Ligue 1 Gameweek 4 Sat, Sep 13 2025 · 16:00 Allianz Riviera, Nice
1–0 Full time · HT 0–0 xG 1.29 – 0.76
  • J. Boga 56’
Full match report oneScoredOdds · Value · Detailed stats →
Match story · our forecast vs the result iModel is our forecast, published before the match and locked at kick-off: expected goals for each side and the probability of every outcome.

xG after the match measures the quality of the chances each side actually created. It is known only after the final whistle, so it is not a forecast.

Boga goal decides it for Nice

Nice entered as favourites and won 1–0 through a Boga goal. Nice finished with the higher xG (1.29 vs 0.76). On the chances created, Nantes deserved more: 0.9 expected points against the 0 points they took.

Nice ✓56%
Draw24%
Nantes19%

Model vs reality

Nice goals
1
Model 1.78 · xG 1.29
Nantes goals
0
Model 0.94 · xG 0.76
Total goals
1
Model 2.72 · xG 2.05
Score 1–0
11%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)
Over 2.5
No
Model 51%
Both scored
No
Model 51%
Match facts
★ Player of the matchC. VanhoutteNice · 1 assist
7.9
  • RefereeGuillaume Paradis
  • Coaches— · Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro
  • VenueAllianz Riviera
  • Table before kick-offNice 12th · Nantes 13th

Timeline

  1. A. BahYellow card · Foul
    44’
  2. Half time · 0–0
  3. ⇄ A. CamaraFor Y. Benhattab
    46’
  4. J. Boga 1–0Assist C. Vanhoutte
    56’
  5. S. DiopYellow card · Foul
    58’
  6. ⇄ M. SansonFor S. Diop
    62’
  7. ⇄ T. MoffiFor Kevin Carlos
    62’
  8. ⇄ L. LerouxFor H. Hong
    65’
  9. ⇄ Tiago GouveiaFor Dante
    75’
  10. ⇄ I. JanssonFor J. Boga
    75’
  11. ⇄ M. LahdoFor J. Mwanga
    77’
  12. ⇄ T. LouchetFor H. Boudaoui
    81’
  13. ⇄ D. AssoumaniFor N. Cozza
    86’
  14. ⇄ Y. El-ArabiFor M. Abdalla
    86’
  15. Full time · 1–0

Team stats

Nice19 shots · 13 in box, 6 outside
Nantes14 shots · 7 in box, 7 outside
NiceNantes
59% Possession 41%
1.29 Expected goals (xG) 0.76
1.76 Expected points (xPts) 0.95
19 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 3
8 Shots off target 7
3 Blocked shots 4
13 Shots inside the box 7
6 Shots outside the box 7
491 Passes 347
86% Pass accuracy 79%
7 Corners 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
16 Fouls 13
7 Offsides 0
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
7.09 Team rating 6.67

Line-ups

Nice

807.3 Y. Diouf(G) 377.3 Kojo Peprah Oppong 287.3 A. Bah 47.3 Dante ↓75’ 926.6 J. Clauss 66.6 H. Boudaoui ↓81’ 247.9★ C. Vanhoutte A 267.2 M. Bard 106.5 S. Diop ↓62’ 77.7 J. Boga ↓75’ 906.5 Kevin Carlos ↓62’
  • 80Y. Diouf (G)7.3
  • 37Kojo Peprah Oppong7.3
  • 28A. Bah7.3
  • 4Dante↓75’7.3
  • 92J. Clauss6.6
  • 6H. Boudaoui↓81’6.6
  • 24C. Vanhoutte ★A7.9
  • 26M. Bard7.2
  • 10S. Diop↓62’6.5
  • 7J. Boga↓75’7.7
  • 90Kevin Carlos↓62’6.5

Substitutes used

  • 8M. Sanson↑62’6.6
  • 9T. Moffi↑62’6.2
  • 21I. Jansson↑75’7.2
  • 47Tiago Gouveia↑75’6.7
  • 20T. Louchet↑81’6.7

Unused: M. Dupé, A. Mendy, S. Abdul Samed, Bernard Nguene

Nantes

17.3 A. Lopes(G) 986.3 K. Amian 67.3 C. Awaziem 786.2 Tylel Tati 36.3 N. Cozza ↓86’ 807.2 J. Mwanga ↓77’ 906.9 Y. Benhattab ↓46’ 76.3 H. Hong ↓65’ 86.9 J. Lepenant 106.6 M. Abline 316.2 M. Abdalla ↓86’
  • 1A. Lopes (G)7.3
  • 98K. Amian6.3
  • 6C. Awaziem7.3
  • 78Tylel Tati6.2
  • 3N. Cozza↓86’6.3
  • 80J. Mwanga↓77’7.2
  • 90Y. Benhattab↓46’6.9
  • 7H. Hong↓65’6.3
  • 8J. Lepenant6.9
  • 10M. Abline6.6
  • 31M. Abdalla↓86’6.2

Substitutes used

  • 14A. Camara↑46’6.6
  • 66L. Leroux↑65’6.6
  • 15M. Lahdo↑77’6.3
  • 17D. Assoumani↑86’6.5
  • 19Y. El-Arabi↑86’6.7

Unused: P. Carlgren, Sékou Doucoure, Bahmed Deuff, H. Kwon

Coach: Luís Manuel Ferreira de Castro

Player stats

Top rated
C. VanhoutteNice7.9
2nd
J. BogaNice7.7
3rd
Y. DioufNice7.3

Nice

Nantes

Match data from eScored. Ratings are the data provider's 0–10 match ratings; 7.2 and above is a strong game, 8+ is rare.