Eredivisie Knockout phase Sun, Dec 14 2025 · 15:45 Rat Verlegh Stadion, Breda
NAC Breda
1–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 0.95 – 0.65
Utrecht
  • R. Paula 20’
  • 26’ D. de Wit
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

NAC Breda and Utrecht share the points

Utrecht entered as narrow favourites, yet NAC Breda led 1–0 after 20 minutes through a Paula goal. But de Wit scored to rescue a draw for Utrecht. The chances were even, with xG of 0.95 and 0.65.

NAC Breda27%
Draw ✓26%
Utrecht47%

Model vs reality

NAC Breda goals
1
Model 1.19 · xG 0.95
Utrecht goals
1
Model 1.61 · xG 0.65
Total goals
2
Model 2.80 · xG 1.60
Score 1–1
12%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 53%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchD. BielicaNAC Breda
8.0
  • RefereeJeroen Manschot
  • CoachesC. Hoefkens · —
  • VenueRat Verlegh Stadion
  • Table before kick-offNAC Breda 18th · Utrecht 8th

Timeline

  1. D. OdoiYellow card · Holding
    4’
  2. R. Paula 1–0Assist J. Talvitie
    20’
  3. D. de Wit 1–1Assist S. El Karouani
    26’
  4. C. LeemansYellow card · Holding
    36’
  5. D. de WitYellow card · Tripping
    38’
  6. Half time · 1–1
  7. ⇄ M. NassohFor C. Leemans
    67’
  8. ⇄ S. van HooijdonkFor R. Paula
    67’
  9. ⇄ B. GhalidiFor L. Holtby
    67’
  10. ⇄ C. BozdoğanFor G. Zechiël
    68’
  11. ⇄ S. HallerFor D. de Wit
    68’
  12. ⇄ A. BlakeFor Miguel Rodríguez
    68’
  13. N. VesterlundYellow card · Holding
    76’
  14. ⇄ E. DemircanFor S. Haller
    81’
  15. ⇄ S. HoremansFor N. Vesterlund
    81’
  16. ⇄ M. SoumanoFor J. Talvitie
    83’
  17. Full time · 1–1

Team stats

NAC Breda15 shots · 9 in box, 6 outside
Utrecht11 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
NAC BredaUtrecht
56% Possession 44%
0.95 Expected goals (xG) 0.65
1.58 Expected points (xPts) 1.07
15 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 6
6 Shots off target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
9 Shots inside the box 9
6 Shots outside the box 2
525 Passes 412
86% Pass accuracy 84%
6 Corners 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Fouls 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.98 Team rating 6.80

Line-ups

NAC Breda 4-3-3

998.0★ D. Bielica(G)
46.9 B. Kemper 227.2 R. Hillen 37.2 D. Odoi 256.2 C. Valerius
86.3 C. Leemans ↓67’ 146.9 K. Sowah 167.2 M. Balard
117.7 R. Paula ↓67’ 906.3 L. Holtby ↓67’ 327.0 J. Talvitie A↓83’
  • 99D. Bielica (G) ★8.0
  • 4B. Kemper6.9
  • 22R. Hillen7.2
  • 3D. Odoi7.2
  • 25C. Valerius6.2
  • 8C. Leemans↓67’6.3
  • 14K. Sowah6.9
  • 16M. Balard7.2
  • 11R. Paula↓67’7.7
  • 90L. Holtby↓67’6.3
  • 32J. TalvitieA↓83’7.0

Substitutes used

  • 10M. Nassoh↑67’6.9
  • 17S. van Hooijdonk↑67’6.3
  • 55B. Ghalidi↑67’6.6
  • 9M. Soumano↑83’6.5

Unused: K. Lamprou, R. Kortsmit, D. van Reeuwijk, E. Mahmutović, B. Lucassen, C. Staring, P. Reulen, C. Brym

Coach: C. Hoefkens

Utrecht 4-2-3-1

16.9 V. Barkas(G)
166.9 S. El Karouani A 247.2 N. Viergever 37.2 M. van der Hoorn 237.2 N. Vesterlund ↓81’
216.6 G. Zechiël ↓68’ 276.9 A. Engwanda
106.2 Y. Cathline 76.3 V. Jensen 226.3 Miguel Rodríguez ↓68’
207.3 D. de Wit ↓68’
  • 1V. Barkas (G)6.9
  • 16S. El KarouaniA6.9
  • 24N. Viergever7.2
  • 3M. van der Hoorn7.2
  • 23N. Vesterlund↓81’7.2
  • 21G. Zechiël↓68’6.6
  • 27A. Engwanda6.9
  • 10Y. Cathline6.2
  • 7V. Jensen6.3
  • 22Miguel Rodríguez↓68’6.3
  • 20D. de Wit↓68’7.3

Substitutes used

  • 2S. Horemans↑81’6.3
  • 8C. Bozdoğan↑68’6.5
  • 91S. Haller6.9
  • 15A. Blake↑68’6.3
  • 17E. Demircan↑81’6.6

Unused: Justin Eversen, M. Brouwer, M. Eerdhuijzen, K. Finnsson, Rafik El Arguioui, M. Jonathans, J. van Ommeren

Player stats

Top rated
D. BielicaNAC Breda8.0
2nd
R. PaulaNAC Breda7.7
3rd
D. de WitUtrecht7.3

NAC Breda

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
D. Bielica G 90 0 0 5 sv 0 65% 23 0 0 0/0 0/0 8.0
B. Kemper D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 42 4 1 0/2 0/1 6.9
R. Hillen D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 71 2 2 1/1 0/0 7.2
D. Odoi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 87% 77 0 3 0/0 3/1 7.2
C. Valerius D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 87% 38 4 2 1/6 2/1 6.2
C. Leemans M 67 0 0 1 (0) 2 87% 39 0 1 0/0 1/0 6.3
K. Sowah M 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 89% 71 1 5 0/1 2/0 6.9
M. Balard M 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 59 2 1 1/1 0/2 7.2
R. Paula M 67 1 0 2 (1) 1 76% 17 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.7
L. Holtby M 67 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 26 2 0 0/0 0/1 6.3
J. Talvitie F 83 0 1 1 (0) 1 81% 27 2 1 1/2 1/1 7.0
M. Nassoh M 23 0 0 0 (0) 2 94% 16 0 0 1/1 0/1 6.9
S. van Hooijdonk F 23 0 0 0 (0) 1 86% 7 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.3
B. Ghalidi F 23 0 0 2 (0) 0 82% 11 0 0 0/0 0/2 6.6
M. Soumano F 7 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 1/3 0/0 6.5

Utrecht

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
V. Barkas G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 85% 27 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
S. El Karouani D 90 0 1 1 (1) 4 73% 33 1 0 0/0 1/0 6.9
N. Viergever D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 90% 72 0 1 0/0 1/0 7.2
M. van der Hoorn D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 81 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.2
N. Vesterlund D 81 0 0 1 (0) 1 88% 32 2 0 0/0 1/0 7.2
G. Zechiël M 68 0 0 0 (0) 2 82% 44 3 2 0/0 0/0 6.6
A. Engwanda M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 33 5 3 0/0 1/0 6.9
Y. Cathline F 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 80% 10 1 0 2/5 3/3 6.2
V. Jensen M 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 79% 28 3 2 0/2 0/2 6.3
Miguel Rodríguez F 68 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 11 1 1 1/2 1/2 6.3
D. de Wit M 68 1 0 1 (1) 0 69% 13 2 1 0/0 2/0 7.3
S. Horemans D 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 1 1 0/0 0/0 6.3
C. Bozdoğan M 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 82% 17 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.5
S. Haller F 13 0 0 2 (2) 0 100% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
A. Blake F 22 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 0 0 0/1 0/1 6.3
E. Demircan F 9 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 1 1 0/0 0/1 6.6

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.