Premier League Gameweek 25 Sat, Feb 7 2026 · 17:30 St. James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Newcastle
2–3 Full time · HT 1–2 xG 2.24 – 1.79
Brentford
  • S. Botman 24’
  • Bruno Guimarães 79’ (P)
  • 37’ V. Janelt
  • 45’ (P) Thiago
  • 85’ D. Ouattara
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Brentford come from behind to beat Newcastle

Newcastle entered as narrow favourites and led 1–0 after 24 minutes through a Botman goal. But Janelt, Thiago and Ouattara scored to turn it around for Brentford, who won 3–2. Brentford won despite the lower xG; Newcastle created the better chances (2.24 vs 1.79). On the chances created, Newcastle deserved more: 1.7 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Newcastle46%
Draw26%
Brentford ✓28%

Model vs reality

Newcastle goals
2
Model 1.64 · xG 2.24
Brentford goals
3
Model 1.23 · xG 1.79
Total goals
5
Model 2.88 · xG 4.03
Score 2–3
2%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 55%
Both scored
Yes
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchV. JaneltBrentford · 1 goal
8.9
  • RefereeAndy Madley
  • VenueSt. James’ Park
  • Table before kick-offNewcastle 12th · Brentford 8th

Timeline

  1. S. Botman 1–0Assist Bruno Guimarães
    24’
  2. V. Janelt 1–1Assist D. Ouattara
    37’
  3. J. MurphyYellow card · Handball
    44’
  4. Thiago (pen) 1–2
    45’
  5. Half time · 1–2
  6. ⇄ N. WoltemadeFor J. Murphy
    46’
  7. ⇄ A. ElangaFor J. Willock
    46’
  8. ⇄ Y. YarmoliukFor J. Henderson
    56’
  9. ⇄ W. OsulaFor Y. Wissa
    65’
  10. ThiagoYellow card · Foul
    69’
  11. VAR Bruno GuimarãesPenalty confirmed
    75’
  12. Bruno Guimarães (pen) 2–2
    79’
  13. ⇄ R. DonovanFor K. Lewis-Potter
    80’
  14. D. Ouattara 2–3Assist M. Jensen
    85’
  15. ⇄ D. BurnFor K. Trippier
    87’
  16. ⇄ J. RamseyFor S. Tonali
    87’
  17. ⇄ M. DamsgaardFor M. Jensen
    87’
  18. V. JaneltYellow card · Foul
    90+1’
  19. L. HallYellow card · Argument
    90+6’
  20. Full time · 2–3

Team stats

Newcastle16 shots · 10 in box, 6 outside
Brentford11 shots · 6 in box, 5 outside
NewcastleBrentford
54% Possession 46%
2.24 Expected goals (xG) 1.79
1.66 Expected points (xPts) 1.14
16 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
8 Shots off target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
10 Shots inside the box 6
6 Shots outside the box 5
428 Passes 379
82% Pass accuracy 75%
9 Corners 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
14 Fouls 18
1 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
6.77 Team rating 6.71

Line-ups

Newcastle 4-3-3

16.3 N. Pope(G)
37.2 L. Hall 47.9 S. Botman 126.6 M. Thiaw 26.2 K. Trippier ↓87’
286.3 J. Willock ↓46’ 397.9 Bruno Guimarães A 86.7 S. Tonali ↓87’
116.3 H. Barnes 96.0 Y. Wissa ↓65’ 236.3 J. Murphy ↓46’
  • 1N. Pope (G)6.3
  • 3L. Hall7.2
  • 4S. Botman7.9
  • 12M. Thiaw6.6
  • 2K. Trippier↓87’6.2
  • 28J. Willock↓46’6.3
  • 39Bruno GuimarãesA7.9
  • 8S. Tonali↓87’6.7
  • 11H. Barnes6.3
  • 9Y. Wissa↓65’6.0
  • 23J. Murphy↓46’6.3

Substitutes used

  • 33D. Burn↑87’7.0
  • 41J. Ramsey↑87’6.6
  • 27N. Woltemade↑46’7.0
  • 20A. Elanga↑46’6.9
  • 18W. Osula↑65’6.3

Unused: A. Ramsdale, L. Shahar, A. Murphy, Sean Neave

Brentford 4-2-3-1

16.5 C. Kelleher(G)
35.9 R. Henry 46.3 S. van den Berg 206.3 K. Ajer 336.0 M. Kayode
278.9★ V. Janelt 66.6 J. Henderson ↓56’
235.9 K. Lewis-Potter ↓80’ 86.9 M. Jensen A↓87’ 197.9 D. Ouattara A
96.6 Thiago
  • 1C. Kelleher (G)6.5
  • 3R. Henry5.9
  • 4S. van den Berg6.3
  • 20K. Ajer6.3
  • 33M. Kayode6.0
  • 27V. Janelt ★8.9
  • 6J. Henderson↓56’6.6
  • 23K. Lewis-Potter↓80’5.9
  • 8M. JensenA↓87’6.9
  • 19D. OuattaraA7.9
  • 9Thiago6.6

Substitutes used

  • 24M. Damsgaard↑87’6.7
  • 18Y. Yarmoliuk↑56’6.6
  • 45R. Donovan↑80’6.5

Unused: H. Valdimarsson, E. Pinnock, N. Collins, R. Nelson, A. Hickey, K. Furo

Player stats

Top rated
V. JaneltBrentford8.9
2nd
S. BotmanNewcastle7.9
3rd
Bruno GuimarãesNewcastle7.9

Newcastle

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
N. Pope G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 74% 27 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
L. Hall D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 76% 46 0 1 5/5 3/3 7.2
S. Botman D 90 1 0 2 (1) 0 87% 62 0 0 0/0 1/3 7.9
M. Thiaw D 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 88% 49 0 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
K. Trippier D 87 0 0 0 (0) 2 85% 47 0 1 0/0 0/2 6.2
J. Willock M 46 0 0 0 (0) 0 77% 13 3 1 1/1 1/0 6.3
Bruno Guimarães M 90 1 1 1 (1) 3 78% 50 1 0 0/0 3/4 7.9
S. Tonali M 87 0 0 2 (0) 1 85% 48 2 1 0/0 1/2 6.7
H. Barnes M 90 0 0 3 (0) 0 86% 21 1 0 0/0 2/0 6.3
Y. Wissa M 65 0 0 1 (1) 0 56% 9 0 0 1/3 1/0 6.0
J. Murphy M 46 0 0 1 (0) 1 60% 15 0 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
D. Burn D 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
J. Ramsey M 3 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 4 1 0 0/0 0/1 6.6
N. Woltemade F 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 75% 12 0 0 1/1 0/1 7.0
A. Elanga F 44 0 0 0 (0) 3 100% 14 0 0 1/2 1/0 6.9
W. Osula F 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 1/2 0/0 6.3

Brentford

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
C. Kelleher G 90 0 0 1 sv 0 55% 42 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
R. Henry D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 68% 25 1 0 0/0 1/1 5.9
S. van den Berg D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 86% 36 1 0 0/0 1/1 6.3
K. Ajer D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 83% 35 3 1 0/0 2/0 6.3
M. Kayode D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 31 1 0 0/4 1/4 6.0
V. Janelt M 90 1 0 1 (1) 2 83% 52 2 1 0/0 2/1 8.9
J. Henderson M 56 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 33 2 0 0/0 1/0 6.6
K. Lewis-Potter F 80 0 0 0 (0) 0 42% 19 1 1 0/0 1/2 5.9
M. Jensen M 87 0 1 2 (1) 1 79% 34 1 0 2/2 1/0 6.9
D. Ouattara F 90 1 1 2 (1) 2 75% 20 0 0 2/2 3/0 7.9
Thiago F 90 1 0 1 (1) 1 79% 24 0 0 1/1 3/1 6.6
M. Damsgaard M 3 0 0 0 (0) 1 88% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
Y. Yarmoliuk M 34 0 0 0 (0) 0 79% 14 3 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
R. Donovan M 10 0 0 1 (1) 0 50% 6 0 0 1/1 2/2 6.5

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.