xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.
Chelsea snatch a late draw
Manchester City entered as favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Reijnders goal. But Fernández scored to rescue a draw for Chelsea. Chelsea finished with the higher xG (1.85 vs 1.02). On the chances created, Chelsea deserved more: 1.9 expected points against the 1 point they took.
Model vs reality
- Manchester City goals
- 1 Model 2.06 · xG 1.02
- Chelsea goals
- 1 Model 1.14 · xG 1.85
- Total goals
- 2 Model 3.19 · xG 2.87
- Score 1–1
- 10% Most likely 1–1 (10%)
- Over 2.5
- No Model 62%
- Both scored
- Yes Model 60%
- RefereeMichael Oliver
- VenueEtihad Stadium
- Table before kick-offManchester City 3rd · Chelsea 6th
Timeline
-
T. Reijnders 1–042’
- Half time · 1–0
-
⇄ Andrey SantosFor Estêvão46’
-
⇄ A. KhusanovFor J. Gvardiol51’
-
R. JamesYellow card · Foul52’
-
Rúben DiasYellow card · Foul54’
-
⇄ L. DelapFor João Pedro62’
-
⇄ J. HatoFor J. Acheampong62’
-
⇄ J. DokuFor T. Reijnders70’
-
M. NunesYellow card · Argument79’
-
L. DelapYellow card · Argument79’
-
⇄ N. AkéFor Rúben Dias81’
-
E. Fernández 1–190’
-
Bernardo SilvaYellow card · Foul90+3’
-
E. FernándezYellow card90+5’
- Full time · 1–1
Team stats
Line-ups
Manchester City 4-1-4-1
- 25G. Donnarumma (G)7.3
- 33N. O'Reilly6.9
- 24J. Gvardiol7.3
- 3Rúben Dias7.2
- 27M. Nunes6.9
- 16Rodri7.9
- 4T. Reijnders ★8.3
- 47P. Foden6.3
- 10M. Cherki6.3
- 20Bernardo Silva6.3
- 9E. Haaland7.0
Substitutes used
- 11J. Doku7.3
- 6N. Aké6.5
- 45A. Khusanov6.5
Unused: J. Trafford, R. Lewis, Ryan McAidoo, R. Heskey, S. Mfuni, Divine Mukasa
Chelsea 4-2-3-1
- 12F. Jørgensen (G)7.2
- 27M. Gusto6.3
- 5B. Badiashile6.9
- 23T. Chalobah6.6
- 34J. Acheampong6.5
- 8E. Fernández7.6
- 24R. James6.6
- 7Pedro Neto6.0
- 10C. Palmer6.7
- 41Estêvão6.3
- 20João Pedro6.3
Substitutes used
- 17Andrey Santos7.2
- 9L. Delap6.3
- 21J. Hato6.7
Unused: G. Słonina, M. Merrick, J. Gittens, A. Garnacho, Marc Guiu, T. Adarabioyo
- On target faced
- 3
- Clean sheet
- No
- xG faced
- 1.85
- Prevented vs xG
- +0.85
- Passes
- 31 · 90%
- Shots (on target)
- 1 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 46 · 89%
- Tackles
- 7
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
- ↓51’ Replaced by A. Khusanov
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 60 · 93%
- Tackles
- 2
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
- 54’ Yellow card · Foul
- ↓81’ Replaced by N. Aké
- Shots (on target)
- 1 (1)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 83 · 95%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 3
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 3 (1)
- 79’ Yellow card · Argument
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 56 · 86%
- Tackles
- 5
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (1)
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 4
- Passes
- 78 · 88%
- Tackles
- 5
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (3)
- 42’
- ↓70’ Replaced by J. Doku
- Shots (on target)
- 1 (1)
- Key passes
- 2
- Passes
- 29 · 83%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 1
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (0)
- Shots (on target)
- 2 (0)
- Key passes
- 4
- Passes
- 41 · 76%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 2
- Dribbles won
- 2 / 4
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (3)
- Shots (on target)
- 1 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 61 · 79%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 2 / 5
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (2)
- 90+3’ Yellow card · Foul
- Shots (on target)
- 1 (0)
- Key passes
- 2
- Passes
- 40 · 85%
- Tackles
- 2
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 5 (1)
- Shots (on target)
- 2 (1)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 13 · 77%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 2 / 2
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (1)
Unused substitute.
- ↑70’ Came on for T. Reijnders
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 8 · 88%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 3 / 3
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (1)
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
- ↑81’ Came on for Rúben Dias
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 8 · 63%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
- ↑51’ Came on for J. Gvardiol
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 26 · 92%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
- On target faced
- 3
- Clean sheet
- No
- xG faced
- 1.02
- Prevented vs xG
- +0.02
- Passes
- 53 · 83%
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 39 · 77%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 3
- Dribbles won
- 2 / 3
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (0)
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 45 · 93%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 2
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (1)
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 56 · 88%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 1 / 1
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (0)
- ↓62’ Replaced by J. Hato
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 22 · 82%
- Tackles
- 3
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 1 / 3
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
- 90’
- 90+5’ Yellow card
- Shots (on target)
- 3 (2)
- Key passes
- 2
- Passes
- 33 · 76%
- Tackles
- 7
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 3
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (0)
- 52’ Yellow card · Foul
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 48 · 85%
- Tackles
- 2
- Interceptions
- 2
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 1
- Fouls (drawn)
- 4 (2)
- Shots (on target)
- 1 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 26 · 69%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 1 / 2
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
- Shots (on target)
- 1 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 33 · 85%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 1 / 3
- Fouls (drawn)
- 2 (2)
- ↓46’ Replaced by Andrey Santos
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 7 · 71%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 2
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (0)
- ↓62’ Replaced by L. Delap
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 12 · 67%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 1
- Fouls (drawn)
- 2 (3)
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
- ↑46’ Came on for Estêvão
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 31 · 90%
- Tackles
- 2
- Interceptions
- 1
- Dribbles won
- 1 / 1
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (1)
Unused substitute.
Unused substitute.
- ↑62’ Came on for João Pedro
- 79’ Yellow card · Argument
- Shots (on target)
- 2 (1)
- Key passes
- 0
- Passes
- 10 · 80%
- Tackles
- 0
- Interceptions
- 0
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 1 (0)
- ↑62’ Came on for J. Acheampong
- Shots (on target)
- 0 (0)
- Key passes
- 2
- Passes
- 21 · 90%
- Tackles
- 1
- Interceptions
- 2
- Dribbles won
- 0 / 0
- Fouls (drawn)
- 0 (0)
Player stats
Manchester City
| Player | Min | G | A | Shots | KP | Pass | Tkl | Int | Drb | Fouls | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Donnarumma G | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 sv | 0 | 90% 31 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 7.3 |
| N. O'Reilly M | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) | 0 | 89% 46 | 7 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 6.9 |
| J. Gvardiol D | 51 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 93% 60 | 2 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 7.3 |
| Rúben Dias D | 81 | 0 | 0 | 1 (1) | 0 | 95% 83 | 0 | 3 | 0/0 | 3/1 | 7.2 |
| M. Nunes M | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 86% 56 | 5 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 6.9 |
| Rodri M | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 4 | 88% 78 | 5 | 1 | 0/0 | 1/3 | 7.9 |
| T. Reijnders M | 70 | 1 | 0 | 1 (1) | 2 | 83% 29 | 0 | 1 | 0/1 | 1/0 | 8.3 |
| P. Foden M | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 (0) | 4 | 76% 41 | 0 | 2 | 2/4 | 1/3 | 6.3 |
| M. Cherki M | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) | 0 | 79% 61 | 1 | 0 | 2/5 | 1/2 | 6.3 |
| Bernardo Silva M | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) | 2 | 85% 40 | 2 | 0 | 0/0 | 5/1 | 6.3 |
| E. Haaland F | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 (1) | 0 | 77% 13 | 0 | 1 | 2/2 | 0/1 | 7.0 |
| J. Doku F | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 88% 8 | 0 | 0 | 3/3 | 0/1 | 7.3 |
| N. Aké D | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 63% 8 | 1 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 6.5 |
| A. Khusanov D | 39 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 92% 26 | 1 | 1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 6.5 |
Chelsea
| Player | Min | G | A | Shots | KP | Pass | Tkl | Int | Drb | Fouls | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Jørgensen G | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 sv | 0 | 83% 53 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 7.2 |
| M. Gusto D | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 77% 39 | 1 | 3 | 2/3 | 1/0 | 6.3 |
| B. Badiashile D | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 93% 45 | 0 | 2 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 6.9 |
| T. Chalobah D | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 88% 56 | 1 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/0 | 6.6 |
| J. Acheampong D | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 82% 22 | 3 | 0 | 1/3 | 0/0 | 6.5 |
| E. Fernández M | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 (2) | 2 | 76% 33 | 7 | 1 | 0/3 | 1/0 | 7.6 |
| R. James D | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 85% 48 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 | 4/2 | 6.6 |
| Pedro Neto F | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) | 0 | 69% 26 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 | 0/0 | 6.0 |
| C. Palmer M | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 (0) | 0 | 85% 33 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 | 2/2 | 6.7 |
| Estêvão F | 46 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 71% 7 | 0 | 0 | 0/2 | 1/0 | 6.3 |
| João Pedro F | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 67% 12 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 6.3 |
| Andrey Santos M | 44 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 0 | 90% 31 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 | 1/1 | 7.2 |
| L. Delap F | 28 | 0 | 0 | 2 (1) | 0 | 80% 10 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 1/0 | 6.3 |
| J. Hato D | 28 | 0 | 0 | 0 (0) | 2 | 90% 21 | 1 | 2 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 6.7 |
Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.
Manchester City
Chelsea