Premier League Gameweek 37 Sun, May 17 2026 · 12:30 Old Trafford, Manchester
3–2 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 4.57 – 1.88
  • L. Shaw 5’
  • Matheus Cunha 55’
  • B. Mbeumo 76’
  • 53’ Morato
  • 78’ M. Gibbs-White
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Manchester United beat Nottingham Forest

Manchester United entered as favourites and won 3–2 through goals from Shaw, Cunha and Mbeumo. Nottingham Forest replied through goals from Morato and Gibbs-White. Manchester United finished with the higher xG (4.57 vs 1.88).

Manchester United ✓51%
Draw24%
Nottingham Forest25%

Model vs reality

Manchester United goals
3
Model 1.84 · xG 4.57
Nottingham Forest goals
2
Model 1.21 · xG 1.88
Total goals
5
Model 3.05 · xG 6.45
Score 3–2
4%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 60%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchE. AndersonNottingham Forest · 2 assists
9.3
  • RefereeMichael Salisbury
  • VenueOld Trafford
  • Table before kick-offManchester United 3rd · Nottingham Forest 16th

Timeline

  1. L. Shaw 1–0
    5’
  2. Half time · 1–0
  3. Morato 1–1Assist E. Anderson
    53’
  4. Matheus Cunha 2–1
    55’
  5. VAR Matheus CunhaGoal confirmed
    57’
  6. ⇄ T. AwoniyiFor C. Wood
    70’
  7. ⇄ I. SangaréFor N. Domínguez
    70’
  8. ⇄ D. BakwaFor O. Hutchinson
    70’
  9. B. Mbeumo 3–1Assist Bruno Fernandes
    76’
  10. CasemiroYellow card · Foul
    78’
  11. M. Gibbs-White 3–2Assist E. Anderson
    78’
  12. ⇄ J. ZirkzeeFor B. Mbeumo
    80’
  13. ⇄ P. DorguFor Matheus Cunha
    80’
  14. ⇄ Mason MountFor Casemiro
    81’
  15. ⇄ J. McAteeFor Igor Jesus
    84’
  16. ⇄ JairFor L. Netz
    84’
  17. L. ShawYellow card · Foul
    90+3’
  18. E. AndersonYellow card · Foul
    90+4’
  19. Full time · 3–2

Team stats

Manchester United29 shots · 21 in box, 8 outside
Nottingham Forest11 shots · 11 in box, 1 outside
Manchester UnitedNottingham Forest
48% Possession 52%
4.57 Expected goals (xG) 1.88
2.50 Expected points (xPts) 0.39
29 Shots 11
8 Shots on target 4
9 Shots off target 4
12 Blocked shots 3
21 Shots inside the box 11
8 Shots outside the box 1
438 Passes 472
87% Pass accuracy 84%
7 Corners 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Fouls 5
0 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.25 Team rating 6.95

Line-ups

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

317.2 S. Lammens(G)
237.2 L. Shaw 67.3 L. Martínez 56.9 J. Maguire 26.9 Diogo Dalot
376.9 K. Mainoo 187.2 Casemiro ↓81’
108.5 Matheus Cunha ↓80’ 88.7 Bruno Fernandes A 166.6 A. Diallo
196.6 B. Mbeumo ↓80’
  • 31S. Lammens (G)7.2
  • 23L. Shaw7.2
  • 6L. Martínez7.3
  • 5J. Maguire6.9
  • 2Diogo Dalot6.9
  • 37K. Mainoo6.9
  • 18Casemiro↓81’7.2
  • 10Matheus Cunha↓80’8.5
  • 8Bruno FernandesA8.7
  • 16A. Diallo6.6
  • 19B. Mbeumo↓80’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 7Mason Mount↑81’7.0
  • 11J. Zirkzee↑80’6.5
  • 13P. Dorgu↑80’6.9

Unused: A. Bayındır, N. Mazraoui, T. Malacia, M. Ugarte, L. Yoro, A. Heaven

Nottingham Forest 4-4-2

266.9 M. Sels(G)
255.9 L. Netz ↓84’ 47.3 Morato 316.2 N. Milenković 36.6 N. Williams
107.7 M. Gibbs-White 89.3★ E. Anderson AA 167.2 N. Domínguez ↓70’ 216.3 O. Hutchinson ↓70’
116.3 C. Wood ↓70’ 196.6 Igor Jesus ↓84’
  • 26M. Sels (G)6.9
  • 25L. Netz↓84’5.9
  • 4Morato7.3
  • 31N. Milenković6.2
  • 3N. Williams6.6
  • 10M. Gibbs-White7.7
  • 8E. Anderson ★A×29.3
  • 16N. Domínguez↓70’7.2
  • 21O. Hutchinson↓70’6.3
  • 11C. Wood↓70’6.3
  • 19Igor Jesus↓84’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 9T. Awoniyi↑70’6.5
  • 6I. Sangaré↑70’6.9
  • 29D. Bakwa↑70’6.6
  • 24J. McAtee↑84’6.9
  • 23Jair↑84’7.0

Unused: S. Ortega, John Victor, R. Yates, Z. Abbott

Player stats

Top rated
E. AndersonNottingham Forest9.3
2nd
Bruno FernandesManchester United8.7
3rd
Matheus CunhaManchester United8.5

Manchester United

Nottingham Forest

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.