Ligue 1 Gameweek 9 Sat, Oct 25 2025 · 18:00 Stade Louis-II, Monaco
1–0 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.98 – 0.94
  • M. Salisu 3’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Salisu goal decides it for Monaco

Monaco entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Salisu goal. Monaco finished with the higher xG (2.98 vs 0.94).

Monaco ✓51%
Draw26%
Toulouse23%

Model vs reality

Monaco goals
1
Model 1.66 · xG 2.98
Toulouse goals
0
Model 1.04 · xG 0.94
Total goals
1
Model 2.70 · xG 3.92
Score 1–0
11%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 51%
Both scored
No
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. SalisuMonaco · 1 goal
8.5
  • RefereeGuillaume Paradis
  • VenueStade Louis-II
  • Table before kick-offMonaco 7th · Toulouse 8th

Timeline

  1. M. Salisu 1–0Assist K. Ouattara
    3’
  2. A. GolovinYellow card · Tripping
    18’
  3. A. FrancisYellow card · Tripping
    34’
  4. M. CoulibalyYellow card · Holding
    45’
  5. Half time · 1–0
  6. ⇄ J. TezeFor M. Coulibaly
    46’
  7. EmersonnYellow card · Roughing
    54’
  8. ⇄ G. IlenikhenaFor F. Balogun
    60’
  9. ⇄ M. AklioucheFor Ansu Fati
    60’
  10. J. KehrerYellow card · Foul
    66’
  11. ⇄ A. VossahFor A. Francis
    66’
  12. D. MethalieYellow card · Foul
    67’
  13. ⇄ D. SidibéFor R. Nicolaisen
    73’
  14. ⇄ S. HidalgoFor F. Magri
    73’
  15. ⇄ Pape CabralFor A. Golovin
    76’
  16. ⇄ M. SauerFor C. Cásseres
    84’
  17. ⇄ W. KamanziFor D. Methalie
    84’
  18. C. CresswellYellow card · Unsportsmanlike conduct
    90+5’
  19. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Monaco14 shots · 13 in box, 1 outside
Toulouse10 shots · 7 in box, 3 outside
MonacoToulouse
54% Possession 46%
2.98 Expected goals (xG) 0.94
2.48 Expected points (xPts) 0.39
14 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
4 Shots off target 5
5 Blocked shots 3
13 Shots inside the box 7
1 Shots outside the box 3
420 Passes 345
77% Pass accuracy 71%
2 Corners 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
15 Fouls 17
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
7.09 Team rating 6.72

Line-ups

Monaco 3-4-2-1

167.5 P. Köhn(G)
136.9 C. Mawissa 228.5★ M. Salisu 57.2 J. Kehrer
207.9 K. Ouattara A 106.2 A. Golovin ↓76’ 286.2 M. Coulibaly ↓46’ 277.3 K. Diatta
316.6 Ansu Fati ↓60’ 186.9 T. Minamino
96.2 F. Balogun ↓60’
  • 16P. Köhn (G)7.5
  • 13C. Mawissa6.9
  • 22M. Salisu ★8.5
  • 5J. Kehrer7.2
  • 20K. OuattaraA7.9
  • 10A. Golovin↓76’6.2
  • 28M. Coulibaly↓46’6.2
  • 27K. Diatta7.3
  • 31Ansu Fati↓60’6.6
  • 18T. Minamino6.9
  • 9F. Balogun↓60’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 4J. Teze↑46’7.2
  • 11M. Akliouche↑60’6.6
  • 19G. Ilenikhena↑60’6.3
  • 41Pape Cabral↑76’6.3

Unused: Y. Lienard, S. Idumbo, Aladji Bamba, M. Biereth, L. Michal

Toulouse 3-4-2-1

17.3 G. Restes(G)
26.3 R. Nicolaisen ↓73’ 46.6 C. Cresswell 36.9 M. McKenzie
246.2 D. Methalie ↓84’ 176.2 A. Francis ↓66’ 236.7 C. Cásseres ↓84’ 157.3 A. Dønnum
107.2 G. Gboho 96.9 F. Magri ↓73’
206.2 Emersonn
  • 1G. Restes (G)7.3
  • 2R. Nicolaisen↓73’6.3
  • 4C. Cresswell6.6
  • 3M. McKenzie6.9
  • 24D. Methalie↓84’6.2
  • 17A. Francis↓66’6.2
  • 23C. Cásseres↓84’6.7
  • 15A. Dønnum7.3
  • 10G. Gboho7.2
  • 9F. Magri↓73’6.9
  • 20Emersonn6.2

Substitutes used

  • 45A. Vossah↑66’6.5
  • 19D. Sidibé↑73’6.6
  • 11S. Hidalgo↑73’6.5
  • 12W. Kamanzi↑84’6.3
  • 77M. Sauer↑84’6.7

Unused: C. Haug, S. Koumbassa, Julián Vignolo, N. Edjouma

Player stats

Top rated
M. SalisuMonaco8.5
2nd
K. OuattaraMonaco7.9
3rd
P. KöhnMonaco7.5

Monaco

Toulouse

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.