Premier League Gameweek 5 Sat, Sep 20 2025 · 17:30 Old Trafford, Manchester
2–1 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 1.84 – 0.43
  • Bruno Fernandes 14’
  • Casemiro 37’
  • Casemiro 45+5’
  • 80’ T. Chalobah
  • 5’ Robert Sánchez
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Manchester United beat Chelsea

Chelsea entered as narrow favourites, but Manchester United won 2–1 through goals from Fernandes and Casemiro. Chelsea replied through a Chalobah goal. Chelsea played with ten men from the 5th minute after Sánchez was sent off. Manchester United finished with the higher xG (1.84 vs 0.43).

Manchester United ✓31%
Draw25%
Chelsea44%

Model vs reality

Manchester United goals
2
Model 1.37 · xG 1.84
Chelsea goals
1
Model 1.65 · xG 0.43
Total goals
3
Model 3.02 · xG 2.27
Score 2–1
8%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 58%
Both scored
Yes
Model 61%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. MazraouiManchester United
7.9
  • RefereePeter Bankes
  • VenueOld Trafford
  • Table before kick-offManchester United 17th · Chelsea 6th

Timeline

  1. Robert SánchezRed card · Professional foul last man
    5’
  2. ⇄ F. JørgensenFor Estêvão
    6’
  3. ⇄ T. AdarabioyoFor Pedro Neto
    7’
  4. Bruno Fernandes 1–0Assist P. Dorgu
    14’
  5. CasemiroYellow card · Foul
    17’
  6. ⇄ Andrey SantosFor C. Palmer
    21’
  7. Casemiro 2–0Assist J. Maguire
    37’
  8. Marc CucurellaYellow card · Foul
    44’
  9. CasemiroSecond yellow · Foul
    45+5’
  10. Half time · 2–0
  11. ⇄ M. UgarteFor B. Šeško
    46’
  12. E. FernándezYellow card · Foul
    48’
  13. T. ChalobahYellow card · Foul
    50’
  14. ⇄ Matheus CunhaFor N. Mazraoui
    64’
  15. ⇄ M. GustoFor Marc Cucurella
    64’
  16. ⇄ T. GeorgeFor W. Fofana
    64’
  17. ⇄ Mason MountFor B. Mbeumo
    69’
  18. ⇄ L. YoroFor J. Maguire
    70’
  19. T. GeorgeYellow card · Foul
    72’
  20. T. Chalobah 2–1Assist R. James
    80’
  21. ⇄ K. MainooFor Bruno Fernandes
    87’
  22. T. AdarabioyoYellow card · Foul
    90+6’
  23. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Manchester United11 shots · 6 in box, 5 outside
Chelsea5 shots · 4 in box, 1 outside
Manchester UnitedChelsea
41% Possession 59%
1.84 Expected goals (xG) 0.43
2.36 Expected points (xPts) 0.44
11 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 1
3 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
6 Shots inside the box 4
5 Shots outside the box 1
371 Passes 550
79% Pass accuracy 85%
5 Corners 5
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
13 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 1
6.94 Team rating 6.73

Line-ups

Manchester United 3-4-2-1

16.2 A. Bayındır(G)
236.9 L. Shaw 56.9 J. Maguire A↓70’ 47.2 M. de Ligt
137.5 P. Dorgu A 87.3 Bruno Fernandes ↓87’ 186.3 Casemiro 37.9★ N. Mazraoui ↓64’
166.7 A. Diallo 196.9 B. Mbeumo ↓69’
306.7 B. Šeško ↓46’
  • 1A. Bayındır (G)6.2
  • 23L. Shaw6.9
  • 5J. MaguireA↓70’6.9
  • 4M. de Ligt7.2
  • 13P. DorguA7.5
  • 8Bruno Fernandes↓87’7.3
  • 18Casemiro6.3
  • 3N. Mazraoui ★↓64’7.9
  • 16A. Diallo6.7
  • 19B. Mbeumo↓69’6.9
  • 30B. Šeško↓46’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 7Mason Mount↑69’6.2
  • 37K. Mainoo↑87’6.7
  • 10Matheus Cunha↑64’6.9
  • 25M. Ugarte↑46’6.9
  • 15L. Yoro↑70’6.3

Unused: S. Lammens, J. Zirkzee, T. Fredricson, A. Heaven

Chelsea 4-2-3-1

13.0 Robert Sánchez(G)
35.9 Marc Cucurella ↓64’ 237.9 T. Chalobah 296.5 W. Fofana ↓64’ 246.3 R. James A
257.0 M. Caicedo 86.9 E. Fernández
7 Pedro Neto ↓7’ 106.5 C. Palmer ↓21’ 41 Estêvão ↓6’
206.9 João Pedro
  • 1Robert Sánchez (G)3.0
  • 3Marc Cucurella↓64’5.9
  • 23T. Chalobah7.9
  • 29W. Fofana↓64’6.5
  • 24R. JamesA6.3
  • 25M. Caicedo7.0
  • 8E. Fernández6.9
  • 7Pedro Neto↓7’
  • 10C. Palmer↓21’6.5
  • 41Estêvão↓6’
  • 20João Pedro6.9

Substitutes used

  • 12F. Jørgensen (G)↑6’6.9
  • 27M. Gusto↑64’6.7
  • 17Andrey Santos↑21’6.9
  • 32T. George↑64’6.2
  • 4T. Adarabioyo↑7’6.2

Unused: J. Gittens, A. Garnacho, Marc Guiu, J. Hato

Player stats

Top rated
N. MazraouiManchester United7.9
2nd
T. ChalobahChelsea7.9
3rd
P. DorguManchester United7.5

Manchester United

Chelsea

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.