Premier League Gameweek 18 Fri, Dec 26 2025 · 20:00 Old Trafford, Manchester
Manchester United
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 1.27 – 1.18
Newcastle
  • P. Dorgu 24’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Dorgu goal decides it for Manchester United

Manchester United entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Dorgu goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.27 and 1.18. On the chances created, Newcastle deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Manchester United ✓40%
Draw26%
Newcastle35%

Model vs reality

Manchester United goals
1
Model 1.54 · xG 1.27
Newcastle goals
0
Model 1.43 · xG 1.18
Total goals
1
Model 2.96 · xG 2.45
Score 1–0
7%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 57%
Both scored
No
Model 60%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchP. DorguManchester United · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeAnthony Taylor
  • VenueOld Trafford
  • Table before kick-offManchester United 7th · Newcastle 11th

Timeline

  1. P. Dorgu 1–0
    24’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. ⇄ J. FletcherFor Mason Mount
    46’
  4. ⇄ J. ZirkzeeFor B. Šeško
    60’
  5. ⇄ L. YoroFor Casemiro
    61’
  6. ⇄ Y. WissaFor N. Woltemade
    68’
  7. ⇄ JoelintonFor J. Ramsey
    68’
  8. ⇄ H. BarnesFor J. Murphy
    68’
  9. L. ShawYellow card · Time wasting
    69’
  10. S. TonaliYellow card · Foul
    73’
  11. ⇄ J. WillockFor S. Tonali
    77’
  12. ⇄ T. FredricsonFor L. Martínez
    88’
  13. ⇄ T. MalaciaFor L. Shaw
    88’
  14. Matheus CunhaYellow card · Foul
    90+2’
  15. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Manchester United10 shots · 8 in box, 2 outside
Newcastle16 shots · 14 in box, 2 outside
Manchester UnitedNewcastle
33% Possession 67%
1.27 Expected goals (xG) 1.18
1.43 Expected points (xPts) 1.30
10 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 3
6 Shots off target 6
0 Blocked shots 7
8 Shots inside the box 14
2 Shots outside the box 2
328 Passes 627
77% Pass accuracy 87%
2 Corners 11
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Fouls 5
0 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.09 Team rating 6.72

Line-ups

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

317.3 S. Lammens(G)
237.0 L. Shaw ↓88’ 67.3 L. Martínez ↓88’ 267.5 A. Heaven 27.5 Diogo Dalot
256.9 M. Ugarte 186.7 Casemiro ↓61’
106.9 Matheus Cunha 76.6 Mason Mount ↓46’ 138.2★ P. Dorgu
306.3 B. Šeško ↓60’
  • 31S. Lammens (G)7.3
  • 23L. Shaw↓88’7.0
  • 6L. Martínez↓88’7.3
  • 26A. Heaven7.5
  • 2Diogo Dalot7.5
  • 25M. Ugarte6.9
  • 18Casemiro↓61’6.7
  • 10Matheus Cunha6.9
  • 7Mason Mount↓46’6.6
  • 13P. Dorgu ★8.2
  • 30B. Šeško↓60’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 11J. Zirkzee↑60’6.2
  • 33T. Fredricson↑88’6.7
  • 12T. Malacia↑88’6.6
  • 15L. Yoro↑61’6.7
  • 38J. Fletcher↑46’6.3

Unused: A. Bayındır, Tyler Fletcher, Shea Lacey, Bendito Mantato

Newcastle 4-3-3

326.3 A. Ramsdale(G)
37.2 L. Hall 56.9 F. Schär 126.9 M. Thiaw 676.7 L. Miley
416.7 J. Ramsey ↓68’ 396.9 Bruno Guimarães 86.9 S. Tonali ↓77’
106.9 A. Gordon 276.0 N. Woltemade ↓68’ 236.6 J. Murphy ↓68’
  • 32A. Ramsdale (G)6.3
  • 3L. Hall7.2
  • 5F. Schär6.9
  • 12M. Thiaw6.9
  • 67L. Miley6.7
  • 41J. Ramsey↓68’6.7
  • 39Bruno Guimarães6.9
  • 8S. Tonali↓77’6.9
  • 10A. Gordon6.9
  • 27N. Woltemade↓68’6.0
  • 23J. Murphy↓68’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 28J. Willock↑77’6.7
  • 9Y. Wissa↑68’6.3
  • 7Joelinton↑68’6.7
  • 11H. Barnes↑68’6.2

Unused: N. Pope, L. Shahar, A. Murphy, Sean Neave, A. Alabi

Player stats

Top rated
P. DorguManchester United8.2
2nd
A. HeavenManchester United7.5
3rd
Diogo DalotManchester United7.5

Manchester United

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. Lammens G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 27% 30 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.3
L. Shaw D 88 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 29 2 3 0/0 1/0 7.0
L. Martínez D 88 0 0 0 (0) 1 89% 38 0 1 0/0 0/0 7.3
A. Heaven D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 36 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
Diogo Dalot D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 82% 22 2 1 0/0 0/0 7.5
M. Ugarte M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 73% 37 6 2 2/2 3/0 6.9
Casemiro M 61 0 0 1 (0) 0 91% 32 3 2 0/0 1/0 6.7
Matheus Cunha F 90 0 0 3 (1) 1 81% 27 0 3 4/6 2/1 6.9
Mason Mount M 46 0 0 0 (0) 1 67% 21 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
P. Dorgu D 90 1 0 3 (3) 1 74% 23 2 2 1/2 0/3 8.2
B. Šeško F 60 0 0 2 (0) 1 82% 11 1 1 0/1 0/0 6.3
J. Zirkzee F 30 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.2
T. Fredricson D 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
T. Malacia D 2 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 2 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
L. Yoro D 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 6 0 2 0/0 0/0 6.7
J. Fletcher F 44 0 0 0 (0) 1 78% 9 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.3

Newcastle

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Ramsdale G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 83% 23 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
L. Hall D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 84% 68 1 0 7/8 0/3 7.2
F. Schär D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 87% 85 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
M. Thiaw D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 79 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.9
L. Miley M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 95% 84 1 1 0/0 0/1 6.7
J. Ramsey M 68 0 0 0 (0) 0 90% 31 3 1 1/2 1/0 6.7
Bruno Guimarães M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 89% 82 1 1 0/3 0/3 6.9
S. Tonali M 77 0 0 0 (0) 1 87% 55 1 1 1/1 2/2 6.9
A. Gordon F 90 0 0 2 (0) 3 82% 34 1 0 2/3 1/0 6.9
N. Woltemade F 68 0 0 0 (0) 0 57% 14 0 0 0/3 0/0 6.0
J. Murphy M 68 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 32 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
J. Willock M 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 11 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Y. Wissa M 22 0 0 1 (0) 1 67% 3 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3
Joelinton F 22 0 0 2 (2) 0 80% 15 2 0 0/1 1/0 6.7
H. Barnes M 22 0 0 0 (0) 1 82% 11 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.2

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.