Premier League Gameweek 29 Wed, Mar 4 2026 · 19:30 Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Manchester City
2–2 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.12 – 0.97
Nottingham Forest
  • A. Semenyo 31’
  • Rodri 62’
  • 56’ M. Gibbs-White
  • 76’ E. Anderson
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Manchester City and Nottingham Forest share the points

Manchester City entered as clear favourites and led 1–0 at half-time through a Semenyo goal. But Gibbs-White and Anderson scored to rescue a draw for Nottingham Forest. Manchester City finished with the higher xG (2.12 vs 0.97). On the chances created, Manchester City deserved more: 2.1 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Manchester City73%
Draw ✓16%
Nottingham Forest10%

Model vs reality

Manchester City goals
2
Model 2.56 · xG 2.12
Nottingham Forest goals
2
Model 0.88 · xG 0.97
Total goals
4
Model 3.43 · xG 3.09
Score 2–2
4%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 67%
Both scored
Yes
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchBernardo SilvaManchester City
8.5
  • RefereeDarren England
  • VenueEtihad Stadium
  • Table before kick-offManchester City 2nd · Nottingham Forest 17th

Timeline

  1. A. Semenyo 1–0Assist M. Cherki
    31’
  2. I. SangaréYellow card · Foul
    45+1’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. M. Gibbs-White 1–1Assist Igor Jesus
    56’
  5. MurilloYellow card · Foul
    60’
  6. Rodri 2–1Assist R. Aït-Nouri
    62’
  7. N. MilenkovićYellow card · Argument
    63’
  8. ⇄ C. Hudson-OdoiFor N. Domínguez
    63’
  9. E. Anderson 2–2Assist C. Hudson-Odoi
    76’
  10. ⇄ J. DokuFor P. Foden
    77’
  11. ⇄ A. KhusanovFor R. Aït-Nouri
    77’
  12. ⇄ T. AwoniyiFor Igor Jesus
    79’
  13. ⇄ SavinhoFor M. Cherki
    82’
  14. ⇄ R. YatesFor M. Gibbs-White
    90’
  15. ⇄ MoratoFor N. Williams
    90’
  16. M. SelsYellow card · Time wasting
    90+4’
  17. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Manchester City21 shots · 16 in box, 5 outside
Nottingham Forest9 shots · 6 in box, 3 outside
Manchester CityNottingham Forest
70% Possession 30%
2.12 Expected goals (xG) 0.97
2.11 Expected points (xPts) 0.69
21 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 4
8 Shots off target 2
6 Blocked shots 3
16 Shots inside the box 6
5 Shots outside the box 3
774 Passes 329
92% Pass accuracy 82%
6 Corners 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 3
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
7.15 Team rating 6.87

Line-ups

Manchester City 4-1-3-2

256.0 G. Donnarumma(G)
217.3 R. Aït-Nouri A↓77’ 156.9 A. Guéhi 37.2 Rúben Dias 276.3 M. Nunes
168.2 Rodri
108.3 M. Cherki A↓82’ 208.5★ Bernardo Silva 476.9 P. Foden ↓77’
427.3 A. Semenyo 96.0 E. Haaland
  • 25G. Donnarumma (G)6.0
  • 21R. Aït-NouriA↓77’7.3
  • 15A. Guéhi6.9
  • 3Rúben Dias7.2
  • 27M. Nunes6.3
  • 16Rodri8.2
  • 10M. CherkiA↓82’8.3
  • 20Bernardo Silva ★8.5
  • 47P. Foden↓77’6.9
  • 42A. Semenyo7.3
  • 9E. Haaland6.0

Substitutes used

  • 11J. Doku↑77’7.0
  • 26Savinho↑82’6.9
  • 45A. Khusanov↑77’6.6

Unused: J. Trafford, T. Reijnders, J. Stones, N. Aké, O. Marmoush, Nico González

Nottingham Forest 5-3-2

267.0 M. Sels(G)
36.5 N. Williams ↓90’ 57.3 Murillo 316.3 N. Milenković 236.2 Jair 346.3 T. Aina
88.5 E. Anderson 66.3 I. Sangaré 167.2 N. Domínguez ↓63’
196.9 Igor Jesus A↓79’ 107.3 M. Gibbs-White ↓90’
  • 26M. Sels (G)7.0
  • 3N. Williams↓90’6.5
  • 5Murillo7.3
  • 31N. Milenković6.3
  • 23Jair6.2
  • 34T. Aina6.3
  • 8E. Anderson8.5
  • 6I. Sangaré6.3
  • 16N. Domínguez↓63’7.2
  • 19Igor JesusA↓79’6.9
  • 10M. Gibbs-White↓90’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 9T. Awoniyi↑79’6.5
  • 22R. Yates↑90’6.3
  • 7C. Hudson-OdoiA↑63’6.6
  • 4Morato↑90’7.5

Unused: A. Gunn, L. Netz, J. McAtee, D. Ndoye, O. Hutchinson

Player stats

Top rated
Bernardo SilvaManchester City8.5
2nd
E. AndersonNottingham Forest8.5
3rd
M. CherkiManchester City8.3

Manchester City

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Donnarumma G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 100% 19 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.0
R. Aït-Nouri D 77 0 1 0 (0) 2 99% 77 1 1 4/5 3/1 7.3
A. Guéhi D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 92% 91 0 1 1/1 1/0 6.9
Rúben Dias D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 88 1 2 0/1 0/0 7.2
M. Nunes M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 89% 79 2 0 3/6 1/0 6.3
Rodri M 90 1 0 2 (1) 2 94% 106 1 0 0/0 1/1 8.2
M. Cherki M 82 0 1 1 (0) 3 91% 86 1 0 3/4 1/0 8.3
Bernardo Silva M 90 0 0 2 (2) 3 96% 112 1 0 2/3 1/0 8.5
P. Foden M 77 0 0 2 (1) 2 87% 63 1 1 1/1 0/1 6.9
A. Semenyo F 90 1 0 3 (1) 1 85% 26 1 0 0/2 1/0 7.3
E. Haaland F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 71% 7 0 1 0/0 1/1 6.0
J. Doku F 13 0 0 1 (0) 1 86% 7 1 0 0/1 0/2 7.0
Savinho F 8 0 0 2 (2) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/2 0/0 6.9
A. Khusanov D 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 9 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.6

Nottingham Forest

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Sels G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 66% 35 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
N. Williams D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 24 3 2 0/1 1/0 6.5
Murillo D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 33 0 1 0/0 1/0 7.3
N. Milenković D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 40 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
Jair D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 32 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.2
T. Aina D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 72% 18 3 1 1/2 0/1 6.3
E. Anderson M 90 1 0 2 (1) 1 87% 45 5 1 2/4 1/2 8.5
I. Sangaré M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 26 2 1 0/1 1/0 6.3
N. Domínguez M 63 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 27 3 0 1/1 0/3 7.2
Igor Jesus F 79 0 1 1 (1) 1 77% 13 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
M. Gibbs-White M 90 1 0 2 (2) 1 91% 23 1 0 2/2 1/1 7.3
T. Awoniyi F 11 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
R. Yates M 1 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
C. Hudson-Odoi F 27 0 1 0 (0) 1 90% 10 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
Morato D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.