Premier League Gameweek 27 Sat, Feb 21 2026 · 20:00 Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Manchester City
2–1 Full time · HT 2–1 xG 1.35 – 0.58
Newcastle
  • N. O'Reilly 14’, 27’
  • 22’ L. Hall
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Manchester City beat Newcastle

Manchester City entered as favourites and won 2–1 through two O'Reilly goals. Newcastle replied through a Hall goal. Manchester City finished with the higher xG (1.35 vs 0.58). On the chances created, Newcastle deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Manchester City ✓56%
Draw21%
Newcastle23%

Model vs reality

Manchester City goals
2
Model 2.20 · xG 1.35
Newcastle goals
1
Model 1.39 · xG 0.58
Total goals
3
Model 3.59 · xG 1.93
Score 2–1
9%
Most likely 2–1 (9%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 70%
Both scored
Yes
Model 67%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchRodriManchester City
8.7
  • RefereeThomas Bramall
  • VenueEtihad Stadium
  • Table before kick-offManchester City 2nd · Newcastle 10th

Timeline

  1. D. BurnYellow card · Foul
    9’
  2. N. O'Reilly 1–0Assist O. Marmoush
    14’
  3. L. Hall 1–1Assist J. Ramsey
    22’
  4. N. O'Reilly 2–1Assist E. Haaland
    27’
  5. Rúben DiasYellow card · Foul
    41’
  6. Half time · 2–1
  7. ⇄ A. KhusanovFor Rúben Dias
    46’
  8. J. WillockYellow card · Foul
    48’
  9. Bernardo SilvaYellow card · Foul
    50’
  10. ⇄ M. CherkiFor O. Marmoush
    58’
  11. ⇄ JoelintonFor N. Woltemade
    60’
  12. ⇄ H. BarnesFor J. Willock
    60’
  13. H. BarnesYellow card · Foul
    62’
  14. K. TrippierYellow card · Foul
    65’
  15. ⇄ J. MurphyFor A. Elanga
    78’
  16. ⇄ W. OsulaFor A. Gordon
    78’
  17. ⇄ P. FodenFor A. Semenyo
    87’
  18. JoelintonYellow card · Persistent fouling
    89’
  19. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Manchester City15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
Newcastle13 shots · 8 in box, 5 outside
Manchester CityNewcastle
55% Possession 45%
1.35 Expected goals (xG) 0.58
1.95 Expected points (xPts) 0.76
15 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 7
6 Shots off target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
10 Shots inside the box 8
5 Shots outside the box 5
460 Passes 362
84% Pass accuracy 81%
5 Corners 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
12 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 5
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
7.32 Team rating 6.76

Line-ups

Manchester City 4-1-3-2

257.3 G. Donnarumma(G)
216.5 R. Aït-Nouri 156.9 A. Guéhi 36.5 Rúben Dias ↓46’ 277.2 M. Nunes
168.7★ Rodri
338.6 N. O'Reilly 206.9 Bernardo Silva 426.9 A. Semenyo ↓87’
76.9 O. Marmoush A↓58’ 97.7 E. Haaland A
  • 25G. Donnarumma (G)7.3
  • 21R. Aït-Nouri6.5
  • 15A. Guéhi6.9
  • 3Rúben Dias↓46’6.5
  • 27M. Nunes7.2
  • 16Rodri ★8.7
  • 33N. O'Reilly8.6
  • 20Bernardo Silva6.9
  • 42A. Semenyo↓87’6.9
  • 7O. MarmoushA↓58’6.9
  • 9E. HaalandA7.7

Substitutes used

  • 47P. Foden↑87’6.7
  • 10M. Cherki↑58’7.3
  • 45A. Khusanov↑46’7.0

Unused: J. Trafford, T. Reijnders, R. Lewis, J. Stones, Nico González, Savinho

Newcastle 4-3-3

17.2 N. Pope(G)
37.2 L. Hall 336.0 D. Burn 127.2 M. Thiaw 26.9 K. Trippier
286.3 J. Willock ↓60’ 86.9 S. Tonali 417.2 J. Ramsey A
106.3 A. Gordon ↓78’ 276.6 N. Woltemade ↓60’ 206.3 A. Elanga ↓78’
  • 1N. Pope (G)7.2
  • 3L. Hall7.2
  • 33D. Burn6.0
  • 12M. Thiaw7.2
  • 2K. Trippier6.9
  • 28J. Willock↓60’6.3
  • 8S. Tonali6.9
  • 41J. RamseyA7.2
  • 10A. Gordon↓78’6.3
  • 27N. Woltemade↓60’6.6
  • 20A. Elanga↓78’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 23J. Murphy↑78’6.5
  • 7Joelinton↑60’6.9
  • 11H. Barnes↑60’6.7
  • 18W. Osula↑78’6.2

Unused: J. Ruddy, A. Ramsdale, L. Shahar, A. Murphy, Sean Neave

Player stats

Top rated
RodriManchester City8.7
2nd
N. O'ReillyManchester City8.6
3rd
E. HaalandManchester City7.7

Manchester City

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Donnarumma G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 59% 34 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
R. Aït-Nouri D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 32 2 2 0/1 2/1 6.5
A. Guéhi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 54 1 2 1/1 1/1 6.9
Rúben Dias D 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 30 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
M. Nunes M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 42 1 0 0/0 0/2 7.2
Rodri M 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 87% 75 6 1 2/2 0/3 8.7
N. O'Reilly M 90 2 0 2 (2) 0 72% 18 1 0 0/3 1/0 8.6
Bernardo Silva M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 88% 75 0 0 2/4 2/1 6.9
A. Semenyo F 87 0 0 3 (1) 2 83% 23 5 0 0/2 0/1 6.9
O. Marmoush F 58 0 1 4 (2) 2 77% 13 2 0 1/1 1/0 6.9
E. Haaland F 90 0 1 3 (1) 1 69% 16 1 0 2/4 1/3 7.7
P. Foden M 3 0 0 1 (1) 0 67% 3 0 0 1/1 1/0 6.7
M. Cherki M 32 0 0 0 (0) 2 100% 18 0 0 4/5 1/1 7.3
A. Khusanov D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 27 2 0 0/0 1/0 7.0

Newcastle

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Pope G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 68% 25 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
L. Hall D 90 1 0 2 (1) 0 78% 46 4 0 1/6 1/2 7.2
D. Burn D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 34 2 1 0/0 3/1 6.0
M. Thiaw D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 92% 38 3 2 0/0 0/2 7.2
K. Trippier D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 84% 68 1 0 1/1 1/0 6.9
J. Willock M 60 0 0 1 (1) 0 69% 13 0 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
S. Tonali M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 80% 44 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
J. Ramsey M 90 0 1 1 (0) 3 88% 26 4 1 0/1 1/1 7.2
A. Gordon F 78 0 0 2 (2) 1 80% 5 0 0 0/2 0/1 6.3
N. Woltemade F 60 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 14 2 0 1/1 0/0 6.6
A. Elanga F 78 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 17 0 0 0/2 0/1 6.3
J. Murphy M 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 63% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Joelinton F 30 0 0 1 (0) 1 85% 13 1 0 0/0 4/4 6.9
H. Barnes M 30 0 0 1 (1) 0 82% 11 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.7
W. Osula F 12 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.