Premier League Gameweek 20 Sun, Jan 4 2026 · 15:00 St. James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
2–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 2.08 – 0.70
  • Bruno Guimarães 71’
  • M. Thiaw 78’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Newcastle beat Crystal Palace

Newcastle entered as favourites and won 2–0 through goals from Guimarães and Thiaw. Newcastle finished with the higher xG (2.08 vs 0.70).

Newcastle ✓53%
Draw24%
Crystal Palace23%

Model vs reality

Newcastle goals
2
Model 1.84 · xG 2.08
Crystal Palace goals
0
Model 1.14 · xG 0.70
Total goals
2
Model 2.99 · xG 2.78
Score 2–0
9%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 57%
Both scored
No
Model 58%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchM. ThiawNewcastle · 1 goal
9.7
  • RefereeJohn Brooks
  • VenueSt. James’ Park
  • Table before kick-offNewcastle 14th · Crystal Palace 11th

Timeline

  1. VAR A. GordonGoal cancelled
    20’
  2. B. JohnsonYellow card · Foul
    33’
  3. ⇄ J. CanvotFor J. Lerma
    38’
  4. Half time · 0–0
  5. T. MitchellYellow card · Time wasting
    49’
  6. ⇄ J. DevennyFor N. Clyne
    52’
  7. A. GuéhiYellow card · Foul
    55’
  8. A. GordonYellow card · Foul
    62’
  9. ⇄ J. RamseyFor S. Tonali
    63’
  10. ⇄ H. BarnesFor A. Gordon
    63’
  11. ⇄ V. LivramentoFor L. Hall
    63’
  12. Bruno Guimarães 1–0Assist L. Miley
    71’
  13. ⇄ C. UcheFor B. Johnson
    72’
  14. ⇄ N. WoltemadeFor Y. Wissa
    78’
  15. M. Thiaw 2–0
    78’
  16. ⇄ K. RodneyFor A. Wharton
    87’
  17. ⇄ R. EsseFor Yeremy Pino
    87’
  18. ⇄ Joel Drakes-ThomasFor J. Mateta
    87’
  19. ⇄ J. WillockFor J. Murphy
    88’
  20. Full time · 2–0

Team stats

Newcastle12 shots · 11 in box, 1 outside
Crystal Palace11 shots · 9 in box, 2 outside
NewcastleCrystal Palace
59% Possession 41%
2.08 Expected goals (xG) 0.70
2.28 Expected points (xPts) 0.53
12 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 1
3 Shots off target 5
2 Blocked shots 5
11 Shots inside the box 9
1 Shots outside the box 2
494 Passes 344
83% Pass accuracy 69%
8 Corners 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Fouls 12
5 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
7.44 Team rating 6.67

Line-ups

Newcastle 4-3-3

16.9 N. Pope(G)
37.3 L. Hall ↓63’ 57.9 F. Schär 129.7★ M. Thiaw 678.7 L. Miley A
77.3 Joelinton 86.7 S. Tonali ↓63’ 397.9 Bruno Guimarães
106.7 A. Gordon ↓63’ 96.0 Y. Wissa ↓78’ 236.6 J. Murphy ↓88’
  • 1N. Pope (G)6.9
  • 3L. Hall↓63’7.3
  • 5F. Schär7.9
  • 12M. Thiaw ★9.7
  • 67L. MileyA8.7
  • 7Joelinton7.3
  • 8S. Tonali↓63’6.7
  • 39Bruno Guimarães7.9
  • 10A. Gordon↓63’6.7
  • 9Y. Wissa↓78’6.0
  • 23J. Murphy↓88’6.6

Substitutes used

  • 28J. Willock↑88’6.3
  • 41J. Ramsey↑63’6.6
  • 27N. Woltemade↑78’6.7
  • 11H. Barnes↑63’7.5
  • 21V. Livramento↑63’6.9

Unused: A. Ramsdale, K. Trippier, S. Botman, A. Murphy

Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1

17.7 D. Henderson(G)
65.9 A. Guéhi 56.7 M. Lacroix 87.0 J. Lerma ↓38’
37.0 T. Mitchell 196.7 W. Hughes 207.0 A. Wharton ↓87’ 176.6 N. Clyne ↓52’
107.0 Yeremy Pino ↓87’ 116.2 B. Johnson ↓72’
145.9 J. Mateta ↓87’
  • 1D. Henderson (G)7.7
  • 6A. Guéhi5.9
  • 5M. Lacroix6.7
  • 8J. Lerma↓38’7.0
  • 3T. Mitchell7.0
  • 19W. Hughes6.7
  • 20A. Wharton↓87’7.0
  • 17N. Clyne↓52’6.6
  • 10Yeremy Pino↓87’7.0
  • 11B. Johnson↓72’6.2
  • 14J. Mateta↓87’5.9

Substitutes used

  • 23J. Canvot↑38’6.7
  • 42K. Rodney↑87’6.5
  • 21R. Esse↑87’6.7
  • 12C. Uche↑72’6.3
  • 55J. Devenny↑52’6.3
  • 86Joel Drakes-Thomas↑87’6.5

Unused: W. Benítez, B. Sosa, D. Benamar

Player stats

Top rated
M. ThiawNewcastle9.7
2nd
L. MileyNewcastle8.7
3rd
F. SchärNewcastle7.9

Newcastle

Crystal Palace

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.