Ligue 1 Gameweek 14 Sat, Nov 29 2025 · 20:05 Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
2–2 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.77 – 0.70
  • Igor Paixão 66’
  • P. Højbjerg 74’
  • 14’ Emersonn
  • 90+2’ S. Hidalgo
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Toulouse snatch a late draw

Marseille entered as clear favourites, yet Toulouse led 1–0 at half-time through a Emersonn goal. But Paixão and Højbjerg scored to rescue a draw for Marseille. Marseille finished with the higher xG (1.77 vs 0.70). On the chances created, Marseille deserved more: 2.1 expected points against the 1 point they took.

Marseille61%
Draw ✓22%
Toulouse16%

Model vs reality

Marseille goals
2
Model 1.96 · xG 1.77
Toulouse goals
2
Model 0.91 · xG 0.70
Total goals
4
Model 2.87 · xG 2.47
Score 2–2
5%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 55%
Both scored
Yes
Model 52%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchEmersonnToulouse · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeEric Wattellier
  • VenueOrange Vélodrome
  • Table before kick-offMarseille 2nd · Toulouse 10th

Timeline

  1. Emersonn 0–1Assist D. Sidibé
    14’
  2. A. GomesYellow card · Tripping
    42’
  3. Half time · 0–1
  4. ⇄ Robinio VazFor A. Gomes
    46’
  5. Igor Paixão 1–1Assist B. Nadir
    66’
  6. P. Højbjerg 2–1Assist P. Aubameyang
    74’
  7. P. HøjbjergYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    75’
  8. ⇄ R. MessaliFor A. Vossah
    76’
  9. ⇄ L. BalerdiFor N. Aguerd
    76’
  10. ⇄ G. KondogbiaFor B. Nadir
    77’
  11. ⇄ W. KamanziFor D. Methalie
    78’
  12. M. McKenzieYellow card · Holding
    81’
  13. ⇄ Julián VignoloFor D. Sidibé
    85’
  14. ⇄ N. EdjoumaFor Emersonn
    85’
  15. ⇄ S. HidalgoFor F. Magri
    89’
  16. ⇄ C. Egan-RileyFor Emerson
    90’
  17. ⇄ M. O'RileyFor Igor Paixão
    90’
  18. S. Hidalgo 2–2Assist M. McKenzie
    90+2’
  19. Full time · 2–2

Team stats

Marseille19 shots · 11 in box, 8 outside
Toulouse6 shots · 4 in box, 2 outside
MarseilleToulouse
77% Possession 23%
1.77 Expected goals (xG) 0.70
2.12 Expected points (xPts) 0.66
19 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 4
8 Shots off target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
11 Shots inside the box 4
8 Shots outside the box 2
695 Passes 213
92% Pass accuracy 73%
9 Corners 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.93 Team rating 6.79

Line-ups

Marseille 4-2-3-1

16.5 G. Rulli(G)
337.3 Emerson ↓90’ 216.9 N. Aguerd ↓76’ 286.5 B. Pavard 226.3 T. Weah
238.0 P. Højbjerg 266.9 B. Nadir A↓77’
147.3 Igor Paixão ↓90’ 86.3 A. Gomes ↓46’ 107.7 M. Greenwood
976.7 P. Aubameyang A
  • 1G. Rulli (G)6.5
  • 33Emerson↓90’7.3
  • 21N. Aguerd↓76’6.9
  • 28B. Pavard6.5
  • 22T. Weah6.3
  • 23P. Højbjerg8.0
  • 26B. NadirA↓77’6.9
  • 14Igor Paixão↓90’7.3
  • 8A. Gomes↓46’6.3
  • 10M. Greenwood7.7
  • 97P. AubameyangA6.7

Substitutes used

  • 34Robinio Vaz↑46’6.2
  • 5L. Balerdi↑76’6.2
  • 19G. Kondogbia↑77’6.9
  • 4C. Egan-Riley↑90’
  • 17M. O'Riley↑90’

Unused: J. de Lange, U. Garcia, A. Vermeeren, Tadjidine Mmadi

Toulouse 3-4-2-1

15.9 G. Restes(G)
26.5 R. Nicolaisen 47.2 C. Cresswell 37.0 M. McKenzie A
246.2 D. Methalie ↓78’ 237.2 C. Cásseres 455.9 A. Vossah ↓76’ 197.3 D. Sidibé A↓85’
96.7 F. Magri ↓89’ 156.6 A. Dønnum
208.2★ Emersonn ↓85’
  • 1G. Restes (G)5.9
  • 2R. Nicolaisen6.5
  • 4C. Cresswell7.2
  • 3M. McKenzieA7.0
  • 24D. Methalie↓78’6.2
  • 23C. Cásseres7.2
  • 45A. Vossah↓76’5.9
  • 19D. SidibéA↓85’7.3
  • 9F. Magri↓89’6.7
  • 15A. Dønnum6.6
  • 20Emersonn ★↓85’8.2

Substitutes used

  • 22R. Messali↑76’6.3
  • 12W. Kamanzi↑78’6.3
  • 7Julián Vignolo↑85’6.5
  • 11S. Hidalgo↑89’7.7
  • 31N. Edjouma↑85’6.7

Unused: C. Haug, Álex Domínguez, S. Koumbassa, N. Lahmadi

Player stats

Top rated
EmersonnToulouse8.2
2nd
P. HøjbjergMarseille8.0
3rd
M. GreenwoodMarseille7.7

Marseille

Toulouse

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.