Premier League Gameweek 20 Sun, Jan 4 2026 · 17:30 Etihad Stadium, Manchester
1–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.02 – 1.85
  • T. Reijnders 42’
  • 90’ E. Fernández
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Chelsea snatch a late draw

Manchester City entered as favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Reijnders goal. But Fernández scored to rescue a draw for Chelsea. Chelsea finished with the higher xG (1.85 vs 1.02). On the chances created, Chelsea deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Manchester City58%
Draw ✓22%
Chelsea20%

Model vs reality

Manchester City goals
1
Model 2.06 · xG 1.02
Chelsea goals
1
Model 1.14 · xG 1.85
Total goals
2
Model 3.19 · xG 2.87
Score 1–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 62%
Both scored
Yes
Model 60%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchT. ReijndersManchester City · 1 goal
8.3
  • RefereeMichael Oliver
  • VenueEtihad Stadium
  • Table before kick-offManchester City 3rd · Chelsea 6th

Timeline

  1. T. Reijnders 1–0
    42’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. ⇄ Andrey SantosFor Estêvão
    46’
  4. ⇄ A. KhusanovFor J. Gvardiol
    51’
  5. R. JamesYellow card · Foul
    52’
  6. Rúben DiasYellow card · Foul
    54’
  7. ⇄ L. DelapFor João Pedro
    62’
  8. ⇄ J. HatoFor J. Acheampong
    62’
  9. ⇄ J. DokuFor T. Reijnders
    70’
  10. M. NunesYellow card · Argument
    79’
  11. L. DelapYellow card · Argument
    79’
  12. ⇄ N. AkéFor Rúben Dias
    81’
  13. E. Fernández 1–1
    90’
  14. Bernardo SilvaYellow card · Foul
    90+3’
  15. E. FernándezYellow card
    90+5’
  16. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Manchester City14 shots · 12 in box, 2 outside
Chelsea8 shots · 8 in box
Manchester CityChelsea
57% Possession 43%
1.02 Expected goals (xG) 1.85
0.84 Expected points (xPts) 1.93
14 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
6 Shots off target 4
5 Blocked shots 1
12 Shots inside the box 8
2 Shots outside the box 0
580 Passes 436
87% Pass accuracy 83%
8 Corners 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
12 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 2
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.01 Team rating 6.68

Line-ups

Manchester City 4-1-4-1

257.3 G. Donnarumma(G)
336.9 N. O'Reilly 247.3 J. Gvardiol ↓51’ 37.2 Rúben Dias ↓81’ 276.9 M. Nunes
167.9 Rodri
48.3★ T. Reijnders ↓70’ 476.3 P. Foden 106.3 M. Cherki 206.3 Bernardo Silva
97.0 E. Haaland
  • 25G. Donnarumma (G)7.3
  • 33N. O'Reilly6.9
  • 24J. Gvardiol↓51’7.3
  • 3Rúben Dias↓81’7.2
  • 27M. Nunes6.9
  • 16Rodri7.9
  • 4T. Reijnders ★↓70’8.3
  • 47P. Foden6.3
  • 10M. Cherki6.3
  • 20Bernardo Silva6.3
  • 9E. Haaland7.0

Substitutes used

  • 11J. Doku↑70’7.3
  • 6N. Aké↑81’6.5
  • 45A. Khusanov↑51’6.5

Unused: J. Trafford, R. Lewis, Ryan McAidoo, R. Heskey, S. Mfuni, Divine Mukasa

Chelsea 4-2-3-1

127.2 F. Jørgensen(G)
276.3 M. Gusto 56.9 B. Badiashile 236.6 T. Chalobah 346.5 J. Acheampong ↓62’
87.6 E. Fernández 246.6 R. James
76.0 Pedro Neto 106.7 C. Palmer 416.3 Estêvão ↓46’
206.3 João Pedro ↓62’
  • 12F. Jørgensen (G)7.2
  • 27M. Gusto6.3
  • 5B. Badiashile6.9
  • 23T. Chalobah6.6
  • 34J. Acheampong↓62’6.5
  • 8E. Fernández7.6
  • 24R. James6.6
  • 7Pedro Neto6.0
  • 10C. Palmer6.7
  • 41Estêvão↓46’6.3
  • 20João Pedro↓62’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 17Andrey Santos↑46’7.2
  • 9L. Delap↑62’6.3
  • 21J. Hato↑62’6.7

Unused: G. Słonina, M. Merrick, J. Gittens, A. Garnacho, Marc Guiu, T. Adarabioyo

Player stats

Top rated
T. ReijndersManchester City8.3
2nd
RodriManchester City7.9
3rd
E. FernándezChelsea7.6

Manchester City

Chelsea

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.