33N. O'Reilly↑73’6.9
  • 10M. Cherki↑73’7.9

Unused: J. Trafford, Ryan McAidoo, R. Heskey, S. Mfuni, Divine Mukasa

Brighton 4-2-3-1

17.3 B. Verbruggen(G)
296.5 M. De Cuyper 56.9 L. Dunk 66.9 J. van Hecke 137.5 J. Hinshelwood
306.3 P. Groß 266.5 Y. Ayari A↓83’
227.9 K. Mitoma ↓83’ 255.5 D. Gómez ↓77’ 247.2 F. Kadıoğlu
106.2 G. Rutter ↓77’
  • 1B. Verbruggen (G)7.3
  • 29M. De Cuyper6.5
  • 5L. Dunk6.9
  • 6J. van Hecke6.9
  • 13J. Hinshelwood7.5
  • 30P. Groß6.3
  • 26Y. AyariA↓83’6.5
  • 22K. Mitoma↓83’7.9
  • 25D. Gómez↓77’5.5
  • 24F. Kadıoğlu7.2
  • 10G. Rutter↓77’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 20J. Milner↑83’6.7
  • 18D. Welbeck↑77’6.5
  • 8B. Gruda↑77’6.3
  • 14T. Watson↑83’6.5

Unused: J. Steele, O. Boscagli, D. Coppola, Charlie Tasker, Harry Howell

Player stats

Top rated
J. DokuManchester City7.9
2nd
K. MitomaBrighton7.9
3rd
M. AlleyneManchester City7.5

Manchester City

Brighton

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.