Eredivisie Knockout phase Sun, Aug 31 2025 · 15:45 Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
NAC Breda
0–1 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.82 – 2.49
AZ Alkmaar
  • S. van Hooijdonk 41’
  • 89’ S. Mijnans
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Mijnans’s late goal settles it for AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Mijnans goal. NAC Breda played with ten men from the 41st minute after van Hooijdonk was sent off. AZ Alkmaar finished with the higher xG (2.49 vs 1.82). On the chances created, NAC Breda deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

NAC Breda20%
Draw24%
AZ Alkmaar ✓56%

Model vs reality

NAC Breda goals
0
Model 1.02 · xG 1.82
AZ Alkmaar goals
1
Model 1.84 · xG 2.49
Total goals
1
Model 2.86 · xG 4.31
Score 0–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 54%
Both scored
No
Model 54%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. BielicaNAC Breda
8.3
  • RefereeJeroen Manschot
  • CoachesC. Hoefkens · —
  • VenueRat Verlegh Stadion
  • Table before kick-offNAC Breda 15th · AZ Alkmaar 9th

Timeline

  1. M. de WitYellow card · Foul
    35’
  2. S. van HooijdonkRed card · Foul
    41’
  3. Half time · 0–0
  4. ⇄ C. BrymFor M. Nassoh
    46’
  5. ⇄ C. ValeriusFor J. Talvitie
    46’
  6. VAR B. KemperPenalty confirmed
    54’
  7. I. SadiqYellow card · Foul
    55’
  8. ✕ C. BrymMissed penalty
    56’
  9. ⇄ S. MijnansFor M. de Wit
    60’
  10. ⇄ Weslley PatatiFor I. Sadiq
    60’
  11. ⇄ E. MahmutovićFor L. Greiml
    67’
  12. Alexandre PenetraYellow card · Foul
    69’
  13. ⇄ I. JensenFor Ro-Zangelo Daal
    81’
  14. ⇄ L. ZeefuikFor D. Kasius
    81’
  15. K. SmitYellow card · Foul
    83’
  16. ⇄ M. ŠínFor K. Smit
    87’
  17. S. Mijnans 0–1Assist M. Šín
    89’
  18. ⇄ Dion VersluisFor B. Lucassen
    90’
  19. ⇄ C. LeemansFor L. Holtby
    90’
  20. S. MijnansYellow card · Foul
    90+4’
  21. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

NAC Breda11 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
AZ Alkmaar25 shots · 15 in box, 10 outside
NAC BredaAZ Alkmaar
39% Possession 61%
1.82 Expected goals (xG) 2.49
1.04 Expected points (xPts) 1.77
11 Shots 25
6 Shots on target 8
2 Shots off target 10
3 Blocked shots 7
9 Shots inside the box 15
2 Shots outside the box 10
288 Passes 461
76% Pass accuracy 86%
1 Corners 7
7 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 3
0 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
7.06 Team rating 7.12

Line-ups

NAC Breda

998.3★ D. Bielica(G) 26.9 B. Lucassen ↓90’ 128.2 L. Greiml ↓67’ 227.3 R. Hillen 47.2 B. Kemper 167.5 M. Balard 906.9 L. Holtby ↓90’ 326.6 J. Talvitie ↓46’ 106.5 M. Nassoh ↓46’ 146.9 K. Sowah 175.5 S. van Hooijdonk
  • 99D. Bielica (G) ★8.3
  • 2B. Lucassen↓90’6.9
  • 12L. Greiml↓67’8.2
  • 22R. Hillen7.3
  • 4B. Kemper7.2
  • 16M. Balard7.5
  • 90L. Holtby↓90’6.9
  • 32J. Talvitie↓46’6.6
  • 10M. Nassoh↓46’6.5
  • 14K. Sowah6.9
  • 17S. van Hooijdonk5.5

Substitutes used

  • 25C. Valerius↑46’6.3
  • 7C. Brym↑46’5.9
  • 15E. Mahmutović↑67’6.2
  • 8C. Leemans↑90’
  • 23Dion Versluis↑90’

Unused: K. Lamprou, R. Kortsmit, T. Kongolo, J. Candelaria, R. Paula, F. Oldrup Jensen, Pepijn Reulen

Coach: C. Hoefkens

AZ Alkmaar

18.3 R. Owusu-Oduro(G) 307.0 D. Kasius ↓81’ 38.2 W. Goes 57.7 Alexandre Penetra 346.5 M. de Wit ↓60’ 66.6 P. Koopmeiners 87.3 J. Clasie 116.7 I. Sadiq ↓60’ 266.7 K. Smit ↓87’ 277.2 Ro-Zangelo Daal ↓81’ 356.0 M. Meerdink
  • 1R. Owusu-Oduro (G)8.3
  • 30D. Kasius↓81’7.0
  • 3W. Goes8.2
  • 5Alexandre Penetra7.7
  • 34M. de Wit↓60’6.5
  • 6P. Koopmeiners6.6
  • 8J. Clasie7.3
  • 11I. Sadiq↓60’6.7
  • 26K. Smit↓87’6.7
  • 27Ro-Zangelo Daal↓81’7.2
  • 35M. Meerdink6.0

Substitutes used

  • 7Weslley Patati↑60’6.5
  • 10S. Mijnans↑60’7.3
  • 17I. Jensen↑81’6.6
  • 25L. Zeefuik↑81’6.7
  • 33M. ŠínA↑87’6.9

Unused: J. Zoet, H. Verhulst, Elijah Dijkstra, Mateo Chávez, M. Dekker, D. Kwakman, Z. Buurmeester

Player stats

Top rated
D. BielicaNAC Breda8.3
2nd
R. Owusu-OduroAZ Alkmaar8.3
3rd
L. GreimlNAC Breda8.2

NAC Breda

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Bielica G 90 0 0 7 sv 0 44% 34 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.3
B. Lucassen D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 64% 14 3 1 0/0 0/3 6.9
L. Greiml D 67 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 34 2 0 0/0 2/1 8.2
R. Hillen D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 96% 27 3 1 1/1 0/0 7.3
B. Kemper D 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 67% 27 2 0 0/0 2/1 7.2
M. Balard M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 85% 40 3 0 2/4 0/1 7.5
L. Holtby M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 37 2 0 1/1 0/1 6.9
J. Talvitie F 46 0 0 1 (1) 1 54% 13 1 1 0/1 0/0 6.6
M. Nassoh M 46 0 0 0 (0) 2 89% 18 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.5
K. Sowah M 90 0 0 3 (2) 1 74% 27 0 1 2/2 0/0 6.9
S. van Hooijdonk F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 1 0 0/0 3/1 5.5
C. Valerius D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 20% 5 0 1 1/2 0/1 6.3
C. Brym F 44 0 0 1 (0) 1 100% 6 0 0 0/2 0/2 5.9
E. Mahmutović D 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 33% 3 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
C. Leemans M 1 0 0 0 (0) 1 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
Dion Versluis F 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 1 0 0/0 0/0 —

AZ Alkmaar

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
R. Owusu-Oduro G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 64% 25 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.3
D. Kasius D 81 0 0 3 (1) 3 81% 32 1 0 0/2 0/0 7.0
W. Goes D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 65 2 0 0/0 0/3 8.2
Alexandre Penetra D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 97% 65 2 1 1/1 2/1 7.7
M. de Wit D 60 0 0 2 (2) 1 81% 31 1 1 1/2 2/0 6.5
P. Koopmeiners M 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 87% 39 1 0 0/2 0/0 6.6
J. Clasie M 90 0 0 0 (0) 6 91% 68 2 0 1/3 0/0 7.3
I. Sadiq F 60 0 0 2 (2) 0 93% 15 1 1 1/2 2/0 6.7
K. Smit M 87 0 0 1 (0) 3 88% 34 1 0 1/3 3/0 6.7
Ro-Zangelo Daal F 81 0 0 0 (0) 4 88% 33 1 0 1/2 2/0 7.2
M. Meerdink F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 41% 17 0 0 0/0 0/3 6.0
Weslley Patati F 30 0 0 3 (0) 2 88% 8 2 0 0/0 1/1 6.5
S. Mijnans M 30 1 0 3 (1) 1 76% 17 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.3
I. Jensen F 9 0 0 2 (2) 0 100% 8 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.6
L. Zeefuik F 9 0 0 1 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
M. Šín M 3 0 1 0 (0) 1 100% 3 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.