Premier League Gameweek 15 Sat, Dec 6 2025 · 15:00 St. James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Newcastle
2–1 Full time · HT 2–0 xG 1.77 – 1.61
Burnley
  • Bruno Guimarães 31’
  • A. Gordon 45’ (P)
  • 90’ (P) Z. Flemming
  • 43’ Lucas Pires
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Newcastle beat Burnley

Newcastle entered as clear favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Guimarães and Gordon. Burnley replied through a Flemming goal. Burnley played with ten men from the 43rd minute after Pires was sent off. The chances were even, with xG of 1.77 and 1.61. On the chances created, Burnley deserved more: 1.3 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Newcastle ✓61%
Draw22%
Burnley17%

Model vs reality

Newcastle goals
2
Model 2.05 · xG 1.77
Burnley goals
1
Model 1.00 · xG 1.61
Total goals
3
Model 3.04 · xG 3.38
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 56%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchBruno GuimarãesNewcastle · 1 goal
9.2
  • RefereeStuart Attwell
  • VenueSt. James’ Park
  • Table before kick-offNewcastle 12th · Burnley 19th

Timeline

  1. Bruno Guimarães 1–0
    31’
  2. K. WalkerYellow card · Foul
    35’
  3. Lucas PiresRed card · Professional foul last man
    43’
  4. A. Gordon (pen) 2–0
    45’
  5. VAR A. GordonPenalty confirmed
    45+6’
  6. Half time · 2–0
  7. ⇄ J. WorrallFor L. Foster
    46’
  8. V. LivramentoYellow card · Foul
    52’
  9. ⇄ L. HallFor D. Burn
    63’
  10. ⇄ L. MileyFor J. Willock
    63’
  11. ⇄ J. LaurentFor Florentino
    65’
  12. ⇄ Y. WissaFor N. Woltemade
    74’
  13. ⇄ JoelintonFor A. Gordon
    74’
  14. ⇄ Z. FlemmingFor A. Broja
    86’
  15. ⇄ J. AnthonyFor J. Bruun Larsen
    86’
  16. J. LaurentYellow card · Foul
    89’
  17. Z. Flemming (pen) 2–1
    90’
  18. VAR Z. FlemmingPenalty confirmed
    90+2’
  19. J. RamseyYellow card · Handball
    90+3’
  20. ⇄ S. TonaliFor J. Ramsey
    90+5’
  21. ⇄ M. EdwardsFor H. Ekdal
    90+5’
  22. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Newcastle17 shots · 6 in box, 11 outside
Burnley9 shots · 5 in box, 4 outside
NewcastleBurnley
70% Possession 30%
1.77 Expected goals (xG) 1.61
1.49 Expected points (xPts) 1.29
17 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 3
7 Shots off target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
6 Shots inside the box 5
11 Shots outside the box 4
611 Passes 259
91% Pass accuracy 73%
9 Corners 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Fouls 11
3 Offsides 2
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
7.24 Team rating 6.42

Line-ups

Newcastle 4-3-3

327.0 A. Ramsdale(G)
336.9 D. Burn ↓63’ 127.9 M. Thiaw 57.3 F. Schär 216.9 V. Livramento
416.7 J. Ramsey ↓90’ 399.2★ Bruno Guimarães 286.7 J. Willock ↓63’
108.6 A. Gordon ↓74’ 276.5 N. Woltemade ↓74’ 206.3 A. Elanga
  • 32A. Ramsdale (G)7.0
  • 33D. Burn↓63’6.9
  • 12M. Thiaw7.9
  • 5F. Schär7.3
  • 21V. Livramento6.9
  • 41J. Ramsey↓90’6.7
  • 39Bruno Guimarães ★9.2
  • 28J. Willock↓63’6.7
  • 10A. Gordon↓74’8.6
  • 27N. Woltemade↓74’6.5
  • 20A. Elanga6.3

Substitutes used

  • 9Y. Wissa↑74’6.7
  • 3L. Hall↑63’6.9
  • 7Joelinton↑74’6.3
  • 8S. Tonali↑90’
  • 67L. Miley↑63’6.7

Unused: J. Ruddy, J. Murphy, H. Barnes, A. Murphy

Burnley 4-3-3

17.2 M. Dúbravka(G)
235.3 Lucas Pires 56.6 M. Estève 186.0 H. Ekdal ↓90’ 25.3 K. Walker
166.0 Florentino ↓65’ 246.5 J. Cullen 86.5 L. Ugochukwu
77.3 J. Bruun Larsen ↓86’ 276.2 A. Broja ↓86’ 96.5 L. Foster ↓46’
  • 1M. Dúbravka (G)7.2
  • 23Lucas Pires5.3
  • 5M. Estève6.6
  • 18H. Ekdal↓90’6.0
  • 2K. Walker5.3
  • 16Florentino↓65’6.0
  • 24J. Cullen6.5
  • 8L. Ugochukwu6.5
  • 7J. Bruun Larsen↓86’7.3
  • 27A. Broja↓86’6.2
  • 9L. Foster↓46’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 19Z. Flemming↑86’7.0
  • 4J. Worrall↑46’7.2
  • 11J. Anthony↑86’6.7
  • 29J. Laurent↑65’6.9
  • 10M. Edwards↑90’

Unused: Max Weiss, M. Trésor, L. Tchaouna, Q. Hartman

Player stats

Top rated
Bruno GuimarãesNewcastle9.2
2nd
A. GordonNewcastle8.6
3rd
M. ThiawNewcastle7.9

Newcastle

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Ramsdale G 90 0 0 2 sv 0 90% 29 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.0
D. Burn D 63 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 38 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
M. Thiaw D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 68 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.9
F. Schär D 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 89% 79 3 0 0/0 3/0 7.3
V. Livramento D 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 93% 70 4 0 0/1 1/2 6.9
J. Ramsey M 90 0 0 1 (0) 1 93% 60 2 0 1/2 2/0 6.7
Bruno Guimarães M 90 1 0 4 (3) 1 93% 74 1 0 1/1 1/4 9.2
J. Willock M 63 0 0 1 (0) 1 84% 32 2 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
A. Gordon F 74 1 0 3 (1) 2 84% 43 0 0 3/3 1/3 8.6
N. Woltemade F 74 0 0 0 (0) 0 92% 12 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.5
A. Elanga F 90 0 0 2 (1) 0 86% 37 1 0 1/7 0/1 6.3
Y. Wissa M 16 0 0 0 (0) 0 88% 8 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7
L. Hall D 27 0 0 1 (1) 1 94% 34 3 0 0/0 0/0 6.9
Joelinton F 16 0 0 0 (0) 1 93% 14 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
S. Tonali M 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 1/1 1/0 —
L. Miley M 27 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 13 0 1 1/1 0/0 6.7

Burnley

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
M. Dúbravka G 90 0 0 6 sv 0 39% 38 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.2
Lucas Pires D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 14 1 0 1/1 1/0 5.3
M. Estève D 90 0 0 0 (0) 1 80% 25 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.6
H. Ekdal D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 88% 17 1 1 1/1 0/0 6.0
K. Walker D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 73% 22 0 0 2/3 3/1 5.3
Florentino M 65 0 0 0 (0) 0 76% 25 2 1 0/0 2/0 6.0
J. Cullen M 90 0 0 1 (1) 1 84% 37 0 1 0/0 0/0 6.5
L. Ugochukwu M 90 0 0 0 (0) 2 65% 26 0 1 0/0 1/2 6.5
J. Bruun Larsen F 86 0 0 0 (0) 0 74% 23 6 1 0/0 0/0 7.3
A. Broja F 86 0 0 1 (1) 1 62% 13 0 0 0/4 2/2 6.2
L. Foster F 46 0 0 1 (0) 1 75% 4 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
Z. Flemming M 4 1 0 2 (1) 0 50% 2 0 0 0/0 0/1 7.0
J. Worrall D 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 1 0 0/0 1/0 7.2
J. Anthony F 4 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 1 1 0 0/1 0/0 6.7
J. Laurent M 25 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 5 2 2 0/0 1/0 6.9
M. Edwards F 1 0 0 0 (0) 1 100% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 —

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.