Primeira Liga Gameweek 1 Sat, Aug 9 2025 · 15:30 Estádio da Madeira, Ilha da Madeira
Nacional
0–2 Full time · HT 0–2 xG 0.78 – 0.64
GIL Vicente
  • 35’ Pablo
  • 45+2’ Luís Esteves
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

GIL Vicente beat Nacional

Nacional entered as narrow favourites, but GIL Vicente won 2–0 through goals from Pablo and Esteves. The chances were even, with xG of 0.78 and 0.64. On the chances created, Nacional deserved more: 1.4 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Nacional42%
Draw28%
GIL Vicente ✓30%

Model vs reality

Nacional goals
0
Model 1.41 · xG 0.78
GIL Vicente goals
2
Model 1.17 · xG 0.64
Total goals
2
Model 2.58 · xG 1.42
Score 0–2
5%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 48%
Both scored
No
Model 53%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchPabloGIL Vicente · 1 goal
8.3
  • RefereeDavid Rafael Oliveira da Silva
  • VenueEstádio da Madeira

Timeline

  1. Pablo 0–1Assist Hevertton Santos
    35’
  2. M. BambaYellow card
    42’
  3. Luís Esteves 0–2Assist Martin Fernández
    45+2’
  4. Half time · 0–2
  5. ⇄ Zé CarlosFor Hevertton Santos
    46’
  6. ⇄ Zé CarlosFor M. Bamba
    46’
  7. Filipe SoaresYellow card
    63’
  8. ⇄ Santi GarcíaFor F. Cáseres
    64’
  9. ⇄ Joel SilvaFor Filipe Soares
    65’
  10. ⇄ Lenny VallierFor Liziero
    73’
  11. ⇄ André SousaFor José Gomes
    73’
  12. ⇄ R. RodriguesFor Martin Fernández
    73’
  13. Zé CarlosYellow card
    76’
  14. AndrewYellow card
    77’
  15. ⇄ Gustavo VarelaFor Sergio Bermejo
    82’
  16. Zé CarlosYellow card
    82’
  17. UlissesYellow card
    90+3’
  18. PabloYellow card
    90+4’
  19. J. RamírezYellow card
    90+5’
  20. R. RodriguesYellow card
    90+5’
  21. Full time · 0–2

Team stats

Nacional14 shots · 10 in box, 4 outside
GIL Vicente12 shots · 7 in box, 5 outside
NacionalGIL Vicente
59% Possession 41%
0.78 Expected goals (xG) 0.64
1.44 Expected points (xPts) 1.19
14 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 2
7 Shots off target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
10 Shots inside the box 7
4 Shots outside the box 5
274 Passes 197
76% Pass accuracy 64%
13 Corners 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
21 Fouls 15
4 Offsides 1
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
6.52 Team rating 6.84

Line-ups

Nacional 4-3-3

375.9 Lucas França(G)
56.3 José Gomes ↓73’ 346.7 Léo Santos 46.3 Ulisses 26.6 João Aurélio
226.2 Filipe Soares ↓65’ 66.9 Matheus Dias 286.7 Liziero ↓73’
76.2 Witi 97.0 J. Ramírez 116.7 Paulinho Bóia
  • 37Lucas França (G)5.9
  • 5José Gomes↓73’6.3
  • 34Léo Santos6.7
  • 4Ulisses6.3
  • 2João Aurélio6.6
  • 22Filipe Soares↓65’6.2
  • 6Matheus Dias6.9
  • 28Liziero↓73’6.7
  • 7Witi6.2
  • 9J. Ramírez7.0
  • 11Paulinho Bóia6.7

Substitutes used

  • 26Joel Silva↑65’6.9
  • 24Lenny Vallier↑73’6.5
  • 18André Sousa↑73’6.6

Unused: Kaique, Alan Nuñez, Francisco Gonçalves, Josue Souza, Jota Garcês, Martim Watts

GIL Vicente 4-2-3-1

426.9 Andrew(G)
36.9 G. Konan 396.3 Jonathan Buatu 46.7 M. Elimbi 207.2 Hevertton Santos A↓46’
56.5 F. Cáseres ↓64’ 86.3 M. Bamba ↓46’
326.6 Martin Fernández A↓73’ 107.3 Luís Esteves 176.3 Sergio Bermejo ↓82’
98.3★ Pablo
  • 42Andrew (G)6.9
  • 3G. Konan6.9
  • 39Jonathan Buatu6.3
  • 4M. Elimbi6.7
  • 20Hevertton SantosA↓46’7.2
  • 5F. Cáseres↓64’6.5
  • 8M. Bamba↓46’6.3
  • 32Martin FernándezA↓73’6.6
  • 10Luís Esteves7.3
  • 17Sergio Bermejo↓82’6.3
  • 9Pablo ★8.3

Substitutes used

  • 2Zé Carlos↑46’6.9
  • 6Zé Carlos↑46’6.3
  • 95Santi García↑64’6.9
  • 80R. Rodrigues↑73’6.3
  • 89Gustavo Varela↑82’6.7

Unused: Daniel Figueira, Espigares, Agustín Moreira, Gui Beleza

Player stats

Top rated
PabloGIL Vicente8.3
2nd
Luís EstevesGIL Vicente7.3
3rd
Hevertton SantosGIL Vicente7.2

Nacional

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Lucas França G 90 0 0 0 sv 0 60% 25 0 0 0/0 0/1 5.9
José Gomes D 73 0 0 1 (1) 0 54% 13 0 1 0/0 0/1 6.3
Léo Santos D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 86% 42 0 0 1/1 3/1 6.7
Ulisses D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 85% 47 1 1 1/1 4/0 6.3
João Aurélio D 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 82% 22 4 2 1/1 2/2 6.6
Filipe Soares M 65 0 0 0 (0) 3 77% 13 0 0 0/0 3/0 6.2
Matheus Dias M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 28 2 1 0/0 2/1 6.9
Liziero M 73 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 23 2 0 0/2 1/3 6.7
Witi F 90 0 0 1 (0) 2 53% 15 0 0 0/1 1/1 6.2
J. Ramírez F 90 0 0 4 (2) 1 65% 17 1 0 0/0 3/3 7.0
Paulinho Bóia F 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 69% 16 1 0 0/1 1/1 6.7
Joel Silva M 25 0 0 1 (0) 0 86% 7 3 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Lenny Vallier D 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 2 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.5
André Sousa M 17 0 0 1 (0) 1 75% 4 0 0 0/1 0/0 6.6

GIL Vicente

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Andrew G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 40% 35 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.9
G. Konan D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 73% 22 2 0 1/3 0/1 6.9
Jonathan Buatu D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 73% 15 2 1 0/0 2/0 6.3
M. Elimbi D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 69% 13 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.7
Hevertton Santos D 46 0 1 0 (0) 1 86% 7 0 1 0/0 1/2 7.2
F. Cáseres M 64 0 0 0 (0) 1 58% 19 0 2 0/0 1/1 6.5
M. Bamba M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 10 1 0 0/0 2/1 6.3
Martin Fernández M 73 0 1 3 (0) 1 64% 11 0 0 1/1 3/2 6.6
Luís Esteves M 90 1 0 1 (1) 2 67% 15 1 0 1/2 0/0 7.3
Sergio Bermejo F 82 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 4 0 0 0/1 2/0 6.3
Pablo M 90 1 0 1 (1) 0 100% 5 1 0 0/0 0/7 8.3
Zé Carlos D 44 0 0 1 (0) 1 64% 11 1 1 0/0 1/1 6.9
Zé Carlos M 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 67% 21 1 2 0/0 1/1 6.3
Santi García M 26 0 0 1 (0) 0 63% 8 0 1 1/2 0/1 6.9
R. Rodrigues M 17 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 1 0 0 0/1 1/2 6.3
Gustavo Varela F 8 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.