Premier League Gameweek 7 Sat, Oct 17 2026 · 17:30 St. James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Newcastle
0–1 Full time · HT 0–1 xG 1.13 – 1.56
Aston Villa
  • 36’ J. Manzambi
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Manzambi goal decides it for Aston Villa

Aston Villa entered as narrow favourites and won 1–0 through a Manzambi goal. Aston Villa finished with the higher xG (1.56 vs 1.13). On the chances created, Newcastle deserved more: 1.1 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Newcastle33%
Draw23%
Aston Villa ✓44%

Model vs reality

Newcastle goals
0
Model 1.68 · xG 1.13
Aston Villa goals
1
Model 1.95 · xG 1.56
Total goals
1
Model 3.62 · xG 2.69
Score 0–1
5%
Most likely 1–1 (9%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 70%
Both scored
No
Model 70%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchJ. ManzambiAston Villa · 1 goal
8.2
  • RefereeJarred Gillett
  • CoachesMatthias Jaissle · Unai Emery
  • VenueSt. James’ Park
  • Table before kick-offNewcastle 11th · Aston Villa 17th
  • Weather at kick-off10°C · Overcast · wind 8 km/h

Timeline

  1. JoelintonYellow card · Foul
    18’
  2. S. BotmanYellow card · Foul
    18’
  3. João GomesYellow card · Foul
    25’
  4. Alysson EdwardYellow card
    28’
  5. J. Manzambi 0–1Assist João Gomes
    36’
  6. ⇄ J. McGinnFor Alysson Edward
    45’
  7. Half time · 0–1
  8. Nico GonzálezYellow card · Foul
    53’
  9. Y. WissaYellow card · Foul
    55’
  10. ⇄ B. ToureFor M. Fernandez-Pardo
    56’
  11. ⇄ W. OsulaFor J. Willock
    56’
  12. ⇄ L. GoretzkaFor E. Buendía
    72’
  13. ⇄ R. BarkleyFor João Gomes
    72’
  14. ⇄ I. MbayeFor J. Manzambi
    72’
  15. ⇄ Pau TorresFor A. Wan-Bissaka
    77’
  16. W. OsulaYellow card · Foul
    78’
  17. M. ThiawYellow card · Foul
    86’
  18. ⇄ D. BurnFor Joelinton
    90’
  19. Full time · 0–1

Team stats

Newcastle16 shots · 11 in box, 5 outside
Aston Villa15 shots · 11 in box, 4 outside
NewcastleAston Villa
49% Possession 51%
1.13 Expected goals (xG) 1.56
1.08 Expected points (xPts) 1.67
16 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 3
6 Shots off target 4
9 Blocked shots 8
11 Shots inside the box 11
5 Shots outside the box 4
401 Passes 431
83% Pass accuracy 80%
4 Corners 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
14 Fouls 11
5 Offsides 0
6 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.49 Team rating 7.08

Line-ups

Newcastle 4-2-3-1

216.5 L. Horníček(G)
36.4 L. Hall 46.5 S. Botman 126.6 M. Thiaw 676.4 L. Miley
76.7 Joelinton ↓90’ 66.8 Nico González
116.6 H. Barnes 286.9 J. Willock ↓56’ 205.9 M. Fernandez-Pardo ↓56’
96.3 Y. Wissa
  • 21L. Horníček (G)6.5
  • 3L. Hall6.4
  • 4S. Botman6.5
  • 12M. Thiaw6.6
  • 67L. Miley6.4
  • 7Joelinton↓90’6.7
  • 6Nico González6.8
  • 11H. Barnes6.6
  • 28J. Willock↓56’6.9
  • 20M. Fernandez-Pardo↓56’5.9
  • 9Y. Wissa6.3

Substitutes used

  • 17B. Toure↑56’6.3
  • 10W. Osula↑56’6.2
  • 33D. Burn↑90’

Unused: Sean Steur, J. Murphy, N. Pope, F. Schär, A. Dedić, Aladji Bamba

Coach: Matthias Jaissle

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1

16.6 Z. Suzuki(G)
297.2 A. Wan-Bissaka ↓77’ 56.7 T. Mings 37.4 V. Lindelöf 27.3 M. Cash
357.7 João Gomes A↓72’ 87.1 B. Kamara
106.6 E. Buendía ↓72’ 448.2★ J. Manzambi ↓72’ 476.8 Alysson Edward ↓45’
116.5 N. Jackson
  • 1Z. Suzuki (G)6.6
  • 29A. Wan-Bissaka↓77’7.2
  • 5T. Mings6.7
  • 3V. Lindelöf7.4
  • 2M. Cash7.3
  • 35João GomesA↓72’7.7
  • 8B. Kamara7.1
  • 10E. Buendía↓72’6.6
  • 44J. Manzambi ★↓72’8.2
  • 47Alysson Edward↓45’6.8
  • 11N. Jackson6.5

Substitutes used

  • 14Pau Torres↑77’7.0
  • 7J. McGinn↑45’6.9
  • 6R. Barkley↑72’7.2
  • 27L. Goretzka↑72’7.0
  • 19I. Mbaye↑72’6.9

Unused: T. Harwood-Bellis, L. Bogarde, M. Bizot, Brian Madjo

Coach: Unai Emery

Player stats

Top rated
J. ManzambiAston Villa8.2
2nd
João GomesAston Villa7.7
3rd
V. LindelöfAston Villa7.4

Newcastle

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
L. Horníček G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 86% 21 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
L. Hall D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 72% 39 3 4 2/4 0/1 6.4
S. Botman D 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 78% 58 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.5
M. Thiaw D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 90% 62 0 2 0/0 2/0 6.6
L. Miley M 90 0 0 0 (0) 3 74% 38 1 1 0/0 1/0 6.4
Joelinton F 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 94% 35 0 2 1/2 3/2 6.7
Nico González M 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 85% 66 3 2 0/1 3/1 6.8
H. Barnes M 90 0 0 3 (0) 3 90% 20 0 0 0/2 0/3 6.6
J. Willock M 56 0 0 1 (0) 0 100% 20 1 0 0/1 0/1 6.9
M. Fernandez-Pardo F 56 0 0 0 (0) 0 78% 9 1 0 1/2 1/2 5.9
Y. Wissa M 90 0 0 7 (0) 0 71% 14 1 0 1/2 1/0 6.3
B. Toure F 34 0 0 0 (0) 1 73% 11 2 0 0/1 2/0 6.3
W. Osula F 34 0 0 1 (0) 1 100% 1 0 0 0/1 1/0 6.2
D. Burn D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
Z. Suzuki G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 61% 49 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
A. Wan-Bissaka D 77 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 27 1 1 0/1 1/1 7.2
T. Mings D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 83% 40 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
V. Lindelöf D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 57 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.4
M. Cash D 90 0 0 2 (0) 0 82% 38 3 1 0/0 3/0 7.3
João Gomes M 72 0 1 0 (0) 1 88% 32 2 0 0/0 1/1 7.7
B. Kamara M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 42 4 1 1/2 4/4 7.1
E. Buendía M 72 0 0 1 (0) 0 83% 36 6 1 1/2 0/2 6.6
J. Manzambi M 72 1 0 3 (1) 2 75% 24 0 1 1/1 0/2 8.2
Alysson Edward M 45 0 0 0 (0) 1 92% 13 2 1 1/4 2/0 6.8
N. Jackson F 90 0 0 4 (1) 3 71% 21 0 1 2/2 0/0 6.5
Pau Torres D 13 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 8 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
J. McGinn M 45 0 0 0 (0) 1 75% 16 4 0 0/1 0/1 6.9
R. Barkley M 18 0 0 1 (1) 2 75% 12 0 1 0/0 0/0 7.2
L. Goretzka M 18 0 0 1 (0) 0 80% 5 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
I. Mbaye F 18 0 0 3 (0) 1 89% 9 0 1 3/4 0/1 6.9

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.