Premier League Gameweek 29 Wed, Mar 4 2026 · 20:15 St. James’ Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Newcastle
2–1 Full time · HT 1–1 xG 2.48 – 1.48
Manchester United
  • A. Gordon 45’ (P)
  • W. Osula 90’
  • J. Ramsey 45+1’
  • 45’ Casemiro
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Osula’s late goal settles it for Newcastle

Newcastle won 2–1 through goals from Gordon and Osula. Manchester United replied through a Casemiro goal. Newcastle played with ten men from the 45th minute after Ramsey was sent off. Newcastle finished with the higher xG (2.48 vs 1.48). On the chances created, Manchester United deserved more: 0.8 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Newcastle ✓38%
Draw24%
Manchester United38%

Model vs reality

Newcastle goals
2
Model 1.65 · xG 2.48
Manchester United goals
1
Model 1.67 · xG 1.48
Total goals
3
Model 3.32 · xG 3.96
Score 2–1
8%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)
Over 2.5
Yes
Model 65%
Both scored
Yes
Model 66%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchS. TonaliNewcastle
7.9
  • RefereePeter Bankes
  • VenueSt. James’ Park
  • Table before kick-offNewcastle 13th · Manchester United 3rd

Timeline

  1. J. RamseyYellow card · Foul
    26’
  2. B. MbeumoYellow card · Foul
    37’
  3. JoelintonYellow card · Foul
    38’
  4. L. ShawYellow card · Foul
    39’
  5. A. Gordon (pen) 1–0
    45’
  6. Casemiro 1–1Assist Bruno Fernandes
    45’
  7. J. RamseySecond yellow · Simulation
    45+1’
  8. Half time · 1–1
  9. ⇄ J. WillockFor H. Barnes
    46’
  10. ⇄ Diogo DalotFor Casemiro
    61’
  11. ⇄ M. UgarteFor L. Shaw
    61’
  12. N. MazraouiYellow card · Foul
    64’
  13. ⇄ A. DialloFor K. Mainoo
    76’
  14. ⇄ J. ZirkzeeFor B. Mbeumo
    77’
  15. K. TrippierYellow card · Foul
    80’
  16. ⇄ J. MurphyFor A. Elanga
    84’
  17. ⇄ W. OsulaFor A. Gordon
    85’
  18. ⇄ T. MalaciaFor N. Mazraoui
    85’
  19. W. Osula 2–1Assist K. Trippier
    90’
  20. ⇄ S. BotmanFor S. Tonali
    90+7’
  21. Full time · 2–1

Team stats

Newcastle12 shots · 8 in box, 4 outside
Manchester United14 shots · 8 in box, 6 outside
NewcastleManchester United
45% Possession 55%
2.48 Expected goals (xG) 1.48
1.97 Expected points (xPts) 0.84
12 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
6 Shots off target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
8 Shots inside the box 8
4 Shots outside the box 6
381 Passes 469
76% Pass accuracy 82%
2 Corners 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
15 Fouls 16
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
7.00 Team rating 6.61

Line-ups

Newcastle 4-3-3

326.5 A. Ramsdale(G)
36.7 L. Hall 336.9 D. Burn 126.7 M. Thiaw 27.2 K. Trippier A
77.3 Joelinton 87.9★ S. Tonali ↓90’ 415.3 J. Ramsey
116.2 H. Barnes ↓46’ 107.9 A. Gordon ↓85’ 207.6 A. Elanga ↓84’
  • 32A. Ramsdale (G)6.5
  • 3L. Hall6.7
  • 33D. Burn6.9
  • 12M. Thiaw6.7
  • 2K. TrippierA7.2
  • 7Joelinton7.3
  • 8S. Tonali ★↓90’7.9
  • 41J. Ramsey5.3
  • 11H. Barnes↓46’6.2
  • 10A. Gordon↓85’7.9
  • 20A. Elanga↓84’7.6

Substitutes used

  • 28J. Willock↑46’6.3
  • 4S. Botman↑90’
  • 23J. Murphy↑84’6.3
  • 18W. Osula↑85’7.6

Unused: N. Pope, Y. Wissa, L. Shahar, A. Murphy, Sean Neave

Manchester United 4-2-3-1

317.5 S. Lammens(G)
236.0 L. Shaw ↓61’ 56.7 J. Maguire 156.3 L. Yoro 36.5 N. Mazraoui ↓85’
376.3 K. Mainoo ↓76’ 187.3 Casemiro ↓61’
106.7 Matheus Cunha 87.5 Bruno Fernandes A 195.9 B. Mbeumo ↓77’
306.2 B. Šeško
  • 31S. Lammens (G)7.5
  • 23L. Shaw↓61’6.0
  • 5J. Maguire6.7
  • 15L. Yoro6.3
  • 3N. Mazraoui↓85’6.5
  • 37K. Mainoo↓76’6.3
  • 18Casemiro↓61’7.3
  • 10Matheus Cunha6.7
  • 8Bruno FernandesA7.5
  • 19B. Mbeumo↓77’5.9
  • 30B. Šeško6.2

Substitutes used

  • 2Diogo Dalot↑61’6.0
  • 11J. Zirkzee↑77’6.6
  • 12T. Malacia↑85’6.2
  • 25M. Ugarte↑61’6.2
  • 16A. Diallo↑76’6.7

Unused: A. Bayındır, G. Kukonki, Tyler Fletcher, A. Heaven

Player stats

Top rated
S. TonaliNewcastle7.9
2nd
A. GordonNewcastle7.9
3rd
A. ElangaNewcastle7.6

Newcastle

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
A. Ramsdale G 90 0 0 4 sv 0 53% 47 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.5
L. Hall D 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 84% 37 1 1 1/3 1/4 6.7
D. Burn D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 89% 45 2 0 0/0 2/0 6.9
M. Thiaw D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 86% 28 0 2 0/0 1/0 6.7
K. Trippier D 90 0 1 0 (0) 1 72% 50 4 2 0/0 2/2 7.2
Joelinton F 90 0 0 1 (0) 0 67% 55 2 1 2/2 2/1 7.3
S. Tonali M 90 0 0 1 (0) 3 77% 35 0 2 0/1 1/1 7.9
J. Ramsey M 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 94% 17 4 0 0/0 2/0 5.3
H. Barnes M 46 0 0 2 (1) 0 82% 11 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
A. Gordon F 85 1 0 3 (2) 2 80% 20 1 0 0/1 1/4 7.9
A. Elanga F 84 0 0 1 (0) 2 91% 22 1 0 1/2 1/2 7.6
J. Willock M 44 0 0 0 (0) 0 70% 10 1 1 0/1 2/2 6.3
S. Botman D 1 0 0 0 (0) 0 — 0 0 0 0/0 0/0 —
J. Murphy M 6 0 0 0 (0) 0 0% 1 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
W. Osula F 5 1 0 1 (1) 0 100% 3 1 0 0/0 0/0 7.6

Manchester United

PlayerMinGAShotsKPPassTklIntDrbFoulsRating
S. Lammens G 90 0 0 3 sv 0 46% 28 0 0 0/0 0/0 7.5
L. Shaw D 61 0 0 0 (0) 0 87% 23 0 2 0/0 1/1 6.0
J. Maguire D 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 84% 55 1 0 0/1 2/1 6.7
L. Yoro D 90 0 0 1 (1) 0 91% 45 1 0 0/0 0/0 6.3
N. Mazraoui D 85 0 0 0 (0) 0 91% 44 1 1 1/2 2/3 6.5
K. Mainoo M 76 0 0 1 (1) 0 92% 36 0 1 0/0 0/2 6.3
Casemiro M 61 1 0 1 (1) 0 76% 38 1 2 0/0 1/1 7.3
Matheus Cunha F 90 0 0 2 (1) 1 64% 39 1 2 4/8 1/5 6.7
Bruno Fernandes M 90 0 1 1 (0) 8 84% 64 3 0 0/1 2/1 7.5
B. Mbeumo M 77 0 0 1 (0) 1 76% 25 2 0 0/1 4/0 5.9
B. Šeško F 90 0 0 0 (0) 0 93% 14 0 0 0/0 1/0 6.2
Diogo Dalot D 29 0 0 0 (0) 0 85% 20 0 0 1/1 2/0 6.0
J. Zirkzee F 13 0 0 1 (1) 1 88% 8 0 0 1/1 0/0 6.6
T. Malacia D 5 0 0 0 (0) 0 80% 5 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.2
M. Ugarte M 29 0 0 1 (0) 0 89% 19 2 1 0/1 0/0 6.2
A. Diallo F 14 0 0 0 (0) 0 100% 6 0 0 0/0 0/0 6.7

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.