Premier League Gameweek 9 Sat, Oct 25 2025 · 17:30 Old Trafford, Manchester
4–2 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 1.29 – 1.12
  • Matheus Cunha 24’
  • Casemiro 34’
  • B. Mbeumo 61’, 90’
  • 74’ D. Welbeck
  • 90’ C. Kostoulas
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Manchester United beat Brighton

Manchester United entered as narrow favourites and won 4–2 through goals from Cunha, Casemiro and Mbeumo. Brighton replied through goals from Welbeck and Kostoulas. The chances were even, with xG of 1.29 and 1.12. On the chances created, Brighton deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Manchester United ✓41%
Draw26%
Brighton33%

Model vs reality

Manchester United goals
4
Model 1.54 · xG 1.29
Brighton goals
2
Model 1.35 · xG 1.12
Total goals
6
Model 2.89 · xG 2.41
Score 4–2
1%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 55%
Both scored
Yes
Model 59%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchB. MbeumoManchester United · 2 goals
9.9
  • RefereeAnthony Taylor
  • VenueOld Trafford
  • Table before kick-offManchester United 9th · Brighton 10th

Timeline

  1. Matheus Cunha 1–0Assist Casemiro
    24’
  2. Casemiro 2–0Assist L. Shaw
    34’
  3. C. BalebaYellow card · Foul
    41’
  4. Half time · 2–0
  5. ⇄ J. MilnerFor C. Baleba
    59’
  6. ⇄ T. WatsonFor M. De Cuyper
    59’
  7. ⇄ D. GómezFor Y. Ayari
    60’
  8. B. Mbeumo 3–0Assist B. Šeško
    61’
  9. ⇄ A. HeavenFor L. Shaw
    65’
  10. ⇄ K. MainooFor Casemiro
    70’
  11. ⇄ P. DorguFor A. Diallo
    70’
  12. P. DorguYellow card · Foul
    72’
  13. D. Welbeck 3–1
    74’
  14. ⇄ C. KostoulasFor G. Rutter
    79’
  15. B. ŠeškoYellow card · Foul
    81’
  16. ⇄ M. UgarteFor Matheus Cunha
    81’
  17. ⇄ J. ZirkzeeFor B. Šeško
    82’
  18. ⇄ S. TzimasFor M. Wieffer
    87’
  19. C. Kostoulas 3–2Assist J. Milner
    90’
  20. B. Mbeumo 4–2Assist A. Heaven
    90’
  21. F. KadıoğluYellow card · Foul
    90+4’
  22. Full time · 4–2

Team stats

Manchester United13 shots · 7 in box, 6 outside
Brighton17 shots · 10 in box, 7 outside
Manchester UnitedBrighton
44% Possession 56%
1.29 Expected goals (xG) 1.12
1.49 Expected points (xPts) 1.24
13 Shots 17
9 Shots on target 5
3 Shots off target 8
1 Blocked shots 4
7 Shots inside the box 10
6 Shots outside the box 7
442 Passes 568
82% Pass accuracy 85%
1 Corners 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.29 Team rating 6.37

Line-ups

Manchester United 3-4-2-1

316.9 S. Lammens(G)
236.9 L. Shaw A↓65’ 46.3 M. de Ligt 156.3 L. Yoro
26.9 Diogo Dalot 87.2 Bruno Fernandes 188.5 Casemiro A↓70’ 166.5 A. Diallo ↓70’
108.9 Matheus Cunha ↓81’ 199.9★ B. Mbeumo
306.7 B. Šeško A↓82’
  • 31S. Lammens (G)6.9
  • 23L. ShawA↓65’6.9
  • 4M. de Ligt6.3
  • 15L. Yoro6.3
  • 2Diogo Dalot6.9
  • 8Bruno Fernandes7.2
  • 18CasemiroA↓70’8.5
  • 16A. Diallo↓70’6.5
  • 10Matheus Cunha↓81’8.9
  • 19B. Mbeumo ★9.9
  • 30B. ŠeškoA↓82’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 11J. Zirkzee↑82’6.3
  • 37K. Mainoo↑70’6.3
  • 13P. Dorgu↑70’6.2
  • 25M. Ugarte↑81’6.9
  • 26A. HeavenA↑65’6.9

Unused: A. Bayındır, Mason Mount, N. Mazraoui, T. Malacia

Brighton 4-2-3-1

16.2 B. Verbruggen(G)
296.6 M. De Cuyper ↓59’ 55.6 L. Dunk 66.3 J. van Hecke 276.3 M. Wieffer ↓87’
266.2 Y. Ayari ↓60’ 176.3 C. Baleba ↓59’
115.9 Y. Minteh 106.0 G. Rutter ↓79’ 246.5 F. Kadıoğlu
187.7 D. Welbeck
  • 1B. Verbruggen (G)6.2
  • 29M. De Cuyper↓59’6.6
  • 5L. Dunk5.6
  • 6J. van Hecke6.3
  • 27M. Wieffer↓87’6.3
  • 26Y. Ayari↓60’6.2
  • 17C. Baleba↓59’6.3
  • 11Y. Minteh5.9
  • 10G. Rutter↓79’6.0
  • 24F. Kadıoğlu6.5
  • 18D. Welbeck7.7

Substitutes used

  • 20J. MilnerA↑59’7.0
  • 25D. Gómez↑60’6.5
  • 19C. Kostoulas↑79’7.3
  • 14T. Watson↑59’6.6
  • 9S. Tzimas↑87’6.3

Unused: J. Steele, O. Boscagli, D. Coppola, Nehemiah Oriola

Player stats

Top rated
B. MbeumoManchester United9.9
2nd
Matheus CunhaManchester United8.9
3rd
CasemiroManchester United8.5

Manchester United

Brighton

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.