Premier League Gameweek 19 Tue, Dec 30 2025 · 20:15 Old Trafford, Manchester
1–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 0.84 – 1.16
  • J. Zirkzee 27’
  • 45’ L. Krejčí
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Manchester United and Wolves share the points

Manchester United entered as clear favourites and led 1–0 after 27 minutes through a Zirkzee goal. But Krejčí scored to rescue a draw for Wolves. Wolves finished with the higher xG (1.16 vs 0.84).

Manchester United69%
Draw ✓19%
Wolves12%

Model vs reality

Manchester United goals
1
Model 2.29 · xG 0.84
Wolves goals
1
Model 0.88 · xG 1.16
Total goals
2
Model 3.17 · xG 2.00
Score 1–1
9%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 61%
Both scored
Yes
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchY. MosqueraWolves
7.9
  • RefereeThomas Bramall
  • VenueOld Trafford
  • Table before kick-offManchester United 6th · Wolves 20th

Timeline

  1. J. Zirkzee 1–0
    27’
  2. L. Krejčí 1–1
    45’
  3. Half time · 1–1
  4. ⇄ J. FletcherFor J. Zirkzee
    46’
  5. J. TchatchouaYellow card · Argument
    63’
  6. ⇄ J. Strand LarsenFor T. Arokodare
    65’
  7. ⇄ L. YoroFor A. Heaven
    75’
  8. ⇄ Bendito MantatoFor M. Ugarte
    75’
  9. ⇄ Fer LópezFor H. Hwang
    88’
  10. J. Strand LarsenYellow card · Foul
    90+5’
  11. ⇄ D. Møller WolfeFor J. Arias
    90+5’
  12. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

Manchester United15 shots · 10 in box, 5 outside
Wolves11 shots · 8 in box, 3 outside
Manchester UnitedWolves
56% Possession 44%
0.84 Expected goals (xG) 1.16
1.10 Expected points (xPts) 1.60
15 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
5 Shots off target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
10 Shots inside the box 8
5 Shots outside the box 3
506 Passes 397
89% Pass accuracy 84%
8 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.88 Team rating 6.86

Line-ups

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

317.2 S. Lammens(G)
236.3 L. Shaw 67.3 L. Martínez 267.5 A. Heaven ↓75’ 26.3 Diogo Dalot
187.2 Casemiro 256.3 M. Ugarte ↓75’
137.0 P. Dorgu 107.3 Matheus Cunha 117.7 J. Zirkzee ↓46’
306.2 B. Šeško
  • 31S. Lammens (G)7.2
  • 23L. Shaw6.3
  • 6L. Martínez7.3
  • 26A. Heaven↓75’7.5
  • 2Diogo Dalot6.3
  • 18Casemiro7.2
  • 25M. Ugarte↓75’6.3
  • 13P. Dorgu7.0
  • 10Matheus Cunha7.3
  • 11J. Zirkzee↓46’7.7
  • 30B. Šeško6.2

Substitutes used

  • 15L. Yoro↑75’7.0
  • 38J. Fletcher↑46’6.7
  • 70Bendito Mantato↑75’6.3

Unused: A. Bayındır, T. Fredricson, T. Malacia, C. Obi, Tyler Fletcher, Shea Lacey

Wolves 3-5-2

17.0 José Sá(G)
377.7 L. Krejčí 27.0 M. Doherty 157.9★ Y. Mosquera
36.3 Hugo Bueno 366.9 Mateus Mané 86.9 João Gomes 106.7 J. Arias ↓90’ 386.6 J. Tchatchoua
116.0 H. Hwang ↓88’ 146.5 T. Arokodare ↓65’
  • 1José Sá (G)7.0
  • 37L. Krejčí7.7
  • 2M. Doherty7.0
  • 15Y. Mosquera ★7.9
  • 3Hugo Bueno6.3
  • 36Mateus Mané6.9
  • 8João Gomes6.9
  • 10J. Arias↓90’6.7
  • 38J. Tchatchoua6.6
  • 11H. Hwang↓88’6.0
  • 14T. Arokodare↓65’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 9J. Strand Larsen↑65’6.2
  • 6D. Møller Wolfe↑90’
  • 28Fer López↑88’6.3

Unused: S. Johnstone, Saheed Olagunju, E. Sutherland, K. Hoever, T. Ojinnaka, E. González

Player stats

Top rated
Y. MosqueraWolves7.9
2nd
J. ZirkzeeManchester United7.7
3rd
L. KrejčíWolves7.7

Manchester United

Wolves

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.