Eredivisie Knockout phase Sat, Nov 22 2025 · 15:30 Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
NAC Breda
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 0.96 – 0.56
PSV Eindhoven
  • 36’ G. Til
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Til goal decides it for PSV Eindhoven

PSV Eindhoven entered as clear favourites and won 1–0 through a Til goal. PSV Eindhoven won despite the lower xG; NAC Breda created the better chances (0.96 vs 0.56). On the chances created, NAC Breda deserved more: 1.7 expected points against the 0 points they took.

NAC Breda9%
Draw16%
PSV Eindhoven ✓75%

Model vs reality

NAC Breda goals
0
Model 0.79 · xG 0.96
PSV Eindhoven goals
1
Model 2.52 · xG 0.56
Total goals
1
Model 3.31 · xG 1.52
Score 0–1
9%
Most likely 0–2 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 64%
Both scored
No
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchG. TilPSV Eindhoven · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeMarc Nagtegaal
  • CoachesC. Hoefkens · —
  • VenueRat Verlegh Stadion
  • Table before kick-offNAC Breda 14th · PSV Eindhoven 1st

Timeline

  1. G. Til 0–1Assist I. Perišić
    36’
  2. Half time · 0–1
  3. ⇄ D. van ReeuwijkFor F. Oldrup Jensen
    50’
  4. C. ValeriusYellow card · Holding
    66’
  5. ⇄ J. TalvitieFor B. Lucassen
    67’
  6. ⇄ M. SoumanoFor S. van Hooijdonk
    68’
  7. ⇄ R. PepiFor G. Til
    70’
  8. ⇄ E. BajraktarevićFor D. Man
    71’
  9. ⇄ C. DriouechFor I. Perišić
    75’
  10. ⇄ R. FlamingoFor J. Veerman
    75’
  11. C. BrymYellow card · Tripping
    79’
  12. ⇄ P. ReulenFor C. Brym
    80’
  13. ⇄ C. LeemansFor M. Balard
    80’
  14. Mauro JúniorYellow card · Tripping
    90+4’
  15. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

NAC Breda12 shots · 7 in box, 5 outside
PSV Eindhoven9 shots · 8 in box, 1 outside
NAC BredaPSV Eindhoven
47% Possession 53%
0.96 Expected goals (xG) 0.56
1.67 Expected points (xPts) 0.98
12 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 4
9 Shots off target 4
0 Blocked shots 1
7 Shots inside the box 8
5 Shots outside the box 1
353 Passes 412
76% Pass accuracy 83%
6 Corners 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Fouls 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
6.62 Team rating 6.94

Line-ups

NAC Breda 5-3-2

997.0 D. Bielica(G)
46.6 B. Kemper 226.6 R. Hillen 206.3 F. Oldrup Jensen ↓50’ 256.6 C. Valerius 26.3 B. Lucassen ↓67’
146.9 K. Sowah 166.9 M. Balard ↓80’ 106.6 M. Nassoh
176.5 S. van Hooijdonk ↓68’ 76.7 C. Brym ↓80’
  • 99D. Bielica (G)7.0
  • 4B. Kemper6.6
  • 22R. Hillen6.6
  • 20F. Oldrup Jensen↓50’6.3
  • 25C. Valerius6.6
  • 2B. Lucassen↓67’6.3
  • 14K. Sowah6.9
  • 16M. Balard↓80’6.9
  • 10M. Nassoh6.6
  • 17S. van Hooijdonk↓68’6.5
  • 7C. Brym↓80’6.7

Substitutes used

  • 18D. van Reeuwijk↑50’6.2
  • 32J. Talvitie↑67’6.3
  • 9M. Soumano↑68’6.5
  • 26P. Reulen↑80’6.5
  • 8C. Leemans↑80’6.3

Unused: K. Lamprou, R. Kortsmit, Jemuel Erat, T. Kongolo, C. Staring, R. Paula, B. Ghalidi

Coach: C. Hoefkens

PSV Eindhoven 4-2-3-1

327.2 M. Kovář(G)
26.9 A. Salah-Eddine 37.5 Yarek Gąsiorowski 226.6 J. Schouten 86.6 S. Dest
237.0 J. Veerman ↓75’ 177.3 Mauro Júnior
56.7 I. Perišić A↓75’ 346.3 I. Saibari 276.5 D. Man ↓71’
208.2★ G. Til ↓70’
  • 32M. Kovář (G)7.2
  • 2A. Salah-Eddine6.9
  • 3Yarek Gąsiorowski7.5
  • 22J. Schouten6.6
  • 8S. Dest6.6
  • 23J. Veerman↓75’7.0
  • 17Mauro Júnior7.3
  • 5I. PerišićA↓75’6.7
  • 34I. Saibari6.3
  • 27D. Man↓71’6.5
  • 20G. Til ★↓70’8.2

Substitutes used

  • 19E. Bajraktarević↑71’6.6
  • 9R. Pepi↑70’6.5
  • 6R. Flamingo↑75’6.6
  • 11C. Driouech↑75’6.6

Unused: N. Schiks, N. Olij, A. Obispo, K. Sildillia, A. Nagalo, P. Wanner, N. Fernandez, M. Boadu

Player stats

Top rated
G. TilPSV Eindhoven8.2
2nd
Yarek GąsiorowskiPSV Eindhoven7.5
3rd
Mauro JúniorPSV Eindhoven7.3

NAC Breda

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Bielica G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 67% 18 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
B. Kemper D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 72% 18 1 0 1/2 3/1 6.6
R. Hillen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 79% 42 5 1 0/0 1/1 6.6
F. Oldrup Jensen M 50 0 0 1 (0) 1 87% 23 1 1 0/0 1/1 6.3
C. Valerius D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 85% 41 2 1 0/0 1/1 6.6
B. Lucassen D 67 0 0 0 (0) 2 81% 16 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
K. Sowah M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 87% 30 6 2 1/4 2/1 6.9
M. Balard M 80 0 0 0 (0) 0 81% 32 2 2 1/1 0/1 6.9
M. Nassoh M 90 0 0 3 (2) 0 71% 48 2 0 0/2 0/3 6.6
S. van Hooijdonk F 68 0 0 1 (0) 1 60% 15 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.5
C. Brym F 80 0 0 5 (1) 1 86% 29 1 0 1/2 3/2 6.7
D. van Reeuwijk D 40 0 0 1 (0) 0 58% 19 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
J. Talvitie F 23 0 0 0 (0) 0 40% 5 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.3
M. Soumano F 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 50% 6 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.5
P. Reulen F 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 3 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
C. Leemans M 10 0 0 0 (0) 0 63% 8 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.3

PSV Eindhoven

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Kovář G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 64% 36 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
A. Salah-Eddine D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 82% 39 2 0 0/1 0/2 6.9
Yarek Gąsiorowski D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 95% 38 2 4 0/1 0/0 7.5
J. Schouten M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 85% 48 1 4 0/1 2/1 6.6
S. Dest D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 40 3 1 2/4 0/1 6.6
J. Veerman M 75 0 0 0 (0) 3 85% 40 3 0 0/0 3/0 7.0
Mauro Júnior D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 47 3 2 0/0 1/0 7.3
I. Perišić F 75 0 1 1 (0) 1 67% 21 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.7
I. Saibari M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 81% 37 3 0 1/4 4/1 6.3
D. Man F 71 0 0 0 (0) 1 91% 32 0 0 2/4 2/2 6.5
G. Til M 70 1 0 3 (2) 0 77% 13 2 0 0/0 0/1 8.2
E. Bajraktarević F 19 0 0 0 (0) 0 71% 7 1 0 1/2 0/2 6.6
R. Pepi F 20 0 0 1 (1) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.5
R. Flamingo D 15 0 0 0 (0) 0 60% 5 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
C. Driouech F 15 0 0 1 (0) 2 60% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.