Premier League Gameweek 9 Sat, Oct 25 2025 · 15:00 St. James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
2–1 Full time · HT 1–0 xG 2.14 – 1.53
  • J. Murphy 18’
  • Bruno Guimarães 90’
  • 56’ S. Lukić
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Guimarães’s late goal settles it for Newcastle

Newcastle entered as favourites and won 2–1 through goals from Murphy and Guimarães. Fulham replied through a Lukić goal. Newcastle finished with the higher xG (2.14 vs 1.53). On the chances created, Fulham deserved more: 1.0 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Newcastle ✓59%
Draw22%
Fulham19%

Model vs reality

Newcastle goals
2
Model 2.00 · xG 2.14
Fulham goals
1
Model 1.06 · xG 1.53
Total goals
3
Model 3.06 · xG 3.67
Score 2–1
10%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 59%
Both scored
Yes
Model 57%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchN. PopeNewcastle
8.2
  • RefereePeter Bankes
  • VenueSt. James’ Park
  • Table before kick-offNewcastle 15th · Fulham 16th

Timeline

  1. K. TeteYellow card · Foul
    3’
  2. J. Murphy 1–0
    18’
  3. Half time · 1–0
  4. ⇄ KevinFor E. Smith Rowe
    46’
  5. S. Lukić 1–1
    56’
  6. ⇄ F. SchärFor S. Botman
    61’
  7. ⇄ H. BarnesFor J. Murphy
    61’
  8. ⇄ S. TonaliFor L. Miley
    61’
  9. A. IwobiYellow card
    66’
  10. ⇄ A. ElangaFor A. Gordon
    76’
  11. ⇄ J. KingFor Adama Traoré
    76’
  12. ⇄ T. CairneyFor S. Lukić
    84’
  13. ⇄ W. OsulaFor N. Woltemade
    86’
  14. Bruno Guimarães 2–1
    90’
  15. ⇄ J. Kusi-AsareFor A. Iwobi
    90+2’
  16. ⇄ T. CastagneFor K. Tete
    90+2’
  17. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Newcastle18 shots · 10 in box, 8 outside
Fulham12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
NewcastleFulham
51% Possession 49%
2.14 Expected goals (xG) 1.53
1.76 Expected points (xPts) 1.03
18 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 5
6 Shots off target 2
5 Blocked shots 5
10 Shots inside the box 8
8 Shots outside the box 4
452 Passes 444
84% Pass accuracy 79%
4 Corners 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Fouls 18
0 Offsides 1
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
7.18 Team rating 6.65

Line-ups

Newcastle 4-3-3

18.2★ N. Pope(G)
335.9 D. Burn 46.2 S. Botman ↓61’ 127.5 M. Thiaw 27.7 K. Trippier
77.5 Joelinton 676.3 L. Miley ↓61’ 397.7 Bruno Guimarães
107.5 A. Gordon ↓76’ 276.2 N. Woltemade ↓86’ 238.2 J. Murphy ↓61’
  • 1N. Pope (G) ★8.2
  • 33D. Burn5.9
  • 4S. Botman↓61’6.2
  • 12M. Thiaw7.5
  • 2K. Trippier7.7
  • 7Joelinton7.5
  • 67L. Miley↓61’6.3
  • 39Bruno Guimarães7.7
  • 10A. Gordon↓76’7.5
  • 27N. Woltemade↓86’6.2
  • 23J. Murphy↓61’8.2

Substitutes used

  • 5F. Schär↑61’7.3
  • 11H. Barnes↑61’6.9
  • 8S. Tonali↑61’7.0
  • 20A. Elanga↑76’6.5
  • 18W. Osula↑86’6.7

Unused: A. Ramsdale, E. Krafth, J. Willock, J. Ramsey

Fulham 4-2-3-1

17.6 B. Leno(G)
306.3 K. Sessegnon 35.3 C. Bassey 316.3 I. Diop 26.3 K. Tete ↓90’
166.9 S. Berge 207.3 S. Lukić ↓84’
176.5 A. Iwobi ↓90’ 326.5 E. Smith Rowe ↓46’ 116.9 Adama Traoré ↓76’
77.2 R. Jiménez
  • 1B. Leno (G)7.6
  • 30K. Sessegnon6.3
  • 3C. Bassey5.3
  • 31I. Diop6.3
  • 2K. Tete↓90’6.3
  • 16S. Berge6.9
  • 20S. Lukić↓84’7.3
  • 17A. Iwobi↓90’6.5
  • 32E. Smith Rowe↓46’6.5
  • 11Adama Traoré↓76’6.9
  • 7R. Jiménez7.2

Substitutes used

  • 10T. Cairney↑84’6.2
  • 22Kevin↑46’6.9
  • 24J. King↑76’6.3
  • 18J. Kusi-Asare↑90’
  • 21T. Castagne↑90’

Unused: B. Lecomte, Jorge Cuenca, S. Amissah, H. Reed

Player stats

Top rated
N. PopeNewcastle8.2
2nd
J. MurphyNewcastle8.2
3rd
K. TrippierNewcastle7.7

Newcastle

Fulham

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.