Ligue 1 Gameweek 16 Sun, Dec 14 2025 · 19:45 Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
Marseille
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.86 – 1.82
Monaco
  • M. Greenwood 82’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Greenwood goal decides it for Marseille

Marseille entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Greenwood goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.86 and 1.82. On the chances created, Monaco deserved more: 1.4 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Marseille ✓51%
Draw25%
Monaco24%

Model vs reality

Marseille goals
1
Model 1.71 · xG 1.86
Monaco goals
0
Model 1.11 · xG 1.82
Total goals
1
Model 2.82 · xG 3.68
Score 1–0
10%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchP. HøjbjergMarseille · 1 assist
8.5
  • RefereeFrançois Letexier
  • VenueOrange Vélodrome
  • Table before kick-offMarseille 4th · Monaco 9th

Timeline

  1. G. KondogbiaYellow card · Tripping
    40’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ M. O'RileyFor G. Kondogbia
    46’
  4. ⇄ Igor PaixãoFor B. Pavard
    58’
  5. ⇄ L. BalerdiFor A. Murillo
    58’
  6. VandersonYellow card · Holding
    64’
  7. VAR F. BalogunGoal Disallowed - offside
    80’
  8. ⇄ B. NadirFor A. Vermeeren
    81’
  9. M. Greenwood 1–0Assist P. Højbjerg
    82’
  10. M. GreenwoodYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    83’
  11. ⇄ D. BakolaFor P. Aubameyang
    86’
  12. ⇄ G. IlenikhenaFor M. Camara
    86’
  13. ⇄ M. BierethFor T. Minamino
    86’
  14. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Marseille18 shots · 12 in box, 6 outside
Monaco18 shots · 12 in box, 6 outside
MarseilleMonaco
58% Possession 42%
1.86 Expected goals (xG) 1.82
1.42 Expected points (xPts) 1.37
18 Shots 18
8 Shots on target 7
6 Shots off target 4
4 Blocked shots 7
12 Shots inside the box 12
6 Shots outside the box 6
487 Passes 344
82% Pass accuracy 83%
3 Corners 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 6
11 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 6
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
7.25 Team rating 6.90

Line-ups

Marseille 4-2-3-1

18.3 G. Rulli(G)
338.0 Emerson 217.6 N. Aguerd 287.0 B. Pavard ↓58’ 626.5 A. Murillo ↓58’
238.5★ P. Højbjerg A 196.9 G. Kondogbia ↓46’
226.3 T. Weah 186.3 A. Vermeeren ↓81’ 108.2 M. Greenwood
976.7 P. Aubameyang ↓86’
  • 1G. Rulli (G)8.3
  • 33Emerson8.0
  • 21N. Aguerd7.6
  • 28B. Pavard↓58’7.0
  • 62A. Murillo↓58’6.5
  • 23P. Højbjerg ★A8.5
  • 19G. Kondogbia↓46’6.9
  • 22T. Weah6.3
  • 18A. Vermeeren↓81’6.3
  • 10M. Greenwood8.2
  • 97P. Aubameyang↓86’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 17M. O'Riley↑46’6.3
  • 5L. Balerdi↑58’6.3
  • 14Igor Paixão↑58’6.5
  • 26B. Nadir↑81’6.3
  • 50D. Bakola↑86’

Unused: J. de Lange, C. Egan-Riley, A. Gomes, Robinio Vaz

Monaco 4-2-3-1

17.3 L. Hrádecký(G)
126.3 Caio Henrique 226.6 M. Salisu 57.7 J. Kehrer 26.6 Vanderson
66.6 D. Zakaria 156.9 M. Camara ↓86’
107.0 A. Golovin 186.7 T. Minamino ↓86’ 117.3 M. Akliouche
96.9 F. Balogun
  • 1L. Hrádecký (G)7.3
  • 12Caio Henrique6.3
  • 22M. Salisu6.6
  • 5J. Kehrer7.7
  • 2Vanderson6.6
  • 6D. Zakaria6.6
  • 15M. Camara↓86’6.9
  • 10A. Golovin7.0
  • 18T. Minamino↓86’6.7
  • 11M. Akliouche7.3
  • 9F. Balogun6.9

Substitutes used

  • 14M. Biereth↑86’
  • 19G. Ilenikhena↑86’

Unused: J. Teze, P. Köhn, E. Dier, C. Mawissa, K. Ouattara, S. Idumbo, M. Coulibaly

Player stats

Top rated
P. HøjbjergMarseille8.5
2nd
G. RulliMarseille8.3
3rd
M. GreenwoodMarseille8.2

Marseille

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
G. Rulli G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 84% 32 1 0 0/0 0/0 8.3
Emerson D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 79% 42 3 1 0/1 0/1 8.0
N. Aguerd D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 58 0 0 0/0 2/0 7.6
B. Pavard D 58 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 37 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
A. Murillo D 58 0 0 1 (0) 0 73% 26 0 1 0/2 2/2 6.5
P. Højbjerg M 90 0 1 0 (0) 2 88% 73 2 0 0/1 1/0 8.5
G. Kondogbia M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 31 0 1 2/2 1/2 6.9
T. Weah M 90 0 0 1 (1) 3 85% 40 0 1 1/3 1/1 6.3
A. Vermeeren M 81 0 0 1 (0) 0 76% 42 2 0 1/1 1/0 6.3
M. Greenwood F 90 1 0 5 (2) 4 76% 50 0 0 2/3 0/2 8.2
P. Aubameyang F 86 0 0 2 (2) 2 75% 16 0 2 1/1 2/1 6.7
M. O'Riley M 44 0 0 2 (1) 1 81% 16 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
L. Balerdi D 32 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 13 0 1 0/1 0/0 6.3
Igor Paixão F 32 0 0 1 (1) 1 78% 9 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.5
B. Nadir M 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
D. Bakola M 4 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Monaco

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
L. Hrádecký G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 50% 14 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
Caio Henrique D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 27 0 0 1/1 2/2 6.3
M. Salisu D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 30 2 1 0/0 0/0 6.6
J. Kehrer D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 29 0 3 0/0 2/2 7.7
Vanderson D 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 67% 39 3 2 1/1 3/0 6.6
D. Zakaria M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 96% 27 1 3 0/1 0/0 6.6
M. Camara M 86 0 0 1 (0) 1 84% 44 3 2 1/1 2/2 6.9
A. Golovin M 90 0 0 3 (2) 2 87% 23 3 1 1/1 1/0 7.0
T. Minamino M 86 0 0 3 (2) 2 72% 29 0 1 0/3 1/1 6.7
M. Akliouche M 90 0 0 0 (0) 4 93% 45 2 1 1/1 0/1 7.3
F. Balogun F 90 0 0 1 (1) 2 83% 18 0 0 4/5 0/3 6.9
M. Biereth F 4 0 0 1 (1) 0 100% 1 0 0 1/1 0/0 —
G. Ilenikhena F 4 0 0 1 (1) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.