Premier League Gameweek 6 Sat, Sep 27 2025 · 15:00 Etihad Stadium, Manchester
5–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 2.03 – 0.41
  • M. Estève 12’ (OG), 65’ (OG)
  • M. Nunes 61’
  • E. Haaland 90’, 90’
  • 38’ J. Anthony
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Manchester City cruise past Burnley

Manchester City entered as clear favourites and won 5–1 through goals from Nunes, Haaland and an own goal. Burnley replied through a Anthony goal. Manchester City finished with the higher xG (2.03 vs 0.41).

Manchester City ✓67%
Draw20%
Burnley14%

Model vs reality

Manchester City goals
5
Model 2.24 · xG 2.03
Burnley goals
1
Model 0.92 · xG 0.41
Total goals
6
Model 3.15 · xG 2.44
Score 5–1
2%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 61%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchE. HaalandManchester City · 2 goals · 1 assist
9.2
  • RefereeRobert Jones
  • VenueEtihad Stadium
  • Table before kick-offManchester City 9th · Burnley 17th

Timeline

  1. M. Estève (own goal) 1–0
    12’
  2. Q. HartmanYellow card · Foul
    27’
  3. K. WalkerYellow card · Foul
    30’
  4. J. Anthony 1–1Assist Q. Hartman
    38’
  5. Half time · 1–1
  6. M. Nunes 2–1Assist E. Haaland
    61’
  7. ⇄ O. BobbFor Savinho
    62’
  8. ⇄ J. Bruun LarsenFor L. Tchaouna
    62’
  9. J. AnthonyYellow card · Foul
    63’
  10. M. Estève (own goal) 3–1
    65’
  11. ⇄ N. AkéFor J. Gvardiol
    70’
  12. ⇄ A. BrojaFor J. Cullen
    79’
  13. ⇄ L. UgochukwuFor L. Foster
    80’
  14. P. FodenYellow card · Argument
    83’
  15. ⇄ R. LewisFor N. O'Reilly
    83’
  16. ⇄ Bernardo SilvaFor T. Reijnders
    83’
  17. ⇄ H. MejbriFor Q. Hartman
    88’
  18. ⇄ B. HumphreysFor J. Anthony
    88’
  19. E. Haaland 4–1Assist J. Doku
    90’
  20. E. Haaland 5–1
    90’
  21. Full time · 5–1

Team stats

Manchester City21 shots · 13 in box, 8 outside
Burnley9 shots · 5 in box, 4 outside
Manchester CityBurnley
69% Possession 31%
2.03 Expected goals (xG) 0.41
2.46 Expected points (xPts) 0.37
21 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 2
7 Shots off target 2
6 Blocked shots 5
13 Shots inside the box 5
8 Shots outside the box 4
638 Passes 295
89% Pass accuracy 82%
10 Corners 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.25 Team rating 6.08

Line-ups

Manchester City 4-1-4-1

256.3 G. Donnarumma(G)
336.7 N. O'Reilly ↓83’ 246.9 J. Gvardiol ↓70’ 36.9 Rúben Dias 277.3 M. Nunes
147.5 Nico González
118.9 J. Doku A 476.5 P. Foden 46.9 T. Reijnders ↓83’ 266.9 Savinho ↓62’
99.2★ E. Haaland A
  • 25G. Donnarumma (G)6.3
  • 33N. O'Reilly↓83’6.7
  • 24J. Gvardiol↓70’6.9
  • 3Rúben Dias6.9
  • 27M. Nunes7.3
  • 14Nico González7.5
  • 11J. DokuA8.9
  • 47P. Foden6.5
  • 4T. Reijnders↓83’6.9
  • 26Savinho↓62’6.9
  • 9E. Haaland ★A9.2

Substitutes used

  • 52O. Bobb↑62’6.3
  • 82R. Lewis↑83’6.3
  • 6N. Aké↑70’6.6
  • 20Bernardo Silva↑83’6.7

Unused: J. Trafford, Ryan McAidoo, M. Kovačić, J. Stones, Divine Mukasa

Burnley 5-4-1

16.3 M. Dúbravka(G)
36.0 Q. Hartman A↓88’ 54.3 M. Estève 185.9 H. Ekdal 295.2 J. Laurent 25.3 K. Walker
117.3 J. Anthony ↓88’ 167.2 Florentino 246.9 J. Cullen ↓79’ 176.2 L. Tchaouna ↓62’
96.3 L. Foster ↓80’
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G)6.3
  • 3Q. HartmanA↓88’6.0
  • 5M. Estève4.3
  • 18H. Ekdal5.9
  • 29J. Laurent5.2
  • 2K. Walker5.3
  • 11J. Anthony↓88’7.3
  • 16Florentino7.2
  • 24J. Cullen↓79’6.9
  • 17L. Tchaouna↓62’6.2
  • 9L. Foster↓80’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 27A. Broja↑79’6.3
  • 28H. Mejbri↑88’
  • 8L. Ugochukwu↑80’6.3
  • 7J. Bruun Larsen↑62’6.5
  • 12B. Humphreys↑88’

Unused: Max Weiss, Z. Flemming, J. Worrall, M. Edwards

Player stats

Top rated
E. HaalandManchester City9.2
2nd
J. DokuManchester City8.9
3rd
Nico GonzálezManchester City7.5

Manchester City

Burnley

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.