Ligue 1 Gameweek 18 Fri, Jan 16 2026 · 18:00 Stade Louis-II, Monaco
1–3 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.20 – 1.46
  • Ansu Fati 76’
  • 68’ B. Dieng
  • 85’ J. Makengo
  • 87’ D. Karim
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Lorient beat Monaco

Monaco entered as favourites, but Lorient won 3–1 through goals from Dieng, Makengo and Karim. Monaco replied through a Fati goal. The chances were even, with xG of 1.20 and 1.46. On the chances created, Monaco deserved more: 1.2 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Monaco60%
Draw23%
Lorient ✓17%

Model vs reality

Monaco goals
1
Model 1.89 · xG 1.20
Lorient goals
3
Model 0.91 · xG 1.46
Total goals
4
Model 2.79 · xG 2.66
Score 1–3
1%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 53%
Both scored
Yes
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. MakengoLorient · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeWilly Delajod
  • VenueStade Louis-II
  • Table before kick-offMonaco 9th · Lorient 12th

Timeline

  1. Half time · 0–0
  2. ⇄ G. IlenikhenaFor M. Biereth
    63’
  3. B. Dieng 0–1
    68’
  4. ⇄ VandersonFor K. Ouattara
    70’
  5. ⇄ Ansu FatiFor J. Teze
    70’
  6. D. ZakariaYellow card · Roughing
    71’
  7. ⇄ M. BambaFor B. Dieng
    75’
  8. ⇄ D. KarimFor P. Pagis
    75’
  9. Ansu Fati 1–1
    76’
  10. J. Makengo 1–2Assist D. Karim
    85’
  11. D. Karim 1–3Assist Noah Cadiou
    87’
  12. ⇄ J. MvukaFor T. Le Bris
    90+1’
  13. ⇄ N. AdjeiFor Igor Silva
    90+1’
  14. ⇄ P. BrunnerFor F. Balogun
    90+3’
  15. ⇄ Martin BleyFor Noah Cadiou
    90+5’
  16. Full time · 1–3

Team stats

Monaco14 shots · 9 in box, 5 outside
Lorient14 shots · 8 in box, 6 outside
MonacoLorient
62% Possession 38%
1.20 Expected goals (xG) 1.46
1.19 Expected points (xPts) 1.55
14 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 4
5 Shots off target 7
2 Blocked shots 3
9 Shots inside the box 8
5 Shots outside the box 6
574 Passes 365
90% Pass accuracy 86%
4 Corners 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
16 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 1
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
6.50 Team rating 7.03

Line-ups

Monaco 4-2-2-2

165.6 P. Köhn(G)
126.7 Caio Henrique 256.9 W. Faes 36.2 E. Dier 206.7 K. Ouattara ↓70’
46.3 J. Teze ↓70’ 66.6 D. Zakaria
106.9 A. Golovin 116.9 M. Akliouche
96.3 F. Balogun ↓90’ 146.5 M. Biereth ↓63’
  • 16P. Köhn (G)5.6
  • 12Caio Henrique6.7
  • 25W. Faes6.9
  • 3E. Dier6.2
  • 20K. Ouattara↓70’6.7
  • 4J. Teze↓70’6.3
  • 6D. Zakaria6.6
  • 10A. Golovin6.9
  • 11M. Akliouche6.9
  • 9F. Balogun↓90’6.3
  • 14M. Biereth↓63’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 19G. Ilenikhena↑63’6.2
  • 2Vanderson↑70’6.2
  • 31Ansu Fati↑70’7.0
  • 29P. Brunner↑90’

Unused: Y. Lienard, J. Stawiecki, Ilane Toure, S. Nibombé, Aladji Bamba

Lorient 3-4-2-1

388.0 Y. Mvogo(G)
26.9 Igor Silva ↓90’ 36.9 M. Talbi 57.2 B. Meïté
436.3 Arsène Kouassi 66.6 L. Abergel 86.6 Noah Cadiou A↓90’ 116.3 T. Le Bris ↓90’
106.7 P. Pagis ↓75’ 178.2★ J. Makengo
127.5 B. Dieng ↓75’
  • 38Y. Mvogo (G)8.0
  • 2Igor Silva↓90’6.9
  • 3M. Talbi6.9
  • 5B. Meïté7.2
  • 43Arsène Kouassi6.3
  • 6L. Abergel6.6
  • 8Noah CadiouA↓90’6.6
  • 11T. Le Bris↓90’6.3
  • 10P. Pagis↓75’6.7
  • 17J. Makengo ★8.2
  • 12B. Dieng↓75’7.5

Substitutes used

  • 32N. Adjei↑90’
  • 93J. Mvuka↑90’
  • 29D. KarimA↑75’8.2
  • 34Martin Bley↑90’
  • 9M. Bamba↑75’6.5

Unused: B. Kamara, Lucas Leaudais, B. Fadiga, Sohan Baldoni

Player stats

Top rated
J. MakengoLorient8.2
2nd
Y. MvogoLorient8.0
3rd
B. DiengLorient7.5

Monaco

Lorient

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.